The remarkable thing in the latest batch of polls is the continued rise of the One Nation Party.
On the primary votes, both Labor and the Coalition are in decline. The Coalition is well down on its previous May 2025 result. Labor is still in a second-term honeymoon, a bit under a percentage point above its 2025 election result. The Greens and others are only a little changed over the part four months.
In two-party preferred terms, Labor remains the clear winner. Both parties are at their TPP result for the 2025 election in May.
The betting market is unmoved.
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