The betting market this week firmed a touch in the Coalition's direction. The Coalition is ahead (with bookmakers pricing the probability of a Coalition win between 55.0 and 57.7 per cent). But this is not a huge margin. The markets are saying that Labor has a little more than 4 chances in 10 of winning the next election.
|
House |
Coalition Odds ($) |
Labor Odds ($) |
Coalition Win Probability (%) |
2015-08-29 |
Betfair |
1.68 |
2.23 |
57.033248 |
2015-08-29 |
CrownBet |
1.65 |
2.25 |
57.692308 |
2015-08-29 |
Ladbrokes |
1.70 |
2.10 |
55.263158 |
2015-08-29 |
Luxbet |
1.68 |
2.15 |
56.135770 |
2015-08-29 |
Sportsbet |
1.73 |
2.15 |
55.412371 |
2015-08-29 |
TABtouch |
1.71 |
2.09 |
55.000000 |
2015-08-29 |
William Hill |
1.72 |
2.10 |
54.973822 |
Links to these houses can be found in the right column, towards the bottom of the column.
Opinion polls
Yesterday,
ReachTEL published its third 47-53 result this month. Dropping this result into the aggregation yielded a Coalition TPP estimate of 46.8, a slight movement for the Coalition. The Coalition has been holding steady for a couple of weeks now.
No comments:
Post a Comment