Mark the Ballot
Psephology by the numbers
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Bayesian Aggregation
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Monday, November 25, 2024
Update: betting market and opinion polls 25 November
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In the days following the Trump win in the United States, the betting market for the Prime Minister's party after the next Australian Fe...
Monday, November 11, 2024
New polls: Newspoll and Resolve
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Today's Australian had a new Newspoll (49-51 in the Coalition's favour), and the Fairfax media had a new Resolve Strategic Poll (...
Monday, November 4, 2024
Update: opinion polls and betting market
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Before I begin, let me tell you a sad story. I went overseas for an extended period, and while I was away, the code I use to daily scrape th...
Monday, August 26, 2024
Federal polls - quick update
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The NT election result (convincing Coalition win) has not changed the betting odds at SportsBet for the next Federal election.
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