Missing odds - seats by date
| Missing Odds | |
|---|---|
| 2016-05-19 | O'Connor (WA) |
| 2016-05-20 | O'Connor (WA) |
| 2016-06-03 | Wentworth (NSW) |
| 2016-06-04 | Indi (VIC), Wentworth (NSW) |
| 2016-06-05 | Indi (VIC), Wentworth (NSW) |
| 2016-06-06 | Indi (VIC), Wentworth (NSW) |
| 2016-06-07 | Wentworth (NSW) |
| 2016-06-09 | Lingiari (NT), Solomon (NT) |
| 2016-06-10 | Brisbane (QLD), Lingiari (NT) |
| 2016-06-11 | Lingiari (NT), Murray (VIC) |
| 2016-06-12 | Lingiari (NT), Murray (VIC) |
| 2016-06-13 | Lingiari (NT) |
| 2016-06-14 | Lingiari (NT) |
| 2016-06-16 | Grayndler (NSW) |
| 2016-06-17 | Mackellar (NSW) |
| 2016-06-20 | Cook (NSW) |
| 2016-06-21 | Cook (NSW) |
Latest odds
| 2016-06-24 | |
|---|---|
| Adelaide (SA) | Animal Justice Party 101.00FamilyFirst101.00 Green 51.00Labor1.30 Lib Dem 101.00Liberal3.30 Nick Xenophon Team $11.00 |
| Aston (VIC) | Animal Justice Party 101.00Coalition1.05 Family First 101.00Green51.00 Independent (Daniel Huppert) 51.00Labor6.00 Lib Dem $101.00 |
| Ballarat (VIC) | Australian Christians 51.00FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00Independent(BrenEckel)51.00 Labor 1.01Liberal12.00 National 51.00RiseUpAustralia51.00 |
| Banks (NSW) | Animal Justice Party 151.00ChristianDemocraticParty101.00 Coalition 1.39FamilyFirst101.00 Green 51.00Independent(BobSpanswick)151.00 Labor $2.75 |
| Barker (SA) | Coalition 1.35FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00Labor26.00 Nick Xenophon Team $3.00 |
| Barton (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition8.50 Green 51.00Independent(RasmusTorkel)151.00 Labor 1.05OnlineDirectDemocracy151.00 |
| Bass (TAS) | Australian Recreational Fishers Party 51.00ChristianDemocraticParty51.00 Coalition 1.25Green51.00 Labor 3.75RenewableEnergyParty51.00 |
| Batman (VIC) | Animal Justice Party 51.00AustralianCyclists51.00 Australian Progressives (Russell Hayward) 51.00AustralianSexParty51.00 Coalition 34.00Green2.10 Independent (Franco Guardiani) 51.00Independent(PhilipSutton)51.00 Labor 1.62MarriageEquality(ElizabethSyber)51.00 Renewable Energy Party $51.00 |
| Bendigo (VIC) | Any Other 34.00Coalition6.00 Green 51.00Labor1.10 |
| Bennelong (NSW) | Arts Party 151.00ChristianDemocraticParty101.00 Coalition 1.01Green51.00 Independent (Martin Mulcare) 51.00Labor12.00 Pirate Party $151.00 |
| Berowra (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition1.01 Green 51.00Independent(MickGallagher)101.00 Labor 12.00ScienceParty151.00 |
| Blair (QLD) | Coalition 8.50FamilyFirst151.00 Green 51.00Independent(JonathanEmms)151.00 Independent (Patricia Petersen) 151.00Independent(SandyTurner)151.00 Labor 1.05PaulineHanson51.00 |
| Blaxland (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition12.00 Green 51.00Labor1.01 Socialist Equality $151.00 |
| Bonner (QLD) | Coalition 1.12FamilyFirst151.00 Green 51.00Independent(JarrodWirth)151.00 Labor 4.00LibDem51.00 |
| Boothby (SA) | Animal Justice Party 51.00Coalition1.35 Family First 51.00Green51.00 Independent (Jamie Armfield) 51.00Independent(RobertdeJonge)51.00 Labor 26.00NickXenophonTeam3.00 |
| Bowman (QLD) | Australian Liberty Alliance 151.00Coalition1.10 Family First 151.00Green51.00 Labor $6.00 |
| Braddon (TAS) | Australian Recreational Fishers Party 51.00ChristianDemocraticParty51.00 Coalition 1.27Green51.00 Labor 3.50LibDem51.00 Renewable Energy Party $51.00 |
| Bradfield (NSW) | Australian Liberty Alliance 151.00ChristianDemocraticParty101.00 Coalition 1.01Green51.00 Independent (Christine Berman) 151.00Labor12.00 |
| Brand (WA) | Any Other 34.00Coalition8.50 Green 51.00Labor1.05 |
| Brisbane (QLD) | Coalition 1.50FamilyFirst151.00 Green 34.00Labor2.50 Lib Dem 51.00VeteransParty151.00 |
| Bruce (VIC) | Any Other 41.00Coalition4.00 Green 51.00Labor1.18 |
| Burt (WA) | Any Other 34.00Coalition2.70 Labor $1.44 |
| Calare (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition1.01 Green 101.00Independent(AnthonyCraig)151.00 Labor 21.00LibDem51.00 Nick Xenophon Team $34.00 |
| Calwell (VIC) | Any Other 34.00Coalition16.00 Green 51.00Labor1.01 |
| Canberra (ACT) | Bullet Train for Australia 101.00Coalition12.00 Green 21.00Labor1.01 |
| Canning (WA) | Any Other 34.00Coalition1.01 Green 51.00Labor16.00 |
| Capricornia (QLD) | Coalition 2.50FamilyFirst151.00 Green 51.00Independent(KenMurray)151.00 KAP (Bob Katter) 34.00Labor1.50 |
| Casey (VIC) | Any Other 34.00Coalition1.05 Green 51.00Labor8.50 |
| Chifley (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition16.00 Green 51.00Independent(AmmarKhan)151.00 Labor $1.01 |
| Chisholm (VIC) | Any Other 34.00Coalition3.30 Green 51.00Labor1.30 |
| Cook (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition1.01 Green 16.00Independent(JohnBrett)151.00 Labor $34.00 |
| Corangamite (VIC) | Any Other 34.00Coalition1.15 Green 51.00Labor5.00 |
| Corio (VIC) | Any Other 16.00Coalition16.00 Green 51.00Labor1.02 |
| Cowan (WA) | Any Other 34.00Coalition2.00 Green 51.00Labor1.75 |
| Cowper (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00CitizensElectoralCouncil151.00 Coalition 1.22Green51.00 Independent (John Arkan) 151.00Independent(RobOakeshott)4.00 Labor $34.00 |
| Cunningham (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition26.00 Green 51.00Labor1.01 Non Custodial Parents Party 151.00ScienceParty151.00 |
| Curtin (WA) | Any Other 34.00Coalition1.01 Green 51.00Labor16.00 |
| Dawson (QLD) | Coalition 1.17FamilyFirst151.00 Glenn Lazarus Team 101.00Green51.00 Independent (Stephen Large) 151.00KAP(BobKatter)41.00 Labor $4.00 |
| Deakin (VIC) | Any Other 34.00Coalition1.35 Green 34.00Labor3.00 |
| Denison (TAS) | Christian Democratic Party 51.00Coalition21.00 Democratic Labour Party 51.00Green51.00 Independent (Andrew Wilkie) 1.01Labor12.00 |
| Dickson (QLD) | Coalition 1.10FamilyFirst151.00 Green 51.00Independent(ThorProhaska)81.00 Labor 6.00LibDem51.00 |
| Dobell (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition5.00 Green 51.00Independent(GregoryStephenson)151.00 Independent (Paul Baker) 151.00Labor1.15 Pauline Hanson $151.00 |
| Dunkley (VIC) | Any Other 41.00Coalition1.50 Green 51.00Labor2.50 |
| Durack (WA) | Any Other 16.00Green51.00 Labor 34.00Liberal1.08 National $7.00 |
| Eden Monaro (NSW) | Animal Justice Party 151.00ChristianDemocraticParty101.00 Coalition 3.50Green51.00 Independent (Andrew Thaler) 151.00Independent(DanielGrosmaire)151.00 Independent (Ray Buckley) 151.00Labor1.27 Veterans Party $151.00 |
| Fadden (QLD) | Coalition 1.01FamilyFirst151.00 Green 51.00Labor16.00 Pauline Hanson 51.00VeteransParty151.00 |
| Fairfax (QLD) | Coalition 1.01FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00Independent(KeithAlexanderCampbell)51.00 Independent (Robert Dickson) 51.00Labor16.00 Online Direct Democracy 51.00PaulineHanson51.00 |
| Farrer (NSW) | Australian Liberty Alliance 151.00ChristianDemocraticParty101.00 Coalition 1.01Green51.00 Independent (Brian Mills) 151.00MatureAustralia151.00 |
| Fenner (ACT) | Bullet Train for Australia 101.00Coalition16.00 Green 51.00Independent(AndrewWoodman)101.00 Labor $1.01 |
| Fisher (QLD) | Australian Liberty Alliance 51.00Coalition1.01 Family First 51.00Green51.00 Independent (Mike Jessop) 51.00Labor12.00 Online Direct Democracy 51.00RiseUpAustralia51.00 Veterans Party $51.00 |
| Flinders (VIC) | Any Other 34.00Coalition1.01 Green 51.00Labor16.00 |
| Flynn (QLD) | Coalition 1.20FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00Independent(DuncanScott)51.00 Independent (Jordan Ryan Puku) 51.00Independent(NathanJoelDavidFletcher)51.00 KAP (Bob Katter) 51.00Labor4.20 Pauline Hanson $51.00 |
| Forde (QLD) | Australian Liberty Alliance 51.00Coalition1.50 Family First 51.00Green51.00 Independent (David Wilks) 51.00Labor2.50 |
| Forrest (WA) | Any Other 34.00Coalition1.01 Green 51.00Labor16.00 |
| Fowler (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition21.00 Green 51.00Labor1.01 Smokers Rights $151.00 |
| Franklin (TAS) | Arts Party 51.00ChristianDemocraticParty51.00 Coalition 12.00Green21.00 Labor $1.01 |
| Fremantle (WA) | Any Other 34.00Coalition34.00 Green 7.00Labor1.03 |
| Gellibrand (VIC) | Any Other 34.00Coalition26.00 Green 16.00Labor1.01 |
| Gilmore (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition1.65 Green 51.00Labor2.15 |
| Gippsland (VIC) | Any Other 16.00Coalition1.01 Green 51.00Labor34.00 |
| Goldstein (VIC) | Any Other 34.00Coalition1.01 Green 51.00Labor16.00 |
| Gorton (VIC) | Any Other 34.00Coalition16.00 Green 51.00Labor1.01 |
| Grayndler (NSW) | Animal Justice Party 151.00AustralianCyclists101.00 Australian Sex Party 101.00ChristianDemocraticParty151.00 Coalition 26.00DrugLawReform151.00 Green 7.00Labor1.07 Renewable Energy Party 101.00ScienceParty1001.00 Socialist Equality $151.00 |
| Greenway (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 151.00Coalition4.00 Family First 151.00Green51.00 Independent (Avtar Singh Billu) 151.00Labor1.15 Lib Dem 101.00ScienceParty151.00 |
| Grey (SA) | Coalition 1.40FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00Independent(PhillipGourlay)51.00 Labor 26.00NickXenophonTeam2.75 |
| Griffith (QLD) | Australian Liberty Alliance 51.00Coalition4.20 Drug Law Reform 51.00FamilyFirst51.00 Green 34.00Independent(KarelBoele)51.00 Labor 1.20LibDem51.00 |
| Groom (QLD) | Coalition 1.01FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00Labor26.00 Nick Xenophon Team $21.00 |
