If all of the favourites won, then the election outcome for the House of Representatives would be:
| Any Other | Coalition | Green | Independent | KAP (Bob Katter) | Labor | Nick Xenophon Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 78 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 68 | 0 |
The close seats (where the favourite to win the seat is on a probability of less than 60 per cent) are as follow. The values in the cells in this table are the implied win probabilities for each party expressed as percentages.
| Any Other | Coalition | Green | Independent | KAP (Bob Katter) | Labor | Nick Xenophon Team | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond (NSW) | 3.34 | 19.32 | 17.39 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 59.95 | 0.00 |
| Hindmarsh (SA) | 3.25 | 33.85 | 3.25 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 48.36 | 11.28 |
| Solomon (NT) | 3.33 | 34.68 | 3.33 | 0.86 | 0.0 | 57.80 | 0.00 |
| Dobell (NSW) | 2.61 | 35.54 | 2.61 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 59.23 | 0.00 |
| Burt (WA) | 2.68 | 40.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 56.88 | 0.00 |
| Lyons (TAS) | 5.44 | 41.46 | 3.35 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 49.75 | 0.00 |
| Swan (WA) | 3.25 | 42.29 | 5.29 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 49.17 | 0.00 |
| Deakin (VIC) | 3.27 | 42.50 | 5.67 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 48.57 | 0.00 |
| Hasluck (WA) | 3.28 | 42.58 | 4.06 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 50.09 | 0.00 |
| Macarthur (NSW) | 3.34 | 44.51 | 2.55 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 49.60 | 0.00 |
| Eden Monaro (NSW) | 1.70 | 46.96 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 49.64 | 0.00 |
| Corangamite (VIC) | 3.32 | 49.37 | 4.11 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 43.20 | 0.00 |
| Reid (NSW) | 3.35 | 49.76 | 3.35 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 43.54 | 0.00 |
| Page (NSW) | 3.39 | 50.32 | 8.01 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 38.29 | 0.00 |
| Robertson (NSW) | 2.35 | 50.81 | 11.40 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 35.45 | 0.00 |
| Cowan (WA) | 3.40 | 52.98 | 3.40 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 40.22 | 0.00 |
| Brisbane (QLD) | 3.32 | 53.31 | 4.11 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 39.26 | 0.00 |
| La Trobe (Vic) | 3.33 | 54.09 | 4.12 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 38.46 | 0.00 |
| Macquarie (NSW) | 3.21 | 55.64 | 3.21 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 37.94 | 0.00 |
| Lindsay (NSW) | 3.39 | 55.73 | 4.19 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 36.69 | 0.00 |
| Bonner (QLD) | 3.26 | 56.58 | 3.26 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 36.90 | 0.00 |
| Dunkley (VIC) | 2.20 | 57.21 | 2.92 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 37.67 | 0.00 |
| Gilmore (NSW) | 3.34 | 57.83 | 4.13 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 34.70 | 0.00 |
| Banks (NSW) | 3.34 | 57.83 | 4.13 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 34.70 | 0.00 |
| Forde (QLD) | 3.36 | 58.30 | 3.36 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 34.98 | 0.00 |
| New England (NSW) | 3.92 | 58.80 | 3.43 | 29.93 | 0.0 | 3.92 | 0.00 |
| Braddon (TAS) | 4.10 | 59.44 | 3.31 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 33.15 | 0.00 |
| Leichhardt (QLD) | 6.95 | 59.54 | 3.21 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 30.31 | 0.00 |
| Stirling (WA) | 3.31 | 59.68 | 3.31 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 33.70 | 0.00 |
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