Mark the Ballot
Psephology by the numbers
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Bayesian Aggregation
Betting Markets
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Wednesday, September 17, 2025
Polling Update
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The remarkable thing in the latest batch of polls is the continued rise of the One Nation Party.
Friday, August 8, 2025
Polling update
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Two party preferred
Summary outcome of the 2025 Australian Federal Election
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Sunday, May 4, 2025
Wow
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Last night I was asked if I was surprised by the result. The short answer is yes! Not because Labor won (that was my working assumption) but...
2 comments:
Saturday, May 3, 2025
Election day - betting markets
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There are two posts this morning. This is the betting market post, and separately there is a polls update . National Winner At 6.30am this ...
2 comments:
Election day - polls
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There are two posts this morning. This is the polls post, and separately there is a betting market update . Two-party preferred There is an ...
2 comments:
Friday, May 2, 2025
Day 36 - 2025 Federal Election
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The election is tomorrow! Today we have two more polls: Freshwater strategy 51.5/48.5 to Labor, and DemosAU 51/49 to Labor. The aggregation...
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