| Hasluck (WA) | Any Other 34.00Coalition1.40 Green 51.00Labor2.75 |
| Herbert (QLD) | Coalition 1.15FamilyFirst51.00 Glenn Lazarus Team 51.00Green51.00 KAP (Bob Katter) 51.00Labor5.00 Lib Dem 51.00PUP51.00 Pauline Hanson $51.00 |
| Higgins (VIC) | Any Other 34.00Coalition1.10 Green 6.00Labor21.00 Nick Xenophon Team $51.00 |
| Hindmarsh (SA) | Animal Justice Party 51.00ChristianDemocraticParty51.00 Coalition 1.62FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00Labor3.50 Nick Xenophon Team $4.00 |
| Hinkler (QLD) | Australian Liberty Alliance 51.00Coalition1.08 Family First 51.00Green51.00 Independent (Bill Foster) 51.00Labor6.00 Pauline Hanson $51.00 |
| Holt (VIC) | Any Other 34.00Coalition16.00 Green 51.00Labor1.01 |
| Hotham (VIC) | Any Other 34.00Coalition16.00 Green 51.00Labor1.01 |
| Hughes (NSW) | Animal Justice Party 151.00ChristianDemocraticParty101.00 Coalition 1.01Green51.00 Labor $16.00 |
| Hume (NSW) | Bullet Train for Australia 151.00ChristianDemocraticParty101.00 Citizens Electoral Council 151.00Coalition1.01 Green 51.00Labor15.00 |
| Hunter (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition16.00 Green 51.00Independent(ArjayMartin)151.00 Independent (Cordelia Troy) 101.00Independent(JohnHarvey)151.00 Independent (John Warham) 151.00Labor1.01 |
| Indi (VIC) | Any Other 34.00Green51.00 Independent (Cathy McGowan) 1.15Labor34.00 Liberal 11.00National6.00 |
| Isaacs (VIC) | Any Other 34.00Coalition16.00 Green 51.00Labor1.01 |
| Jagajaga (VIC) | Any Other 34.00Coalition16.00 Green 51.00Labor1.01 |
| Kennedy (QLD) | Coalition 5.00FamilyFirst101.00 Green 51.00KAP(BobKatter)1.15 Labor $26.00 |
| Kingsford Smith (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition8.50 Green 51.00Labor1.05 Science Party $151.00 |
| Kingston (SA) | Coalition 12.00FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00Labor1.15 Nick Xenophon Team $5.00 |
| Kooyong (VIC) | Any Other 34.00Coalition1.01 Green 51.00Labor16.00 |
| La Trobe (Vic) | Any Other 34.00Coalition1.50 Green 51.00Labor2.50 |
| Lalor (VIC) | Any Other 34.00Coalition16.00 Green 51.00Labor1.01 |
| Leichhardt (QLD) | Coalition 1.15FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00Independent(DanielMcCarthy)34.00 Independent (Michael Newie) 51.00KAP(BobKatter)51.00 Labor 5.00PaulineHanson51.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
| Lilley (QLD) | Coalition 8.50FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00Labor1.05 Lib Dem $51.00 |
| Lindsay (NSW) | Animal Justice Party 151.00AustraliaFirst151.00 Australian Liberty Alliance 151.00ChristianDemocraticParty101.00 Coalition 1.10DerrynHinch81.00 Family First 151.00Green51.00 Independent (Marcus Cornish) 51.00Labor6.00 Nick Xenophon Team $31.00 |
| Lingiari (NT) | Citizens Electoral Council 151.00Coalition4.00 Green 51.00Independent(AlfredGould)151.00 Independent (Braedon Earley) 101.00Independent(MarkGuyula)151.00 Labor 1.22RiseUpAustralia151.00 Shooters $101.00 |
| Longman (QLD) | Arts Party 51.00AustralianLibertyAlliance51.00 Coalition 1.20DrugLawReform51.00 Family First 51.00Green51.00 Independent (Greg Riddell) 51.00Independent(RobLaw)51.00 KAP (Bob Katter) 51.00Labor4.00 Pauline Hanson $51.00 |
| Lyne (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition1.01 Green 26.00Independent(BradChristensen)151.00 Independent (Roger John Riach) 151.00Labor26.00 |
| Lyons (TAS) | Australian Recreational Fishers Party 51.00ChristianDemocraticParty51.00 Coalition 1.60Green51.00 Labor 2.20RenewableEnergyParty51.00 |
| Macarthur (NSW) | Coalition 2.50Green51.00 Labor 1.45NickXenophonTeam16.00 |
| Mackellar (NSW) | Coalition 1.01Green26.00 Independent (Jim Ball) 12.00Independent(JulieHegarty)101.00 Independent (Liam Gavin 51.00Labor21.00 |
| Macquarie (NSW) | Animal Justice Party 151.00ChristianDemocraticParty101.00 Coalition 1.52DerrynHinch51.00 Green 26.00Labor2.40 Lib Dem 81.00Shooters101.00 |
| Makin (SA) | Animal Justice Party 51.00Coalition16.00 Family First 51.00Green51.00 Independent (Mark Aldridge) 51.00Labor1.15 Nick Xenophon Team $5.00 |
| Mallee (VIC) | Any Other 16.00Coalition1.01 Green 51.00Labor21.00 |
| Maranoa (QLD) | Coalition 1.01CountryMinded51.00 Family First 51.00Green51.00 KAP (Bob Katter) 51.00Labor21.00 Pauline Hanson 51.00RiseUpAustralia51.00 |
| Maribyrnong (VIC) | Any Other 34.00Coalition16.00 Green 51.00Labor1.01 |
| Mayo (SA) | Coalition 2.00FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00Labor51.00 Lib Dem 51.00NickXenophonTeam1.75 |
| McEwen (VIC) | Any Other 34.00Coalition8.50 Green 51.00Labor1.05 |
| McMahon (NSW) | Australia First 151.00Coalition16.00 Green 51.00Independent(FadhelShamasha)151.00 Labor $1.01 |
| McMillan (VIC) | Any Other 34.00Coalition1.01 Green 51.00Labor16.00 |
| McPherson (QLD) | Coalition 1.01FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00Independent(RobJones)51.00 Labor $16.00 |
| Melbourne (VIC) | Any Other 26.00Coalition34.00 Green 1.05Labor9.00 |
| Melbourne Ports (VIC) | Any Other 34.00Coalition8.00 Green 10.00Labor1.08 |
| Menzies (VIC) | Any Other 34.00Coalition1.01 Green 51.00Labor26.00 Stephen Mayne (Independent) $11.00 |
| Mitchell (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition1.01 Green 51.00Labor16.00 |
| Moncrieff (QLD) | Coalition 1.01FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00Labor16.00 |
| Moore (WA) | Any Other 34.00Coalition1.01 Green 51.00Labor16.00 |
| Moreton (QLD) | Coalition 6.00FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00KAP(BobKatter)51.00 Labor 1.03LibDem51.00 Nick Xenophon Team $21.00 |
| Murray (VIC) | Any Other 34.00Green51.00 Labor 26.00Liberal1.35 National $3.00 |
| New England (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition1.27 CountryMinded 101.00Green51.00 Independent (Philip Cox) 101.00Independent(RobTaber)101.00 Independent (Tony Windsor) 3.50Labor34.00 Lib Dem 151.00OnlineDirectDemocracy151.00 |
| Newcastle (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition16.00 Democratic Labour Party 101.00DrugLawReform151.00 Green 51.00Independent(RodHolding)151.00 Labor $1.01 |
| North Sydney (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition1.01 Family First 151.00Green51.00 Independent (Stephen Ruff) 21.00Labor16.00 Lib Dem 51.00ScienceParty151.00 |
| O'Connor (WA) | Any Other 34.00Green51.00 Labor 21.00Liberal1.10 National $6.00 |
| Oxley (QLD) | Coalition 8.50FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00KAP(BobKatter)51.00 Labor 1.05PaulineHanson51.00 |
| Page (NSW) | Animal Justice Party 151.00ChristianDemocraticParty101.00 Coalition 4.50Green51.00 Labor 1.17LibDem51.00 |
| Parkes (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition1.01 Green 51.00Labor26.00 Online Direct Democracy $151.00 |
| Parramatta (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition6.00 Family First 151.00Green51.00 Independent (Mahesh Raj) 151.00Labor1.10 Lib Dem 51.00OnlineDirectDemocracy151.00 |
| Paterson (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00CitizensElectoralCouncil151.00 Coalition 3.75Green26.00 Labor 1.25PaulineHanson101.00 Rise Up Australia $151.00 |
| Pearce (WA) | Any Other 34.00Coalition1.01 Green 51.00Labor12.00 |
| Perth (WA) | Any Other 51.00Coalition8.00 Green 26.00Labor1.03 |
| Petrie (QLD) | Arts Party 51.00Coalition3.50 Family First 51.00Green41.00 Labor 1.26LibDem51.00 |
| Port Adelaide (SA) | Animal Justice Party 51.00ChristianDemocraticParty51.00 Coalition 26.00FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00Labor1.12 Nick Xenophon Team $5.50 |
| Rankin (QLD) | Coalition 16.00ConsumerRights51.00 Family First 51.00Green51.00 KAP (Bob Katter) 51.00Labor1.01 Lib Dem $51.00 |
| Reid (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition1.25 Family First 151.00Green51.00 Labor $3.75 |
| Richmond (NSW) | Animal Justice Party 151.00ChristianDemocraticParty101.00 Coalition 5.00Green11.00 Labor 1.15PaulineHanson101.00 |
| Riverina (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition1.01 Family First 151.00Green51.00 Independent (Richard Foley) 151.00Labor21.00 |
| Robertson (NSW) | Anti-Paedophile Party (Lawrie Higgins) 151.00ChristianDemocraticParty101.00 Coalition 1.25Green51.00 Independent (Van Davy) 34.00Labor3.75 Lib Dem $51.00 |
| Ryan (QLD) | Coalition 1.01DemocraticLabourParty51.00 Family First 51.00Green51.00 Labor 16.00LibDem51.00 |
| Scullin (VIC) | Any Other 34.00Coalition26.00 Green 16.00Labor1.01 |
| Shortland (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition16.00 Green 51.00Labor1.01 |
| Solomon (NT) | Australia First 151.00CitizensElectoralCouncil151.00 Coalition 2.40Green41.00 HEMP Party 151.00Independent(MarkGarner)101.00 Labor 1.55LibDem151.00 Rise Up Australia 151.00Shooters151.00 |
| Stirling (WA) | Any Other 34.00Coalition1.10 Green 51.00Labor6.00 |
| Sturt (SA) | Animal Justice Party 51.00Coalition1.15 Family First 51.00Green51.00 Independent (Neil Aitchison) 51.00Labor11.00 Nick Xenophon Team $5.00 |
| Swan (WA) | Any Other 51.00Coalition1.40 Green 51.00Labor2.60 |
| Sydney (NSW) | Animal Justice Party 151.00AustralianSexParty101.00 Christian Democratic Party 151.00Coalition34.00 Green 8.00Labor1.05 Online Direct Democracy 151.00ScienceParty151.00 Socialist Alliance 151.00SustainableAustralia151.00 |
| Tangney (WA) | Coalition 1.01Green51.00 Independent (Dennis Jensen) 16.00Labor34.00 |
