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Thursday, April 17, 2025

Day 21 - 2025 Federal Election

Today marks three weeks since the election was called. It is two weeks and one day until the election on 3 May. 

Yesterday we had a Freshwater poll, which had the race at a 50/50 tie on the two party preferred (2pp) metric. It is worth noting that my model observes a house effect for Freshwater of 1.3 percentage points away from Labor 2pp. My model has Labor on 51.7 per cent of the 2pp vote.





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