Mark the Ballot
Psephology by the numbers
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Sunday, May 4, 2025
Wow
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Last night I was asked if I was surprised by the result. The short answer is yes! Not because Labor won (that was my working assumption) but...
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Saturday, May 3, 2025
Election day - betting markets
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There are two posts this morning. This is the betting market post, and separately there is a polls update . National Winner At 6.30am this ...
2 comments:
Election day - polls
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There are two posts this morning. This is the polls post, and separately there is a betting market update . Two-party preferred There is an ...
2 comments:
Friday, May 2, 2025
Day 36 - 2025 Federal Election
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The election is tomorrow! Today we have two more polls: Freshwater strategy 51.5/48.5 to Labor, and DemosAU 51/49 to Labor. The aggregation...
Thursday, May 1, 2025
Day 35 - 2025 Federal Electon
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It looks like we are seeing some poll-herding in the lead-up to 2025 Election. Since yesterday's blog post, two more polls were released...
Wednesday, April 30, 2025
Day 34 - 2025 Federal Election
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Polls This morning we had a new poll from Resolve Strategic, with Labor in front - 53/47. I am starting to think little about herding or oth...
Tuesday, April 29, 2025
Day 33 - 2025 Federal Election
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Today we will look at a couple of new polls, and at the betting market. New polls Today there are two new polls to report: Roy Morgan on 53/...
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