Polling update

This week's Newspoll was unkind to the Coalition (but not as bad as the early February poll). The Morgan poll this week was the most favourable from the polling house since late November 2014.

Collectively, through the Bayesian model, the polls are suggesting a one and a half percentage point recovery for the Coalition since the Prince Philip purple patch at the beginning of February. But they are also suggesting that the Coalition's recovery momentum is stalling.The Coalition could not win an election with these numbers.