Wednesday, February 13, 2013

Updated poll aggregation

Last week we had a surprise from Newspoll, when it moved five percentage points towards the Coalition. Now Morgan has released a weekly poll for the last weekend that has moved four percentage points over the previous weekend; also to the Coalition. This movement from two polling houses has influenced the poll aggregation in recent weeks.

Explanatory notes on the Bayesian aggregation can be found on the Technicals page.

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