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Thursday, April 24, 2025

Day 28 - 2025 Federal Election

The betting market has been remarkably quiet over the past week. What follows is the table of raw odds in dollars for the party to provide the Prime Minister after the next election. I collect this data each day at around 6.30am (local Canberra time). Normally, this close to an election, the odds change every day. 



We have not even seen much movement on the individual seats betting market, when the probabilities are aggregated to get a sense of the new House the punters anticipate as most likely, it is not much changed.



Nonetheless, some interesting recent individual seat movements follow.



PS. I voted yesterday. The queue was out the door, but cleared reasonably quickly. 

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