## Friday, September 18, 2015

### Update

This morning the Murdoch tabloids have a new poll from Galaxy (the first since the Budget) at 51-49 in the Coalition's favour. This is a three point movement in the Coalition's favour since the previous Galaxy poll. The impact of this second poll on the post-Abbott aggregation is minimal: 50.2 to 49.8 per cent in the Coalition's favour.

The betting market appears to have settled.

House Coalition Odds ($) Labor Odds ($) Coalition Win Probability (%)
2015-09-18 Betfair 1.35 3.14 69.933185
2015-09-18 CrownBet 1.40 2.75 66.265060