| Wakefield (SA) | Christian Democratic Party 51.00Coalition16.00 Family First 51.00Green51.00 Independent (John Bolton) 51.00Labor1.15 Nick Xenophon Team $5.00 |
| Wannon (VIC) | Any Other 16.00Coalition1.01 Green 51.00Labor34.00 |
| Warringah (NSW) | Arts Party 151.00ChristianDemocraticParty101.00 Coalition 1.02Green51.00 Independent (David Barrow) 151.00Independent(JamesMathison)9.00 Independent (Tony Backhouse) 151.00Labor21.00 Nick Xenophon Team 11.00ScienceParty151.00 |
| Watson (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition21.00 Green 51.00Labor1.01 Online Direct Democracy 151.00ScienceParty151.00 |
| Wentworth (NSW) | Arts Party 151.00ChristianDemocraticParty101.00 Coalition 1.01Green51.00 Independent (Allen David) 151.00Independent(MarcAussie−Stone)1001.00 Labor 15.00ScienceParty151.00 |
| Werriwa (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition4.00 Green 51.00Labor1.22 |
| Whitlam (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition34.00 Green 16.00Labor1.01 Non Custodial Parents Party $151.00 |
| Wide Bay (QLD) | Coalition 1.01FamilyFirst51.00 Glenn Lazarus Team 51.00Green34.00 KAP (Bob Katter) 51.00Labor12.00 Pauline Hanson $51.00 |
| Wills (VIC) | Any Other 51.00Coalition34.00 Green 5.00Labor1.15 |
| Wright (QLD) | Coalition 1.01FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00Labor16.00 Lib Dem 51.00MatureAustralia51.00 Pauline Hanson $51.00 |
Tally of seats by party and date, based on summed and normalised probabilities over 15 per cent
| Any Other | Coalition | Green | Ind | Katter | Labor | NXT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-05-12 | 0.0 | 75.146300 | 2.634434 | 1.947973 | 0.805485 | 69.092476 | 0.373333 |
| 2016-05-13 | 0.0 | 75.146300 | 2.634434 | 1.947973 | 0.805485 | 69.092476 | 0.373333 |
| 2016-05-14 | 0.0 | 75.146300 | 2.634434 | 1.947973 | 0.805485 | 69.092476 | 0.373333 |
| 2016-05-15 | 0.0 | 75.069604 | 2.634446 | 1.947982 | 0.805489 | 69.169146 | 0.373334 |
| 2016-05-16 | 0.0 | 75.263309 | 2.632165 | 1.946295 | 0.804791 | 68.980429 | 0.373011 |
| 2016-05-17 | 0.0 | 75.540848 | 2.632159 | 1.946291 | 0.804789 | 68.702903 | 0.373010 |
| 2016-05-18 | 0.0 | 75.573609 | 2.631526 | 2.043632 | 0.804596 | 68.573716 | 0.372921 |
| 2016-05-19 | 0.0 | 75.594035 | 2.637050 | 2.047921 | 0.806285 | 68.541007 | 0.373703 |
| 2016-05-20 | 0.0 | 75.457701 | 2.637441 | 2.048226 | 0.806404 | 68.676468 | 0.373759 |
| 2016-05-21 | 0.0 | 75.470914 | 2.638363 | 2.009670 | 0.806686 | 68.700477 | 0.373889 |
| 2016-05-22 | 0.0 | 75.520502 | 2.637671 | 2.009143 | 0.806475 | 68.652419 | 0.373791 |
| 2016-05-23 | 0.0 | 75.550110 | 2.637616 | 2.009101 | 0.806458 | 68.622932 | 0.373784 |
| 2016-05-24 | 0.0 | 75.731887 | 2.635623 | 2.007583 | 0.805849 | 68.445557 | 0.373501 |
| 2016-05-25 | 0.0 | 75.791944 | 2.635621 | 2.007582 | 0.805848 | 68.385504 | 0.373501 |
| 2016-05-26 | 0.0 | 75.794509 | 2.864180 | 2.007650 | 0.805875 | 68.154272 | 0.373514 |
| 2016-05-27 | 0.0 | 75.963434 | 2.977278 | 2.046647 | 0.806693 | 68.016750 | 0.189199 |
| 2016-05-28 | 0.0 | 76.033255 | 2.974371 | 2.012217 | 0.806781 | 67.984155 | 0.189219 |
| 2016-05-29 | 0.0 | 76.196598 | 2.974082 | 2.012022 | 0.806703 | 67.821393 | 0.189201 |
| 2016-05-30 | 0.0 | 76.196598 | 2.974082 | 2.012022 | 0.806703 | 67.821393 | 0.189201 |
| 2016-05-31 | 0.0 | 76.427642 | 2.978964 | 2.015324 | 0.808027 | 67.580531 | 0.189512 |
| 2016-06-01 | 0.0 | 76.442134 | 2.975327 | 2.012864 | 0.807041 | 67.549319 | 0.213316 |
| 2016-06-02 | 0.0 | 76.156933 | 2.796042 | 2.018997 | 0.953689 | 67.812157 | 0.262183 |
| 2016-06-03 | 0.0 | 76.125368 | 2.365721 | 2.003718 | 0.975830 | 68.253514 | 0.275850 |
| 2016-06-04 | 0.0 | 76.200019 | 2.380931 | 2.074646 | 0.958644 | 67.935155 | 0.450604 |
| 2016-06-05 | 0.0 | 76.200019 | 2.380931 | 2.074646 | 0.958644 | 67.935155 | 0.450604 |
| 2016-06-06 | 0.0 | 76.200019 | 2.380931 | 2.074646 | 0.958644 | 67.935155 | 0.450604 |
| 2016-06-07 | 0.0 | 76.190012 | 2.324851 | 2.101569 | 0.958415 | 67.974657 | 0.450497 |
| 2016-06-08 | 0.0 | 76.041181 | 2.319228 | 2.096486 | 0.956097 | 67.747606 | 0.839402 |
| 2016-06-09 | 0.0 | 76.080231 | 2.313284 | 2.095367 | 0.955587 | 67.716578 | 0.838953 |
| 2016-06-10 | 0.0 | 76.670161 | 2.317149 | 2.054650 | 0.957183 | 67.160502 | 0.840355 |
| 2016-06-11 | 0.0 | 76.511462 | 2.315844 | 2.053493 | 0.956644 | 67.052136 | 1.110421 |
| 2016-06-12 | 0.0 | 76.511462 | 2.315844 | 2.053493 | 0.956644 | 67.052136 | 1.110421 |
| 2016-06-13 | 0.0 | 76.483322 | 1.651875 | 2.053822 | 0.956797 | 67.710156 | 1.144029 |
| 2016-06-14 | 0.0 | 77.020226 | 1.651969 | 2.053939 | 0.956852 | 67.172921 | 1.144094 |
| 2016-06-15 | 0.0 | 77.561351 | 1.406900 | 2.057803 | 0.958652 | 67.056080 | 0.959214 |
| 2016-06-16 | 0.0 | 77.555759 | 1.407565 | 2.058777 | 0.959106 | 67.061037 | 0.957756 |
| 2016-06-17 | 0.0 | 77.292767 | 1.394513 | 2.257655 | 0.969931 | 67.099996 | 0.985138 |
| 2016-06-18 | 0.0 | 77.389574 | 1.395051 | 2.258526 | 0.970305 | 66.930665 | 1.055880 |
| 2016-06-19 | 0.0 | 78.068372 | 1.393252 | 2.255614 | 0.969054 | 66.061669 | 1.252039 |
| 2016-06-20 | 0.0 | 77.945607 | 1.393576 | 2.256138 | 0.969279 | 66.183070 | 1.252330 |
| 2016-06-21 | 0.0 | 77.771008 | 1.419261 | 2.281442 | 0.910501 | 65.928803 | 1.688986 |
| 2016-06-22 | 0.0 | 77.440683 | 1.807625 | 2.299695 | 0.849262 | 64.902408 | 2.700328 |
| 2016-06-23 | 0.0 | 77.124393 | 1.592476 | 2.298811 | 0.848935 | 65.436096 | 2.699290 |
| 2016-06-24 | 0.0 | 77.153673 | 1.558910 | 2.263985 | 0.855626 | 65.496604 | 2.671202 |
Tally of seats by party and date, tallying equal favourites as a separate category
| Coalition | Labor | Coalition=Labor | Ind | Green | Katter | NXT | Coalition=NXT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-05-12 | 78 | 68 | - | 2 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-05-13 | 78 | 68 | - | 2 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-05-14 | 78 | 68 | - | 2 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-05-15 | 78 | 68 | - | 2 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-05-16 | 78 | 68 | - | 2 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-05-17 | 79 | 67 | - | 2 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-05-18 | 80 | 65 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-05-19 | 80 | 65 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-05-20 | 80 | 65 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-05-21 | 80 | 65 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-05-22 | 80 | 65 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-05-23 | 80 | 65 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-05-24 | 80 | 64 | 2.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-05-25 | 80 | 64 | 2.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-05-26 | 80 | 63 | 2.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-05-27 | 80 | 62 | 3.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-05-28 | 80 | 62 | 3.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-05-29 | 80 | 62 | 3.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-05-30 | 80 | 62 | 3.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-05-31 | 80 | 62 | 3.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-06-01 | 80 | 63 | 2.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-06-02 | 79 | 64 | 2.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-06-03 | 78 | 64 | 3.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-06-04 | 78 | 64 | 3.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-06-05 | 78 | 64 | 3.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-06-06 | 78 | 64 | 3.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-06-07 | 78 | 64 | 3.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-06-08 | 78 | 64 | 3.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-06-09 | 78 | 64 | 3.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-06-10 | 78 | 64 | 3.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-06-11 | 78 | 63 | 4.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-06-12 | 78 | 63 | 4.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-06-13 | 78 | 64 | 4.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-06-14 | 78 | 65 | 3.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-06-15 | 79 | 65 | 2.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-06-16 | 79 | 65 | 2.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-06-17 | 79 | 65 | 2.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-06-18 | 79 | 65 | 2.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
| 2016-06-19 | 78 | 64 | 3.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - | 1.0 |
| 2016-06-20 | 80 | 64 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - | 1.0 |
| 2016-06-21 | 80 | 64 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | - |
| 2016-06-22 | 80 | 65 | - | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | - |
| 2016-06-23 | 80 | 65 | - | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | - |
| 2016-06-24 | 80 | 65 | - | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | - |
Tally of seats by party and date, allocating equal favourites proportionately to parties
| Any Other | Coalition | Green | Ind | Katter | Labor | NXT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 12 | 0.0 | 78.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 68.0 | 0.0 |
