Thursday, July 30, 2015


Following the 2013 election, polls from Essential jumped to the right politically (jumped upwards in the chart below). I wondered whether this was a correction for their position prior to the 2013 election. Most polling houses had over-estimated the Greens and under-estimated the Coalition in the Primaries. Anyway, the last six months has seen Essential move back in line with my TPP trend estimate. 

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