One Nation's primary vote has surged from ~9% in mid-2025 to 23.5% in my latest poll aggregation. That's nearly 4x their 2025 federal election result of 6.4%.
The trajectory is remarkable. Steady climb through late 2025, accelerating from October onward, then plateauing around 23% from February 2026. The leadership changes (Taylor for the Libs, Canavan for the Nats) coincide with the plateau rather than the surge itself.