| May 13 | 0.0 | 78.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 68.0 | 0.0 |
| May 14 | 0.0 | 78.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 68.0 | 0.0 |
| May 15 | 0.0 | 78.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 68.0 | 0.0 |
| May 16 | 0.0 | 78.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 68.0 | 0.0 |
| May 17 | 0.0 | 79.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 67.0 | 0.0 |
| May 18 | 0.0 | 80.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 65.5 | 0.0 |
| May 19 | 0.0 | 80.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 65.5 | 0.0 |
| May 20 | 0.0 | 80.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 65.5 | 0.0 |
| May 21 | 0.0 | 80.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 65.5 | 0.0 |
| May 22 | 0.0 | 80.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 65.5 | 0.0 |
| May 23 | 0.0 | 80.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 65.5 | 0.0 |
| May 24 | 0.0 | 81.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 65.0 | 0.0 |
| May 25 | 0.0 | 81.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 65.0 | 0.0 |
| May 26 | 0.0 | 81.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 64.0 | 0.0 |
| May 27 | 0.0 | 81.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 63.5 | 0.0 |
| May 28 | 0.0 | 81.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 63.5 | 0.0 |
| May 29 | 0.0 | 81.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 63.5 | 0.0 |
| May 30 | 0.0 | 81.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 63.5 | 0.0 |
| May 31 | 0.0 | 81.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 63.5 | 0.0 |
| Jun 01 | 0.0 | 81.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 64.0 | 0.0 |
| Jun 02 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 65.0 | 0.0 |
| Jun 03 | 0.0 | 79.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 65.5 | 0.0 |
| Jun 04 | 0.0 | 79.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 65.5 | 0.0 |
| Jun 05 | 0.0 | 79.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 65.5 | 0.0 |
| Jun 06 | 0.0 | 79.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 65.5 | 0.0 |
| Jun 07 | 0.0 | 79.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 65.5 | 0.0 |
| Jun 08 | 0.0 | 79.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 65.5 | 0.0 |
| Jun 09 | 0.0 | 79.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 65.5 | 0.0 |
| Jun 10 | 0.0 | 79.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 65.5 | 0.0 |
| Jun 11 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 65.0 | 0.0 |
| Jun 12 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 65.0 | 0.0 |
| Jun 13 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 66.0 | 0.0 |
| Jun 14 | 0.0 | 79.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 66.5 | 0.0 |
| Jun 15 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 66.0 | 0.0 |
| Jun 16 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 66.0 | 0.0 |
| Jun 17 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 66.0 | 0.0 |
| Jun 18 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 66.0 | 0.0 |
| Jun 19 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 65.5 | 0.5 |
| Jun 20 | 0.0 | 81.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 64.5 | 0.5 |
| Jun 21 | 0.0 | 80.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 64.5 | 1.0 |
| Jun 22 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 65.0 | 1.0 |
| Jun 23 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 65.0 | 1.0 |
| Jun 24 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 65.0 | 1.0 |
Seats ranked by closeness
| Ranked by Closeness | Win Probability (%) | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 24 Jun | Thu 23 Jun | Change in Rank | Any Other | Coalition | Green | Ind | Katter | Labor | NXT | |
| Mayo (SA) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3.41 | 43.48 | 1.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.71 | 49.70 |
| Cowan (WA) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2.62 | 44.62 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 51.00 | 0.00 |
| Batman (VIC) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12.26 | 2.30 | 37.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 48.23 | 0.00 |
| Gilmore (NSW) | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0.90 | 55.06 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 42.26 | 0.00 |
| Lyons (TAS) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5.08 | 53.97 | 1.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 39.25 | 0.00 |
| Solomon (NT) | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3.50 | 36.68 | 2.15 | 0.87 | 0.00 | 56.80 | 0.00 |
| Macquarie (NSW) | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4.98 | 56.16 | 3.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.57 | 0.00 |
| Forde (QLD) | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5.14 | 58.22 | 1.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.93 | 0.00 |
| Brisbane (QLD) | 9 | 8 | 1 | 2.91 | 59.05 | 2.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.43 | 0.00 |
| Capricornia (QLD) | 9 | 8 | 1 | 1.17 | 35.43 | 1.74 | 0.00 | 2.61 | 59.05 | 0.00 |
| La Trobe (Vic) | 11 | 10 | 1 | 2.64 | 59.75 | 1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.85 | 0.00 |
| Dunkley (VIC) | 12 | 12 | 0 | 2.20 | 60.02 | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.01 | 0.00 |
| Macarthur (NSW) | 13 | 13 | 0 | 0.00 | 34.14 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 58.86 | 5.33 |
| Hindmarsh (SA) | 14 | 14 | 0 | 4.78 | 50.13 | 1.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.20 | 20.30 |
| Swan (WA) | 15 | 15 | 0 | 1.72 | 62.76 | 1.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.79 | 0.00 |
| Burt (WA) | 16 | 16 | 0 | 2.69 | 33.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 63.46 | 0.00 |
| Grey (SA) | 17 | 17 | 0 | 3.34 | 60.78 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.27 | 30.94 |
| Hasluck (WA) | 18 | 18 | 0 | 2.61 | 63.38 | 1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.27 | 0.00 |
| Banks (NSW) | 19 | 19 | 0 | 2.91 | 63.35 | 1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.02 | 0.00 |
| Boothby (SA) | 20 | 21 | -1 | 6.48 | 61.19 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.18 | 27.54 |
| Barker (SA) | 21 | 21 | 0 | 1.70 | 64.31 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.34 | 28.94 |
| Deakin (VIC) | 22 | 23 | -1 | 2.60 | 65.38 | 2.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 29.42 | 0.00 |
| Adelaide (SA) | 23 | 24 | -1 | 2.45 | 24.99 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 63.44 | 7.50 |
| Chisholm (VIC) | 24 | 25 | -1 | 2.62 | 27.03 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 68.60 | 0.00 |
| New England (NSW) | 25 | 20 | 5 | 4.50 | 67.01 | 1.67 | 24.32 | 0.00 | 2.50 | 0.00 |
| Braddon (TAS) | 26 | 27 | -1 | 6.70 | 67.23 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.40 | 0.00 |
| Petrie (QLD) | 27 | 30 | -3 | 5.06 | 24.58 | 2.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 68.27 | 0.00 |
| Eden Monaro (NSW) | 28 | 26 | 2 | 3.79 | 25.16 | 1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 69.33 | 0.00 |
| Robertson (NSW) | 29 | 28 | 1 | 5.69 | 69.46 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.15 | 0.00 |
| Longman (QLD) | 30 | 36 | -6 | 10.89 | 66.15 | 1.56 | 0.00 | 1.56 | 19.84 | 0.00 |
| Bass (TAS) | 31 | 31 | 0 | 5.14 | 69.86 | 1.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.29 | 0.00 |
| Paterson (NSW) | 32 | 29 | 3 | 2.90 | 23.43 | 3.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 70.29 | 0.00 |
| Reid (NSW) | 33 | 32 | 1 | 1.50 | 72.54 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.18 | 0.00 |
| Flynn (QLD) | 34 | 42 | -8 | 8.11 | 68.95 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 1.62 | 19.70 | 0.00 |
| Griffith (QLD) | 35 | 40 | -5 | 8.18 | 19.86 | 2.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 69.51 | 0.00 |
| Cowper (NSW) | 36 | 33 | 3 | 2.03 | 71.79 | 1.72 | 21.89 | 0.00 | 2.58 | 0.00 |
| Lingiari (NT) | 37 | 34 | 3 | 4.08 | 22.02 | 1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 72.18 | 0.00 |
| Indi (VIC) | 38 | 35 | 3 | 2.44 | 21.37 | 1.63 | 72.13 | 0.00 | 2.44 | 0.00 |
| Dawson (QLD) | 39 | 37 | 2 | 1.98 | 72.94 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 2.08 | 21.33 | 0.00 |
| Werriwa (NSW) | 40 | 38 | 2 | 0.90 | 22.74 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 74.57 | 0.00 |
| Bruce (VIC) | 41 | 39 | 2 | 2.14 | 21.90 | 1.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 74.24 | 0.00 |
| Greenway (NSW) | 42 | 41 | 1 | 3.10 | 21.27 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 73.97 | 0.00 |
| Bonner (QLD) | 43 | 43 | 0 | 2.75 | 74.70 | 1.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.91 | 0.00 |
| Sturt (SA) | 44 | 49 | -5 | 4.75 | 70.19 | 1.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.34 | 16.14 |
| Leichhardt (QLD) | 45 | 52 | -7 | 8.86 | 71.47 | 1.61 | 0.00 | 1.61 | 16.44 | 0.00 |
| Wakefield (SA) | 46 | 47 | -1 | 4.86 | 5.16 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 71.84 | 16.52 |
| Makin (SA) | 46 | 47 | -1 | 4.86 | 5.16 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 71.84 | 16.52 |
| Herbert (QLD) | 48 | 50 | -2 | 8.12 | 72.05 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 1.62 | 16.57 | 0.00 |
