Nielsen 48-52

The second Nielsen poll since the restoration of Prime Minister Rudd has moved two points in the Coalition's favour to estimate the two-party preferred (TPP) voting intention at 48 to 52 per cent in the Coalition's favour.

Interestingly, the Nielsen data suggests this Rudd restoration came in large part from a reduction in greens and others.

Unlike Nielsen, Newspoll has a sizable drop-off in the Coalition primary vote with the Rudd restoration. Nonetheless, Newspoll does have a reduction in the in green-other primary vote following the Rudd restoration.

Turning to the regular aggregation ... if we add this latest poll we find ...

If we restrict our aggregation to Newspoll and Nielson polls, we gt the following ...