Monday, June 27, 2016

Newspoll 51-49

Today's Australian reports a new Newspoll at 51 to 49 for the Coalition (the best result for the Coalition over the election campaign). Feeding these numbers into the 2013 anchored aggregation of two-party-preferred (TPP) vote share puts the Coalition on 51.6 per cent. The unanchored model (which assumes that the pollster house biases cancel each other out) has the Coalition's TPP vote share at 50.8 per cent.

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