75 per cent probability of a Coalition win?

UK bookmaker William Hill (which in Australia includes the Centrebet and Tom Waterhouse brands) has the odds out to $1.27 for the Coalition and $3.75 for Labor. That's a Coalition win probability of 75 per cent in round terms. If you want better returning odds for the Coalition, you can look at Crownbet, Ladbrokes, Luxbet, or Sportsbet for $1.40.

It sounds like William Hill took some serious money on the Coalition which they need to balance on their books. Over coming days it will be interesting to see whether William Hill eases back or the other houses push on to join William Hill.

	House	Coalition Odds ($)	Labor Odds ($)	Coalition Win Probability (%)
2015-09-17	Betfair	1.35	3.14	69.933185
2015-09-17	CrownBet	1.40	2.75	66.265060
2015-09-17	Ladbrokes	1.40	2.80	66.666667
2015-09-17	Luxbet	1.40	2.85	67.058824
2015-09-17	Sportsbet	1.40	2.90	67.441860
2015-09-17	TABtouch	1.26	3.75	74.850299
2015-09-17	William Hill	1.27	3.75	74.701195