| Page (NSW) | 49 | 45 | 4 | 3.19 | 19.62 | 1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 75.46 | 0.00 |
| Kingston (SA) | 50 | 44 | 6 | 1.64 | 6.99 | 1.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 72.94 | 16.78 |
| Richmond (NSW) | 51 | 46 | 5 | 2.23 | 16.85 | 7.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 73.26 | 0.00 |
| Kennedy (QLD) | 52 | 51 | 1 | 0.87 | 17.58 | 1.72 | 0.00 | 76.44 | 3.38 | 0.00 |
| Port Adelaide (SA) | 53 | 56 | -3 | 4.94 | 3.23 | 1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 74.93 | 15.26 |
| Dobell (NSW) | 54 | 53 | 1 | 2.66 | 17.87 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 77.71 | 0.00 |
| Corangamite (VIC) | 55 | 54 | 1 | 2.63 | 77.74 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.88 | 0.00 |
| Wills (VIC) | 55 | 54 | 1 | 1.75 | 2.63 | 17.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 77.74 | 0.00 |
| Lindsay (NSW) | 57 | 57 | 0 | 5.71 | 76.01 | 1.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.94 | 2.70 |
| Higgins (VIC) | 58 | 58 | 0 | 2.51 | 77.54 | 14.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.06 | 1.67 |
| Moreton (QLD) | 59 | 61 | -2 | 3.10 | 13.19 | 1.55 | 0.00 | 1.55 | 76.83 | 3.77 |
| Hinkler (QLD) | 60 | 59 | 1 | 6.59 | 77.77 | 1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.00 | 0.00 |
| Parramatta (NSW) | 61 | 60 | 1 | 4.31 | 14.56 | 1.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 79.41 | 0.00 |
| Dickson (QLD) | 62 | 62 | 0 | 3.40 | 80.17 | 1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.70 | 0.00 |
| Stirling (WA) | 63 | 63 | 0 | 2.61 | 80.82 | 1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.82 | 0.00 |
| Bendigo (VIC) | 63 | 63 | 0 | 2.61 | 14.82 | 1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 80.82 | 0.00 |
| Aston (VIC) | 65 | 65 | 0 | 4.15 | 80.17 | 1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.03 | 0.00 |
| Bowman (QLD) | 66 | 66 | 0 | 1.19 | 82.00 | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.03 | 0.00 |
| Grayndler (NSW) | 67 | 67 | 0 | 4.88 | 3.28 | 12.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 79.67 | 0.00 |
| Warringah (NSW) | 68 | 68 | 0 | 2.83 | 76.23 | 1.52 | 8.64 | 0.00 | 3.70 | 7.07 |
| Melbourne Ports (VIC) | 69 | 69 | 0 | 2.49 | 10.59 | 8.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 78.45 | 0.00 |
| Fremantle (WA) | 70 | 70 | 0 | 2.51 | 2.51 | 12.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 82.80 | 0.00 |
| Sydney (NSW) | 71 | 71 | 0 | 4.29 | 2.54 | 10.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 82.36 | 0.00 |
| Fisher (QLD) | 72 | 92 | -20 | 9.72 | 81.78 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.88 | 0.00 |
| Oxley (QLD) | 73 | 76 | -3 | 3.41 | 10.24 | 1.71 | 0.00 | 1.71 | 82.93 | 0.00 |
| Perth (WA) | 74 | 72 | 2 | 1.70 | 10.83 | 3.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 84.14 | 0.00 |
| Blair (QLD) | 75 | 73 | 2 | 4.06 | 10.36 | 1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 83.86 | 0.00 |
| Mackellar (NSW) | 76 | 74 | 2 | 9.49 | 83.27 | 3.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| Lilley (QLD) | 77 | 76 | 1 | 3.47 | 10.42 | 1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 84.37 | 0.00 |
| Melbourne (VIC) | 78 | 75 | 3 | 3.40 | 2.60 | 84.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.82 | 0.00 |
| Ballarat (VIC) | 79 | 92 | -13 | 6.58 | 8.64 | 1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 83.13 | 0.00 |
| Casey (VIC) | 80 | 76 | 4 | 2.63 | 85.11 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.51 | 0.00 |
| McEwen (VIC) | 80 | 76 | 4 | 2.63 | 10.51 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 85.11 | 0.00 |
| Brand (WA) | 80 | 76 | 4 | 2.63 | 10.51 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 85.11 | 0.00 |
| Barton (NSW) | 83 | 81 | 2 | 2.08 | 10.57 | 1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 85.59 | 0.00 |
| Kingsford Smith (NSW) | 84 | 82 | 2 | 1.49 | 10.64 | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 86.10 | 0.00 |
| Fairfax (QLD) | 85 | 106 | -21 | 8.38 | 84.61 | 1.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.34 | 0.00 |
| Wide Bay (QLD) | 86 | 86 | 0 | 4.98 | 83.82 | 2.49 | 0.00 | 1.66 | 7.05 | 0.00 |
| Denison (TAS) | 87 | 85 | 2 | 3.32 | 4.04 | 1.66 | 83.92 | 0.00 | 7.06 | 0.00 |
| Menzies (VIC) | 88 | 83 | 5 | 2.52 | 84.73 | 1.68 | 7.78 | 0.00 | 3.29 | 0.00 |
| North Sydney (NSW) | 89 | 84 | 5 | 7.77 | 85.16 | 1.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.38 | 0.00 |
| Franklin (TAS) | 90 | 87 | 3 | 3.38 | 7.18 | 4.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 85.33 | 0.00 |
| Maranoa (QLD) | 91 | 88 | 3 | 6.79 | 85.70 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 1.70 | 4.12 | 0.00 |
| Wright (QLD) | 92 | 106 | -14 | 6.82 | 86.05 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.43 | 0.00 |
| Bennelong (NSW) | 93 | 89 | 4 | 3.76 | 87.17 | 1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.34 | 0.00 |
| Canberra (ACT) | 94 | 91 | 3 | 0.88 | 7.37 | 4.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 87.55 | 0.00 |
| Rankin (QLD) | 95 | 106 | -11 | 5.11 | 5.43 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 1.70 | 86.05 | 0.00 |
| Pearce (WA) | 96 | 92 | 4 | 2.62 | 88.21 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.42 | 0.00 |
| Berowra (NSW) | 97 | 95 | 2 | 2.36 | 88.44 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.44 | 0.00 |
| Bradfield (NSW) | 98 | 96 | 2 | 2.07 | 88.70 | 1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.47 | 0.00 |
| Corio (VIC) | 99 | 97 | 2 | 5.56 | 5.56 | 1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 87.15 | 0.00 |
| Blaxland (NSW) | 100 | 98 | 2 | 1.49 | 7.51 | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.23 | 0.00 |
| Ryan (QLD) | 101 | 106 | -5 | 5.20 | 87.54 | 1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.53 | 0.00 |
| Scullin (VIC) | 102 | 99 | 3 | 2.62 | 3.43 | 5.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 88.36 | 0.00 |
| Gellibrand (VIC) | 102 | 99 | 3 | 2.62 | 3.43 | 5.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 88.36 | 0.00 |
| Mallee (VIC) | 104 | 101 | 3 | 5.58 | 88.42 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.25 | 0.00 |
| Wentworth (NSW) | 105 | 141 | -36 | 2.78 | 89.43 | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.02 | 0.00 |
| Hunter (NSW) | 106 | 102 | 4 | 3.57 | 5.62 | 1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.05 | 0.00 |
| McPherson (QLD) | 107 | 106 | 1 | 3.53 | 89.08 | 1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.62 | 0.00 |
| Newcastle (NSW) | 108 | 103 | 5 | 2.99 | 5.65 | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.58 | 0.00 |
| Fadden (QLD) | 109 | 104 | 5 | 2.97 | 89.60 | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.66 | 0.00 |
| Hume (NSW) | 110 | 105 | 5 | 2.11 | 90.05 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.06 | 0.00 |
| Flinders (VIC) | 111 | 106 | 5 | 2.67 | 89.88 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.67 | 0.00 |
| Canning (WA) | 111 | 106 | 5 | 2.67 | 89.88 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.67 | 0.00 |
| Kooyong (VIC) | 111 | 106 | 5 | 2.67 | 89.88 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.67 | 0.00 |
| Jagajaga (VIC) | 111 | 106 | 5 | 2.67 | 5.67 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.88 | 0.00 |
| Isaacs (VIC) | 111 | 106 | 5 | 2.67 | 5.67 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.88 | 0.00 |
| Curtin (WA) | 111 | 106 | 5 | 2.67 | 89.88 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.67 | 0.00 |
| Calwell (VIC) | 111 | 106 | 5 | 2.67 | 5.67 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.88 | 0.00 |
| Tangney (WA) | 111 | 106 | 5 | 0.00 | 89.88 | 1.78 | 5.67 | 0.00 | 2.67 | 0.00 |
| Lalor (VIC) | 111 | 106 | 5 | 2.67 | 5.67 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.88 | 0.00 |
| Wannon (VIC) | 111 | 106 | 5 | 5.67 | 89.88 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.67 | 0.00 |
| Maribyrnong (VIC) | 111 | 106 | 5 | 2.67 | 5.67 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.88 | 0.00 |
| Hotham (VIC) | 111 | 106 | 5 | 2.67 | 5.67 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.88 | 0.00 |
| Holt (VIC) | 111 | 106 | 5 | 2.67 | 5.67 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.88 | 0.00 |
| Gippsland (VIC) | 111 | 106 | 5 | 5.67 | 89.88 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.67 | 0.00 |
| Moore (WA) | 111 | 106 | 5 | 2.67 | 89.88 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.67 | 0.00 |
| McMillan (VIC) | 111 | 106 | 5 | 2.67 | 89.88 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.67 | 0.00 |
| Goldstein (VIC) | 111 | 106 | 5 | 2.67 | 89.88 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.67 | 0.00 |
| Gorton (VIC) | 111 | 106 | 5 | 2.67 | 5.67 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.88 | 0.00 |
| Forrest (WA) | 111 | 106 | 5 | 2.67 | 89.88 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.67 | 0.00 |
| Whitlam (NSW) | 130 | 131 | -1 | 1.50 | 2.68 | 5.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 90.13 | 0.00 |
| Cook (NSW) | 130 | 131 | -1 | 1.50 | 90.13 | 5.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.68 | 0.00 |
| Groom (QLD) | 132 | 90 | 42 | 1.76 | 88.77 | 1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.45 | 4.27 |
