Prediction markets update

Finally, we are at the penultimate Friday in the election campaign.

Today's odds

	House	Coalition Odds ($)	Labor Odds ($)	Coalition Win Probability (%)
2016-06-24	Betfair	1.15	6.51	84.99
2016-06-24	CrownBet	1.15	5.50	82.71
2016-06-24	Ladbrokes	1.12	6.00	84.27
2016-06-24	Luxbet	1.14	5.60	83.09
2016-06-24	Sportsbet	1.15	5.50	82.71
2016-06-24	William Hill	1.12	6.00	84.27

Followed by a table of the derived win probabilities (in per cent) over the past week. Please note my automated data collection system for TABtouch has fallen over.

	Fr 17-Jun	Sa 18-Jun	Su 19-Jun	Mo 20-Jun	Tu 21-Jun	We 22-Jun	Th 23-Jun	Fr 24-Jun
Betfair	84.61	85.10	83.78	84.99	84.88	84.61	81.70	84.99
CrownBet	80.10	80.10	82.71	82.71	82.71	82.71	82.71	82.71
Ladbrokes	83.33	84.51	84.51	84.51	84.51	84.51	84.27	84.27
Luxbet	84.80	84.15	84.15	84.80	84.80	83.45	83.45	83.09
Sportsbet	84.80	84.80	84.80	84.26	84.26	84.26	82.71	82.71
TABtouch	80.40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
William Hill	81.17	82.83	84.15	84.15	84.15	84.15	82.71	84.27
Average	82.74	83.58	84.02	84.24	84.22	83.95	82.92	83.67

And the associated charts.