Updated Aggregation

Today's Morgan poll (51.5 to 48.5 in the Coalition's favour, when allocating preferences according to the last election), allows me to update the poll aggregation. The end result - 51.9 per cent for the Coalition - is where I had it two weeks ago.

Caveats and notes on the poll aggregation process can be found here.

Update (Tuesday 5 April @ 7.15am)

With last night's Newspoll (49-51 in Labor's favour), I can rerun the aggregation, yielding an estimated two-party preferred vote share for the Coalition of 51.4 per cent.

Antony Green has some good observations on the latest Newspoll.