Betting market update

In past 24 hours Centrebet's individual seat market has moved two more seats in the Coalition's favour (on a favourite wins basis).

	Coalition	Labor	Other
Seat count	93.5	54.5	2

The individual seat probabilities follow:

	State	Labor	Coalition	Other	current	favourite	change
Brand	WA	48.0	48.0	3.9	Labor	?	?
Lingiari	NT	44.4	48.1	7.5	Labor	Coalition	TRUE
Petrie	QLD	50.0	46.2	3.8	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Blair	QLD	50.9	44.6	4.5	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Lilley	QLD	44.9	51.3	3.8	Labor	Coalition	TRUE
Lyons	TAS	42.8	51.7	5.5	Labor	Coalition	TRUE
Kingsford Smith	NSW	43.4	52.3	4.3	Labor	Coalition	TRUE
Hindmarsh	SA	52.5	43.5	4.0	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Capricornia	QLD	52.8	41.5	5.7	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Page	NSW	53.1	41.8	5.1	Labor	Labor	FALSE
McEwen	VIC	55.4	40.3	4.3	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Werriwa	NSW	57.4	38.7	3.9	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Franklin	TAS	59.4	33.8	6.8	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Barton	NSW	60.2	34.2	5.6	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Brisbane	QLD	32.1	63.1	4.7	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
McMahon	NSW	64.2	32.7	3.1	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Bendigo	VIC	64.2	29.9	5.9	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Moreton	QLD	30.3	65.0	4.7	Labor	Coalition	TRUE
Eden-Monaro	NSW	30.4	65.3	4.3	Labor	Coalition	TRUE
Indi	VIC	4.0	65.3	30.7	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Richmond	NSW	66.1	26.8	7.1	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Parramatta	NSW	27.3	67.1	5.6	Labor	Coalition	TRUE
Flynn	QLD	24.8	68.9	6.3	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Chisholm	VIC	69.4	24.8	5.8	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Rankin	QLD	70.9	24.6	4.5	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Bruce	VIC	72.1	21.6	6.3	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Griffith	QLD	72.8	21.9	5.3	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Melbourne	VIC	73.0	2.6	24.5	Other	Labor	TRUE
Bonner	QLD	21.9	73.0	5.1	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
La Trobe	VIC	20.5	74.0	5.5	Labor	Coalition	TRUE
Wakefield	SA	74.2	20.6	5.2	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Newcastle	NSW	74.9	18.0	7.1	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Adelaide	SA	75.3	19.4	5.3	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Dobell	NSW	16.5	75.8	7.7	Other	Coalition	TRUE
Greenway	NSW	21.1	75.8	3.1	Labor	Coalition	TRUE
Solomon	NT	18.3	76.5	5.1	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Dawson	QLD	17.5	76.6	5.9	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Melbourne Ports	VIC	76.9	16.4	6.8	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Robertson	NSW	12.0	77.9	10.1	Labor	Coalition	TRUE
Fairfax	QLD	5.1	78.3	16.6	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Forde	QLD	16.7	78.3	5.0	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Longman	QLD	16.7	78.3	5.0	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Oxley	QLD	78.7	18.0	3.3	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Throsby	NSW	78.9	14.4	6.7	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Fisher	QLD	12.2	79.0	8.8	Other	Coalition	TRUE
Swan	WA	16.9	79.2	3.9	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Fowler	NSW	79.4	16.9	3.7	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Chifley	NSW	79.9	14.6	5.5	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Perth	WA	80.0	13.3	6.7	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Reid	NSW	14.8	80.5	4.8	Labor	Coalition	TRUE
Braddon	TAS	14.8	80.5	4.7	Labor	Coalition	TRUE
Fremantle	WA	80.7	13.4	5.9	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Makin	SA	81.2	14.9	4.0	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Hasluck	WA	15.0	81.7	3.3	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Casey	VIC	10.8	82.1	7.1	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Dunkley	VIC	10.8	82.1	7.1	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Ryan	QLD	10.1	82.2	7.8	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Hunter	NSW	82.2	12.6	5.2	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Macquarie	NSW	12.6	82.3	5.1	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Jagajaga	VIC	82.6	11.6	5.8	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Leichhardt	QLD	10.9	82.8	6.3	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Wright	QLD	5.6	83.0	11.4	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Hinkler	QLD	6.5	83.1	10.4	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Herbert	QLD	11.8	83.2	5.1	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Blaxland	NSW	83.3	12.7	3.9	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Bass	TAS	11.8	83.5	4.7	Labor	Coalition	TRUE
Fadden	QLD	7.7	83.5	8.7	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Ballarat	VIC	83.9	10.3	5.9	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Isaacs	VIC	83.9	11.0	5.1	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Batman	VIC	83.9	5.7	10.4	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Sydney	NSW	84.3	5.7	10.1	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Denison	TAS	10.6	5.0	84.4	Other	Other	FALSE
Deakin	VIC	9.2	84.5	6.4	Labor	Coalition	TRUE
Watson	NSW	84.6	11.1	4.4	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Stirling	WA	8.6	84.7	6.7	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Banks	NSW	11.1	84.7	4.2	Labor	Coalition	TRUE
