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Tuesday, February 22, 2022

Essential 46.4/53.6 and Roy Morgan 44.8/55.2

Two new polls are out today. Adjusting for undecideds, and using preference flows from the 2019 election, I have them as follows:

  • Essential, 17-20 February 2022, with a two-party preferred estimate of 46.4 to 53.6 in Labor's favour
  • Roy Morgan, 31 January to 13 February 2022, with a two-party preferred estimate of 44.8 to 55.2 in Labor's favour

Both polls suggest a landslide win for Labor if an election were held now.

The 2pp charts continue to look ugly for the Coalition.







The primary vote estimates from pollsters follow.
















 


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