Tuesday, November 13, 2012

Newspoll 51-49 in the Coalition's favour

The Australian has released the latest Newspoll survey of voting intentions.The headline result is in line with the changing fortunes since the Coalition's peak at the end of April 2012. The Poll Bludger also has the details.



What would this mean at the next election? If the national vote was 51-49, the 100,000 election simulation suggests the most likely outcome would be a Coalition win.


The primary voting intentions were as follows. Of note is the decline in the Greens' fortunes.


Moving to the attitudinal questions. Ms Gillard is reasserting her position as the preferred Prime Minister. Her net satisfaction rating is also improving.






And, to put a couple of those charts in some historical perspective ...



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