Corangamite	VIC	9.2	84.8	6.0	Labor	Coalition	TRUE
Bowman	QLD	9.2	84.9	5.9	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Shortland	NSW	85.2	9.7	5.1	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Cunningham	NSW	85.4	8.7	5.9	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Aston	VIC	8.7	85.4	5.9	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Kooyong	VIC	6.6	85.5	7.9	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Lalor	VIC	85.7	7.2	7.1	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Bennelong	NSW	9.9	85.7	4.4	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Canning	WA	9.9	85.7	4.4	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Gilmore	NSW	8.0	85.8	6.3	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Berowra	NSW	6.7	85.8	7.5	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Kingston	SA	86.0	9.3	4.7	Labor	Labor	FALSE
McMillan	VIC	8.0	86.0	6.0	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Lyne	NSW	8.8	86.1	5.2	Other	Coalition	TRUE
Canberra	ACT	86.1	8.0	5.9	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Dickson	QLD	8.8	86.1	5.1	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Hume	NSW	7.3	86.3	6.4	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Corio	VIC	86.4	7.3	6.4	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Flinders	VIC	6.7	86.5	6.8	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Cook	NSW	6.7	86.5	6.8	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Lindsay	NSW	9.4	86.7	3.9	Labor	Coalition	TRUE
Wentworth	NSW	5.1	86.7	8.2	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Maribyrnong	VIC	86.8	7.3	5.9	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Cowan	WA	8.9	86.8	4.3	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Sturt	SA	8.0	86.8	5.1	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Higgins	VIC	6.7	86.8	6.4	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Paterson	NSW	8.0	86.9	5.1	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
McPherson	QLD	6.8	86.9	6.3	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Grey	SA	6.8	87.0	6.3	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Gippsland	VIC	6.8	87.0	6.2	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Barker	SA	6.8	87.1	6.2	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Calare	NSW	7.3	87.1	5.6	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Boothby	SA	8.1	87.1	4.8	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Bradfield	NSW	5.9	87.2	6.9	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Grayndler	NSW	87.2	5.2	7.6	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Mackellar	NSW	5.2	87.2	7.6	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
North Sydney	NSW	5.9	87.2	6.9	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Goldstein	VIC	6.8	87.3	5.9	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Scullin	VIC	87.3	6.8	5.9	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Moore	WA	6.8	87.3	5.9	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Holt	VIC	87.5	7.4	5.1	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Hotham	VIC	87.5	7.4	5.1	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Hughes	NSW	8.1	87.5	4.4	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Macarthur	NSW	8.1	87.5	4.4	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Forrest	WA	6.6	87.7	5.7	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Wide Bay	QLD	5.9	87.7	6.4	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Mallee	VIC	6.8	87.7	5.4	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Warringah	NSW	5.2	87.8	7.0	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Charlton	NSW	87.8	2.6	9.6	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Moncrieff	QLD	6.9	87.9	5.2	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Calwell	VIC	88.0	6.8	5.2	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Gorton	VIC	88.0	6.8	5.2	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Fraser	ACT	88.1	5.9	6.0	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Curtin	WA	4.2	88.1	7.7	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Murray	VIC	6.8	88.1	5.0	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
New England	NSW	4.2	88.2	7.5	Other	Coalition	TRUE
Gellibrand	VIC	88.3	5.2	6.4	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Menzies	VIC	5.3	88.4	6.4	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Cowper	NSW	7.5	88.6	3.9	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Maranoa	QLD	5.3	88.7	6.0	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Mayo	SA	5.3	88.7	6.0	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Mitchell	NSW	6.9	88.7	4.4	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Parkes	NSW	6.9	88.7	4.4	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Tangney	WA	6.0	88.8	5.2	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Port Adelaide	SA	89.1	6.0	4.9	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Riverina	NSW	6.9	89.1	4.0	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Pearce	WA	5.2	89.2	5.6	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Farrer	NSW	6.0	89.5	4.4	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Wills	VIC	89.9	3.5	6.6	Labor	Labor	FALSE
Groom	QLD	6.1	90.5	3.4	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Kennedy	QLD	4.1	5.1	90.8	Other	Other	FALSE
Wannon	VIC	4.4	91.5	4.1	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
O'Connor	WA	3.3	93.0	3.7	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE
Durack	WA	3.3	93.9	2.8	Coalition	Coalition	FALSE

If I add probabilities in a similar manner to yesterday, I get

	Coalition	Labor	Other
Seat count	96	52	2