| Calare (NSW) | 133 | 133 | 0 | 3.25 | 88.94 | 0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.28 | 2.64 |
| Fenner (ACT) | 134 | 134 | 0 | 1.81 | 5.72 | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 90.67 | 0.00 |
| Moncrieff (QLD) | 135 | 106 | 29 | 1.80 | 90.68 | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.72 | 0.00 |
| Chifley (NSW) | 136 | 135 | 1 | 1.52 | 5.74 | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 90.94 | 0.00 |
| Hughes (NSW) | 136 | 135 | 1 | 1.52 | 90.94 | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.74 | 0.00 |
| Durack (WA) | 138 | 137 | 1 | 5.30 | 90.55 | 1.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.49 | 0.00 |
| McMahon (NSW) | 139 | 138 | 1 | 1.22 | 5.76 | 1.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 91.22 | 0.00 |
| Mitchell (NSW) | 140 | 139 | 1 | 0.91 | 91.50 | 1.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.78 | 0.00 |
| Shortland (NSW) | 140 | 139 | 1 | 0.91 | 5.78 | 1.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 91.50 | 0.00 |
| Riverina (NSW) | 142 | 142 | 0 | 2.14 | 91.64 | 1.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.41 | 0.00 |
| Watson (NSW) | 142 | 142 | 0 | 2.14 | 4.41 | 1.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 91.64 | 0.00 |
| Lyne (NSW) | 144 | 144 | 0 | 2.12 | 90.82 | 3.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.53 | 0.00 |
| O'Connor (WA) | 145 | 145 | 0 | 2.51 | 91.76 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.06 | 0.00 |
| Fowler (NSW) | 146 | 146 | 0 | 1.54 | 4.43 | 1.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 92.20 | 0.00 |
| Cunningham (NSW) | 147 | 147 | 0 | 2.16 | 3.59 | 1.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 92.42 | 0.00 |
| Murray (VIC) | 148 | 148 | 0 | 2.53 | 92.47 | 1.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.31 | 0.00 |
| Parkes (NSW) | 149 | 149 | 0 | 1.55 | 92.99 | 1.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.61 | 0.00 |
| Farrer (NSW) | 150 | 150 | 0 | 2.86 | 95.25 | 1.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Full list of seats where the odds have changed on yesterday
| Ranked by Closeness | Win Probability (%) | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 24 June | Thu 23 June | Change in Rank | Any Other | Coalition | Green | Ind | Katter | Labor | NXT | |
| Mayo (SA) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3.41 | 43.48 | 1.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.71 | 49.70 |
| Batman (VIC) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12.26 | 2.30 | 37.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 48.23 | 0.00 |
| Lyons (TAS) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5.08 | 53.97 | 1.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 39.25 | 0.00 |
| Macquarie (NSW) | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4.98 | 56.16 | 3.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.57 | 0.00 |
| Forde (QLD) | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5.14 | 58.22 | 1.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.93 | 0.00 |
| Macarthur (NSW) | 13 | 13 | 0 | 0.00 | 34.14 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 58.86 | 5.33 |
| Hindmarsh (SA) | 14 | 14 | 0 | 4.78 | 50.13 | 1.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.20 | 20.30 |
| Grey (SA) | 17 | 17 | 0 | 3.34 | 60.78 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.27 | 30.94 |
| Boothby (SA) | 20 | 21 | -1 | 6.48 | 61.19 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.18 | 27.54 |
| Barker (SA) | 21 | 21 | 0 | 1.70 | 64.31 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.34 | 28.94 |
| New England (NSW) | 25 | 20 | 5 | 4.50 | 67.01 | 1.67 | 24.32 | 0.00 | 2.50 | 0.00 |
| Braddon (TAS) | 26 | 27 | -1 | 6.70 | 67.23 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.40 | 0.00 |
| Petrie (QLD) | 27 | 30 | -3 | 5.06 | 24.58 | 2.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 68.27 | 0.00 |
| Longman (QLD) | 30 | 36 | -6 | 10.89 | 66.15 | 1.56 | 0.00 | 1.56 | 19.84 | 0.00 |
| Bass (TAS) | 31 | 31 | 0 | 5.14 | 69.86 | 1.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.29 | 0.00 |
| Flynn (QLD) | 34 | 42 | -8 | 8.11 | 68.95 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 1.62 | 19.70 | 0.00 |
| Griffith (QLD) | 35 | 40 | -5 | 8.18 | 19.86 | 2.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 69.51 | 0.00 |
| Sturt (SA) | 44 | 49 | -5 | 4.75 | 70.19 | 1.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.34 | 16.14 |
| Leichhardt (QLD) | 45 | 52 | -7 | 8.86 | 71.47 | 1.61 | 0.00 | 1.61 | 16.44 | 0.00 |
| Wakefield (SA) | 46 | 47 | -1 | 4.86 | 5.16 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 71.84 | 16.52 |
| Makin (SA) | 46 | 47 | -1 | 4.86 | 5.16 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 71.84 | 16.52 |
| Herbert (QLD) | 48 | 50 | -2 | 8.12 | 72.05 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 1.62 | 16.57 | 0.00 |
| Kingston (SA) | 50 | 44 | 6 | 1.64 | 6.99 | 1.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 72.94 | 16.78 |
| Port Adelaide (SA) | 53 | 56 | -3 | 4.94 | 3.23 | 1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 74.93 | 15.26 |
| Moreton (QLD) | 59 | 61 | -2 | 3.10 | 13.19 | 1.55 | 0.00 | 1.55 | 76.83 | 3.77 |
| Hinkler (QLD) | 60 | 59 | 1 | 6.59 | 77.77 | 1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.00 | 0.00 |
| Fisher (QLD) | 72 | 92 | -20 | 9.72 | 81.78 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.88 | 0.00 |
| Oxley (QLD) | 73 | 76 | -3 | 3.41 | 10.24 | 1.71 | 0.00 | 1.71 | 82.93 | 0.00 |
| Lilley (QLD) | 77 | 76 | 1 | 3.47 | 10.42 | 1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 84.37 | 0.00 |
| Ballarat (VIC) | 79 | 92 | -13 | 6.58 | 8.64 | 1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 83.13 | 0.00 |
| Fairfax (QLD) | 85 | 106 | -21 | 8.38 | 84.61 | 1.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.34 | 0.00 |
| Wide Bay (QLD) | 86 | 86 | 0 | 4.98 | 83.82 | 2.49 | 0.00 | 1.66 | 7.05 | 0.00 |
| Denison (TAS) | 87 | 85 | 2 | 3.32 | 4.04 | 1.66 | 83.92 | 0.00 | 7.06 | 0.00 |
| Franklin (TAS) | 90 | 87 | 3 | 3.38 | 7.18 | 4.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 85.33 | 0.00 |
| Maranoa (QLD) | 91 | 88 | 3 | 6.79 | 85.70 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 1.70 | 4.12 | 0.00 |
| Wright (QLD) | 92 | 106 | -14 | 6.82 | 86.05 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.43 | 0.00 |
| Rankin (QLD) | 95 | 106 | -11 | 5.11 | 5.43 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 1.70 | 86.05 | 0.00 |
| Ryan (QLD) | 101 | 106 | -5 | 5.20 | 87.54 | 1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.53 | 0.00 |
| Wentworth (NSW) | 105 | 141 | -36 | 2.78 | 89.43 | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.02 | 0.00 |
| McPherson (QLD) | 107 | 106 | 1 | 3.53 | 89.08 | 1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.62 | 0.00 |
| Groom (QLD) | 132 | 90 | 42 | 1.76 | 88.77 | 1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.45 | 4.27 |
| Moncrieff (QLD) | 135 | 106 | 29 | 1.80 | 90.68 | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.72 | 0.00 |
Seats where the 2016 Favorite suggests it might change from one party to another at the 2016 election.
| TPP 2013 | TCP 2013 | 2013 Outcome | 2016 Favourite | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seat | ||||
| Burt (WA) | LIB 6.1% | - | Coalition | Labor |
| Capricornia (QLD) | LNP 0.8% | - | Coalition | Labor |
| Cowan (WA) | LIB 4.5% | - | Coalition | Labor |
| Eden Monaro (NSW) | LIB 2.9% | - | Coalition | Labor |
| Fairfax (QLD) | - | PUP 0.03% v LNP | Palmer United | Coalition |
| Macarthur (NSW) | LIB 3.3% | - | Coalition | Labor |
| Mayo (SA) | LIB 12.5% | - | Coalition | NXT |
| Page (NSW) | NAT 3.1% | - | Coalition | Labor |
| Petrie (QLD) | LNP 0.5% | - | Coalition | Labor |
| Solomon (NT) | CLP 1.4% | - | Coalition | Labor |
Complete list of Seat Probabilities
| Any Other | Coalition | Green | Ind | Katter | Labor | NXT | 2016 Favourite | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Batman (VIC) | 12.26 | 2.30 | 37.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 48.23 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Fremantle (WA) | 2.51 | 2.51 | 12.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 82.80 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Sydney (NSW) | 4.29 | 2.54 | 10.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 82.36 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Melbourne (VIC) | 3.40 | 2.60 | 84.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.82 | 0.00 | Green |
| Wills (VIC) | 1.75 | 2.63 | 17.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 77.74 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Whitlam (NSW) | 1.50 | 2.68 | 5.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 90.13 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Port Adelaide (SA) | 4.94 | 3.23 | 1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 74.93 | 15.26 | Labor |
