| House | Coalition Odds ($) | Labor Odds ($) | Coalition Win Probability (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-06-29 | Betfair | 1.11 | 8.03 | 87.86 |
| 2016-06-29 | CrownBet | 1.12 | 6.50 | 85.30 |
| 2016-06-29 | Ladbrokes | 1.10 | 6.50 | 85.53 |
| 2016-06-29 | Luxbet | 1.10 | 6.75 | 85.99 |
| 2016-06-29 | Sportsbet | 1.10 | 7.00 | 86.42 |
| 2016-06-29 | William Hill | 1.10 | 7.00 | 86.42 |
| We 22-Jun | Th 23-Jun | Fr 24-Jun | Sa 25-Jun | Su 26-Jun | Mo 27-Jun | Tu 28-Jun | We 29-Jun | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 84.61 | 81.70 | 84.99 | 84.88 | 84.61 | 85.91 | 85.79 | 87.86 |
| CrownBet | 82.71 | 82.71 | 82.71 | 82.71 | 82.71 | 82.71 | 85.30 | 85.30 |
| Ladbrokes | 84.51 | 84.27 | 84.27 | 84.39 | 84.39 | 82.96 | 85.53 | 85.53 |
| Luxbet | 83.45 | 83.45 | 83.09 | 83.09 | 83.09 | 83.09 | 83.70 | 85.99 |
| Sportsbet | 84.26 | 82.71 | 82.71 | 82.71 | 82.71 | 82.71 | 86.42 | 86.42 |
| William Hill | 84.15 | 82.71 | 84.27 | 84.27 | 84.27 | 82.83 | 84.15 | 86.42 |
| Average | 83.95 | 82.92 | 83.67 | 83.67 | 83.63 | 83.37 | 85.15 | 86.25 |
For the individual seats I use the most recent odds I have captured for each seat. We start with a look at missing odds.
| Missing Odds | |
|---|---|
| 2016-05-19 | O'Connor (WA) |
| 2016-05-20 | O'Connor (WA) |
| 2016-06-03 | Wentworth (NSW) |
| 2016-06-04 | Indi (VIC), Wentworth (NSW) |
| 2016-06-05 | Indi (VIC), Wentworth (NSW) |
| 2016-06-06 | Indi (VIC), Wentworth (NSW) |
| 2016-06-07 | Wentworth (NSW) |
| 2016-06-09 | Lingiari (NT), Solomon (NT) |
| 2016-06-10 | Brisbane (QLD), Lingiari (NT) |
| 2016-06-11 | Lingiari (NT), Murray (VIC) |
| 2016-06-12 | Lingiari (NT), Murray (VIC) |
| 2016-06-13 | Lingiari (NT) |
| 2016-06-14 | Lingiari (NT) |
| 2016-06-16 | Grayndler (NSW) |
| 2016-06-17 | Mackellar (NSW) |
| 2016-06-20 | Cook (NSW) |
| 2016-06-21 | Cook (NSW) |
| 2016-06-25 | Ballarat (VIC), Bendigo (VIC), Calwell (VIC), Canning (WA), Durack (WA), Forrest (WA), Pearce (WA) |
| 2016-06-26 | Calwell (VIC), Durack (WA) |
| 2016-06-27 | Calwell (VIC), Durack (WA) |
Latest odds
| 2016-06-29 | |
|---|---|
| Adelaide (SA) | Animal Justice Party $101.00 Family First $101.00 Green $51.00 Labor $1.30 Lib Dem $101.00 Liberal $3.30 Nick Xenophon Team $11.00 |
| Aston (VIC) | Animal Justice Party $101.00 Coalition $1.05 Family First $101.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Daniel Huppert) $51.00 Labor $6.00 Lib Dem $101.00 |
| Ballarat (VIC) | Australian Christians $151.00 Family First $151.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Bren Eckel) $151.00 Labor $1.01 Liberal $12.00 National $26.00 Rise Up Australia $151.00 |
| Banks (NSW) | Animal Justice Party $151.00 Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $1.20 Family First $101.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Bob Spanswick) $151.00 Labor $4.20 |
| Barker (SA) | Coalition $1.35 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Labor $26.00 Nick Xenophon Team $3.00 |
| Barton (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $8.50 Green $51.00 Independent (Rasmus Torkel) $151.00 Labor $1.05 Online Direct Democracy $151.00 |
| Bass (TAS) | Australian Recreational Fishers Party $51.00 Christian Democratic Party $51.00 Coalition $1.35 Green $51.00 Labor $3.00 Renewable Energy Party $51.00 |
| Batman (VIC) | Animal Justice Party $51.00 Australian Cyclists $51.00 Australian Progressives (Russell Hayward) $51.00 Australian Sex Party $51.00 Coalition $34.00 Green $1.95 Independent (Franco Guardiani) $51.00 Independent (Philip Sutton) $51.00 Labor $1.80 Marriage Equality (Elizabeth Syber) $51.00 Renewable Energy Party $51.00 |
