Mark the Ballot

Psephology by the numbers

Pages

  • Home
  • About
  • Comments policy
  • Bayesian Aggregation
  • Betting Markets

Friday, April 3, 2026

Attitudinal Polling

 Preferred Prime Minister

Read more »
Posted by Mark Graph at 8:05 PM No comments:
Email ThisBlogThis!Share to XShare to FacebookShare to Pinterest
Labels: 2028 Federal Election, aggregated polls, Attitudinal
Newer Posts Older Posts Home
Subscribe to: Comments (Atom)

Search This Blog

Blog list

  • The Poll Bludger
    Federal polls: Morgan and Essential Research (open thread) - A lift for Labor in the latest Roy Morgan poll, which probably says more about the series' variability than the impact of recent events.
  • Antony Green's Election Blog
    SA2026 – Does the SA Ticket Vote Savings Provision Matter - One Nation was accused of using South Australia’s ticket vote savings provision to harvest preferences at the state election. In fact One Nation’s tickets ...
  • Kevin Bonham
    Tasmania Redistribution: The Reaction - Yesterday the AEC released public feedback on the proposed radical redistribution as previously covered here (Draft Scraps The Franklin Divide). Frankly...
  • The Tally Room
    Landslide – new book about the 2025 federal election - Over the last ten years I’ve had the privilege of writing a chapter for the series of academic edited volumes analysing each federal election, each time fo...
  • AustralianPolitics.com
    Lament for the 7.45am ABC News - Four years ago today, the Australian Broadcasting Corporation abolished its 15-minute 7.45am news bulletin. The 7.45 bulletin was first broadcast in Decemb...
  • FiveThirtyEight
    What Americans Think Of The Biden Impeachment Inquiry - Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly-ish polling roundup. It’s officially impeachment season again. On Tuesday, House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy announc...
  • Armarium Interreta
    How Did Victorian State Electorates Vote at the 2022 Federal Election? - At the 2022 federal election, Victorians swung away from the major parties, with a 9.2% decline in the major party vote in the House of Representatives and...
  • Sam Wang
    Run across NY-10 in 60 seconds! - Tomorrow (Saturday) at 7:30am Eastern, tune in to CBS Saturday morning/. I’ll show Brook Silva around a place in Brooklyn where you can see three Congressi...
  • Elections – Buckley's & None
    How Surprising Was the Coalition Win? Maybe Less Than We Think. - The Coalition victory on Saturday night was a shock for most people following the campaign closely. ‘Stunned’, ‘surprised’, ‘astonished’ seem to be the r...
  • Au Parl Library
    $name -
  • Au Election Forecasts
    -
Show 10 Show All

Links

  • Australian Electoral Commission
  • Essential Report
  • Ipsos
  • Newspoll
  • ReachTEL
  • Resolve Strategic
  • Roy Morgan
  • Wikipedia Poll Data
  • YouGov

Blog Archive

  • ▼  2026 (3)
    • ▼  April (1)
      • Attitudinal Polling
    • ►  March (2)
  • ►  2025 (51)
    • ►  December (3)
    • ►  November (1)
    • ►  September (1)
    • ►  August (2)
    • ►  May (5)
    • ►  April (28)
    • ►  March (7)
    • ►  February (2)
    • ►  January (2)
  • ►  2024 (12)
    • ►  December (2)
    • ►  November (3)
    • ►  August (2)
    • ►  May (1)
    • ►  April (4)
  • ►  2023 (9)
    • ►  November (5)
    • ►  October (4)
  • ►  2022 (35)
    • ►  June (2)
    • ►  May (14)
    • ►  April (5)
    • ►  March (1)
    • ►  February (6)
    • ►  January (7)
  • ►  2021 (3)
    • ►  December (1)
    • ►  November (1)
    • ►  October (1)
  • ►  2020 (4)
    • ►  November (2)
    • ►  March (1)
    • ►  January (1)
  • ►  2019 (30)
    • ►  June (4)
    • ►  May (15)
    • ►  April (10)
    • ►  February (1)
  • ►  2018 (40)
    • ►  December (2)
    • ►  November (5)
    • ►  October (2)
    • ►  September (7)
    • ►  August (6)
    • ►  June (4)
    • ►  May (3)
    • ►  April (4)
    • ►  March (6)
    • ►  February (1)
  • ►  2016 (98)
    • ►  December (2)
    • ►  November (6)
    • ►  October (5)
    • ►  July (2)
    • ►  June (23)
    • ►  May (13)
    • ►  April (13)
    • ►  March (16)
    • ►  February (10)
    • ►  January (8)
  • ►  2015 (100)
    • ►  December (8)
    • ►  November (10)
    • ►  October (16)
    • ►  September (18)
    • ►  August (13)
    • ►  July (6)
    • ►  June (10)
    • ►  May (8)
    • ►  April (2)
    • ►  March (3)
    • ►  February (4)
    • ►  January (2)
  • ►  2014 (1)
    • ►  December (1)
  • ►  2013 (82)
    • ►  September (8)
    • ►  August (14)
    • ►  July (9)
    • ►  June (10)
    • ►  May (7)
    • ►  April (12)
    • ►  March (11)
    • ►  February (7)
    • ►  January (4)
  • ►  2012 (34)
    • ►  December (13)
    • ►  November (9)
    • ►  September (1)
    • ►  August (1)
    • ►  July (1)
    • ►  June (2)
    • ►  May (3)
    • ►  April (2)
    • ►  March (2)

Labels

  • 2010 Federal Election (4)
  • 2016 Federal Election (13)
  • 2019 Federal Election (59)
  • 2022 Federal Election (18)
  • 2023 Referendum (1)
  • 2025 Federal Election (37)
  • 2028 Federal Election (9)
  • About Mark (1)
  • aggregated polls (221)
  • AMR (1)
  • Attitudinal (12)
  • Bayes (13)
  • Beta (2)
  • betting markets (141)
  • Dirichlet (6)
  • double dissolution (5)
  • elections (18)
  • Essential (27)
  • footy tipping (1)
  • Galaxy (16)
  • Henderson (1)
  • house effects (4)
  • Ipsos (14)
  • JAGS (16)
  • LOESS (7)
  • Lonergan (1)
  • meta (1)
  • methodology (14)
  • Monte Carlo (4)
  • Morgan (54)
  • Newspoll (67)
  • Nielsen (11)
  • opinion polls (26)
  • Outcome model (2)
  • Palmer (3)
  • preferences (2)
  • primary vote (10)
  • Python (7)
  • R (6)
  • ReachTEL (26)
  • Resolve Strategic (3)
  • Sawford (1)
  • Stan (8)
  • wonkish (68)

Contact Me

@Mark_Graph on X (nee Twitter)

Email: mark dot the dot graph ampersat gmail dot com

About Me

Mark Graph
Mark Graph is the nom de plume of Bryan Palmer. He has a Bachelor of Arts with first class honours in political science, a Graduate Diploma in Economics and a Masters in Economic Studies, majoring in economic analysis (econometrics).
View my complete profile
Powered by Blogger.