Tuesday, November 10, 2015

Polling update

The latest Newspoll is reported in the Australian. It has the Coalition on 53 and Labor on 47, which is a one point move in the Coalition's favour over the previous Newspoll (54 to 48). Dropping these numbers into our regular aggregation yields an estimated two-party preferred vote share of 53.5 percent for the Coalition.

Across the four models I run, the median sample is as follows:

And, just for the fun of it, let's look at aggregated net happiness.

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