Tuesday, May 5, 2015

Not a lot to report

Two new polls this week: Morgan at 46.5 per cent for the Coalition (down 0.5 percentage points) and Newspoll (perhaps the last Newspoll as we know it) at 48 per cent for the Coalition (down 1 percentage point).

When I feed the latest data to the Bayesian aggregator, we can see a very slow improvement over the past nine weeks (less than one tenth of one percentage point per week - an improvement of 0.72 percentage points over the nine weeks).

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