Wednesday, September 26, 2018

Updated aggregation

With Essential coming in at 47-53 in Labor's favour, it is time to update the aggregation. Both Essential and Newspoll are pegging a two percentage point recovery for the Coalition over the past four weeks. I have tweaked the TPP model to allow for a more rapid changes in public opinion over the period immediately following the recent disruption event.

Turning to the primary vote model ...

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