Tuesday, May 3, 2022

Aggregated polling 46.7 to 53.3 in Labor's favour

The opinion polls continue to suggest that Labor has a sizeable lead over the Coalition in two-party preferred votes. The earlier movement to the Coalition appears to have stalled. If the election were held now, and assuming the polls are both accurate and unbiased on average, Labor would be 6.6 percentage points of the Coalition in the final count. This would give Labor a comfortable victory. The Coalition's only hope is that this election sees a repeat of the polling error that we saw in 2019.

The Primary Vote aggregations follow.


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