Monday, May 13, 2013

Weekly aggregation 44.2 to 55.8

Today's Morgan (56-44) and Essential (55-45) polls are largely narratives of the status quo. The Morgan result is identical to last week. The Essential result is the same as the previous independent fortnight; however, it is up a point for Labor on last week.

For the past six weeks, the Bayesian aggregation of Labor's two-party preferred polling has been bouncing along in a range between 44.0 and 44.6 per cent.

The end point of the series currently sits at 44.2 per cent. Like last week, this result would see the Coalition winning around 99 seats and Labor around 48 seats in the House of Representatives.

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