Let's look at how the polls have moved in the past six or so weeks. Budget's really move opinion polls; however, the May 2026 Budget was an exception. Both the Coalition and Labour dropped in popularity around the Budget and One Nation picked up the lion's share of that drop. Since then we have seem relative stability. One Nation has dropped a touch, and the Greens and Others are up a touch. The Coalition and Labor have barely moved.
Labor remains ahead in two-party preferred terms, both against One Nation, and against the Coalition.
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