Mark the Ballot

Psephology by the numbers

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Friday, December 12, 2025

Some movement on the betting market

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Sunday, November 9, 2025

Polling Update

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It's time for another polling update. We will start with the primary voting intention polls. Of note, there is a substantial divergence ...
Wednesday, September 17, 2025

Polling Update

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The remarkable thing in the latest batch of polls is the continued rise of the One Nation Party.  
Friday, August 8, 2025

Polling update

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Two party preferred

Summary outcome of the 2025 Australian Federal Election

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Sunday, May 4, 2025

Wow

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Last night I was asked if I was surprised by the result. The short answer is yes! Not because Labor won (that was my working assumption) but...
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Saturday, May 3, 2025

Election day - betting markets

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There are two posts this morning. This is the betting market post, and separately there is a polls update . National Winner At 6.30am this ...
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About Me

Mark Graph
Mark Graph is the nom de plume of Bryan Palmer. He has a Bachelor of Arts with first class honours in political science, a Graduate Diploma in Economics and a Masters in Economic Studies, majoring in economic analysis (econometrics).
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