The latest Newspoll, which was sampled between 9 and 12 February 2022, gave Labor a two-party preferred vote share of 55 per cent to the Coalition's 45. When I adjust the primary vote estimates for preference flows at the 2019 election, I get a 2pp estimate of 55.1 to 44.9 per cent in Labor's favour. If an election was held with this outcome, it would see a landslide win for Labor.
Newspoll continues to be the pollster most favourable for Labor and least favourable for the Coalition.
The primary vote estimates follow. The wide spread between pollsters in respect of the Labor and other party primary votes continues.
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