| Grayndler (NSW) | 4.88 | 3.28 | 12.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 79.67 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Gellibrand (VIC) | 2.62 | 3.43 | 5.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 88.36 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Scullin (VIC) | 2.62 | 3.43 | 5.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 88.36 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Cunningham (NSW) | 2.16 | 3.59 | 1.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 92.42 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Denison (TAS) | 3.32 | 4.04 | 1.66 | 83.92 | 0.00 | 7.06 | 0.00 | Independent |
| Watson (NSW) | 2.14 | 4.41 | 1.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 91.64 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Fowler (NSW) | 1.54 | 4.43 | 1.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 92.20 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Makin (SA) | 4.86 | 5.16 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 71.84 | 16.52 | Labor |
| Wakefield (SA) | 4.86 | 5.16 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 71.84 | 16.52 | Labor |
| Rankin (QLD) | 5.11 | 5.43 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 1.70 | 86.05 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Corio (VIC) | 5.56 | 5.56 | 1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 87.15 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Hunter (NSW) | 3.57 | 5.62 | 1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.05 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Newcastle (NSW) | 2.99 | 5.65 | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.58 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Lalor (VIC) | 2.67 | 5.67 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.88 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Holt (VIC) | 2.67 | 5.67 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.88 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Hotham (VIC) | 2.67 | 5.67 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.88 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Isaacs (VIC) | 2.67 | 5.67 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.88 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Jagajaga (VIC) | 2.67 | 5.67 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.88 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Maribyrnong (VIC) | 2.67 | 5.67 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.88 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Gorton (VIC) | 2.67 | 5.67 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.88 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Calwell (VIC) | 2.67 | 5.67 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.88 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Fenner (ACT) | 1.81 | 5.72 | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 90.67 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Chifley (NSW) | 1.52 | 5.74 | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 90.94 | 0.00 | Labor |
| McMahon (NSW) | 1.22 | 5.76 | 1.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 91.22 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Shortland (NSW) | 0.91 | 5.78 | 1.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 91.50 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Kingston (SA) | 1.64 | 6.99 | 1.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 72.94 | 16.78 | Labor |
| Franklin (TAS) | 3.38 | 7.18 | 4.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 85.33 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Canberra (ACT) | 0.88 | 7.37 | 4.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 87.55 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Blaxland (NSW) | 1.49 | 7.51 | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.23 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Ballarat (VIC) | 6.58 | 8.64 | 1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 83.13 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Oxley (QLD) | 3.41 | 10.24 | 1.71 | 0.00 | 1.71 | 82.93 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Blair (QLD) | 4.06 | 10.36 | 1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 83.86 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Lilley (QLD) | 3.47 | 10.42 | 1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 84.37 | 0.00 | Labor |
| McEwen (VIC) | 2.63 | 10.51 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 85.11 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Brand (WA) | 2.63 | 10.51 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 85.11 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Barton (NSW) | 2.08 | 10.57 | 1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 85.59 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Melbourne Ports (VIC) | 2.49 | 10.59 | 8.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 78.45 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Kingsford Smith (NSW) | 1.49 | 10.64 | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 86.10 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Perth (WA) | 1.70 | 10.83 | 3.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 84.14 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Moreton (QLD) | 3.10 | 13.19 | 1.55 | 0.00 | 1.55 | 76.83 | 3.77 | Labor |
| Parramatta (NSW) | 4.31 | 14.56 | 1.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 79.41 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Bendigo (VIC) | 2.61 | 14.82 | 1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 80.82 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Richmond (NSW) | 2.23 | 16.85 | 7.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 73.26 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Kennedy (QLD) | 0.87 | 17.58 | 1.72 | 0.00 | 76.44 | 3.38 | 0.00 | Katter |
| Dobell (NSW) | 2.66 | 17.87 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 77.71 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Page (NSW) | 3.19 | 19.62 | 1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 75.46 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Griffith (QLD) | 8.18 | 19.86 | 2.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 69.51 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Greenway (NSW) | 3.10 | 21.27 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 73.97 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Indi (VIC) | 2.44 | 21.37 | 1.63 | 72.13 | 0.00 | 2.44 | 0.00 | Independent |
| Bruce (VIC) | 2.14 | 21.90 | 1.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 74.24 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Lingiari (NT) | 4.08 | 22.02 | 1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 72.18 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Werriwa (NSW) | 0.90 | 22.74 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 74.57 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Paterson (NSW) | 2.90 | 23.43 | 3.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 70.29 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Petrie (QLD) | 5.06 | 24.58 | 2.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 68.27 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Adelaide (SA) | 2.45 | 24.99 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 63.44 | 7.50 | Labor |
| Eden Monaro (NSW) | 3.79 | 25.16 | 1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 69.33 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Chisholm (VIC) | 2.62 | 27.03 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 68.60 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Burt (WA) | 2.69 | 33.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 63.46 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Macarthur (NSW) | 0.00 | 34.14 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 58.86 | 5.33 | Labor |
| Capricornia (QLD) | 1.17 | 35.43 | 1.74 | 0.00 | 2.61 | 59.05 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Solomon (NT) | 3.50 | 36.68 | 2.15 | 0.87 | 0.00 | 56.80 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Mayo (SA) | 3.41 | 43.48 | 1.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.71 | 49.70 | NXT |
| Cowan (WA) | 2.62 | 44.62 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 51.00 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Hindmarsh (SA) | 4.78 | 50.13 | 1.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.20 | 20.30 | Coalition |
| Lyons (TAS) | 5.08 | 53.97 | 1.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 39.25 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Gilmore (NSW) | 0.90 | 55.06 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 42.26 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Macquarie (NSW) | 4.98 | 56.16 | 3.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.57 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Forde (QLD) | 5.14 | 58.22 | 1.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.93 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Brisbane (QLD) | 2.91 | 59.05 | 2.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.43 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| La Trobe (Vic) | 2.64 | 59.75 | 1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.85 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Dunkley (VIC) | 2.20 | 60.02 | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.01 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Grey (SA) | 3.34 | 60.78 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.27 | 30.94 | Coalition |
| Boothby (SA) | 6.48 | 61.19 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.18 | 27.54 | Coalition |
| Swan (WA) | 1.72 | 62.76 | 1.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.79 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Banks (NSW) | 2.91 | 63.35 | 1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.02 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Hasluck (WA) | 2.61 | 63.38 | 1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.27 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Barker (SA) | 1.70 | 64.31 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.34 | 28.94 | Coalition |
| Deakin (VIC) | 2.60 | 65.38 | 2.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 29.42 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Longman (QLD) | 10.89 | 66.15 | 1.56 | 0.00 | 1.56 | 19.84 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| New England (NSW) | 4.50 | 67.01 | 1.67 | 24.32 | 0.00 | 2.50 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Braddon (TAS) | 6.70 | 67.23 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.40 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Flynn (QLD) | 8.11 | 68.95 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 1.62 | 19.70 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Robertson (NSW) | 5.69 | 69.46 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.15 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Bass (TAS) | 5.14 | 69.86 | 1.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.29 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Sturt (SA) | 4.75 | 70.19 | 1.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.34 | 16.14 | Coalition |
| Leichhardt (QLD) | 8.86 | 71.47 | 1.61 | 0.00 | 1.61 | 16.44 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Cowper (NSW) | 2.03 | 71.79 | 1.72 | 21.89 | 0.00 | 2.58 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Herbert (QLD) | 8.12 | 72.05 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 1.62 | 16.57 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Reid (NSW) | 1.50 | 72.54 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.18 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Dawson (QLD) | 1.98 | 72.94 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 2.08 | 21.33 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Bonner (QLD) | 2.75 | 74.70 | 1.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.91 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Lindsay (NSW) | 5.71 | 76.01 | 1.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.94 | 2.70 | Coalition |
| Warringah (NSW) | 2.83 | 76.23 | 1.52 | 8.64 | 0.00 | 3.70 | 7.07 | Coalition |
| Higgins (VIC) | 2.51 | 77.54 | 14.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.06 | 1.67 | Coalition |
| Corangamite (VIC) | 2.63 | 77.74 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.88 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Hinkler (QLD) | 6.59 | 77.77 | 1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.00 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Dickson (QLD) | 3.40 | 80.17 | 1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.70 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Aston (VIC) | 4.15 | 80.17 | 1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.03 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Stirling (WA) | 2.61 | 80.82 | 1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.82 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Fisher (QLD) | 9.72 | 81.78 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.88 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Bowman (QLD) | 1.19 | 82.00 | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.03 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Mackellar (NSW) | 9.49 | 83.27 | 3.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Wide Bay (QLD) | 4.98 | 83.82 | 2.49 | 0.00 | 1.66 | 7.05 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Fairfax (QLD) | 8.38 | 84.61 | 1.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.34 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Menzies (VIC) | 2.52 | 84.73 | 1.68 | 7.78 | 0.00 | 3.29 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Casey (VIC) | 2.63 | 85.11 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.51 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| North Sydney (NSW) | 7.77 | 85.16 | 1.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.38 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Maranoa (QLD) | 6.79 | 85.70 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 1.70 | 4.12 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Wright (QLD) | 6.82 | 86.05 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.43 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Bennelong (NSW) | 3.76 | 87.17 | 1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.34 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Ryan (QLD) | 5.20 | 87.54 | 1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.53 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Pearce (WA) | 2.62 | 88.21 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.42 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Mallee (VIC) | 5.58 | 88.42 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.25 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Berowra (NSW) | 2.36 | 88.44 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.44 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Bradfield (NSW) | 2.07 | 88.70 | 1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.47 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Groom (QLD) | 1.76 | 88.77 | 1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.45 | 4.27 | Coalition |
| Calare (NSW) | 3.25 | 88.94 | 0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.28 | 2.64 | Coalition |
| McPherson (QLD) | 3.53 | 89.08 | 1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.62 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Wentworth (NSW) | 2.78 | 89.43 | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.02 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Fadden (QLD) | 2.97 | 89.60 | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.66 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Tangney (WA) | 0.00 | 89.88 | 1.78 | 5.67 | 0.00 | 2.67 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Curtin (WA) | 2.67 | 89.88 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.67 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Flinders (VIC) | 2.67 | 89.88 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.67 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Forrest (WA) | 2.67 | 89.88 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.67 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Gippsland (VIC) | 5.67 | 89.88 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.67 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Wannon (VIC) | 5.67 | 89.88 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.67 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Kooyong (VIC) | 2.67 | 89.88 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.67 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| McMillan (VIC) | 2.67 | 89.88 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.67 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Moore (WA) | 2.67 | 89.88 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.67 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Goldstein (VIC) | 2.67 | 89.88 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.67 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Canning (WA) | 2.67 | 89.88 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.67 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Hume (NSW) | 2.11 | 90.05 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.06 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Cook (NSW) | 1.50 | 90.13 | 5.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.68 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Durack (WA) | 5.30 | 90.55 | 1.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.49 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Moncrieff (QLD) | 1.80 | 90.68 | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.72 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Lyne (NSW) | 2.12 | 90.82 | 3.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.53 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Hughes (NSW) | 1.52 | 90.94 | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.74 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Mitchell (NSW) | 0.91 | 91.50 | 1.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.78 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Riverina (NSW) | 2.14 | 91.64 | 1.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.41 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| O'Connor (WA) | 2.51 | 91.76 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.06 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Murray (VIC) | 2.53 | 92.47 | 1.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.31 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Parkes (NSW) | 1.55 | 92.99 | 1.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.61 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Farrer (NSW) | 2.86 | 95.25 | 1.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Coalition |
And the seat charts
No comments:
Post a Comment