| Bendigo (VIC) | Animal Justice Party $151.00 Any Other $34.00 Family First $151.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Anita Erika Donlon) $101.00 Labor $1.10 Liberal $6.00 National $16.00 Rise Up Australia $151.00 |
| Bennelong (NSW) | Arts Party $151.00 Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $1.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Martin Mulcare) $51.00 Labor $16.00 Pirate Party $151.00 |
| Berowra (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $1.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Mick Gallagher) $101.00 Labor $16.00 Science Party $151.00 |
| Blair (QLD) | Coalition $6.00 Family First $151.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Jonathan Emms) $151.00 Independent (Patricia Petersen) $151.00 Independent (Sandy Turner) $151.00 Labor $1.08 Pauline Hanson $51.00 |
| Blaxland (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $16.00 Green $51.00 Labor $1.00 Socialist Equality $151.00 |
| Bonner (QLD) | Coalition $1.12 Family First $151.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Jarrod Wirth) $151.00 Labor $4.00 Lib Dem $51.00 |
| Boothby (SA) | Animal Justice Party $51.00 Coalition $1.25 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Jamie Armfield) $51.00 Independent (Robert de Jonge) $51.00 Labor $26.00 Nick Xenophon Team $3.75 |
| Bowman (QLD) | Australian Liberty Alliance $151.00 Coalition $1.10 Family First $151.00 Green $51.00 Labor $6.00 |
| Braddon (TAS) | Australian Recreational Fishers Party $51.00 Christian Democratic Party $51.00 Coalition $1.45 Green $51.00 Labor $2.35 Lib Dem $51.00 Renewable Energy Party $51.00 |
| Bradfield (NSW) | Australian Liberty Alliance $151.00 Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $1.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Christine Berman) $151.00 Labor $16.00 |
| Brand (WA) | Australian Christians $51.00 Coalition $8.50 Green $51.00 Labor $1.05 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
| Brisbane (QLD) | Coalition $1.40 Family First $151.00 Green $34.00 Labor $2.75 Lib Dem $51.00 Veterans Party $151.00 |
| Bruce (VIC) | Animal Justice Party $51.00 Coalition $6.00 Drug Law Reform $51.00 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Labor $1.10 Renewable Energy Party $51.00 |
| Burt (WA) | Australian Christians $51.00 Coalition $2.70 Green $51.00 Labor $1.44 Shooters $51.00 |
| Calare (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $1.00 Green $101.00 Independent (Anthony Craig) $151.00 Labor $21.00 Lib Dem $51.00 Nick Xenophon Team $34.00 |
| Calwell (VIC) | Animal Justice Party $51.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Michael Amon Lakkis) $51.00 Labor $1.01 |
| Canberra (ACT) | Bullet Train for Australia $101.00 Coalition $16.00 Green $21.00 Labor $1.00 |
| Canning (WA) | Australian Christians $51.00 Green $51.00 Labor $16.00 Liberal $1.01 National $26.00 |
| Capricornia (QLD) | Coalition $2.05 Family First $151.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Ken Murray) $151.00 KAP (Bob Katter) $34.00 Labor $1.70 |
| Casey (VIC) | Animal Justice Party $51.00 Coalition $1.05 Green $51.00 Independent (Peter Charleton) $51.00 Labor $8.50 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
| Chifley (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $16.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Ammar Khan) $151.00 Labor $1.00 |
| Chisholm (VIC) | Animal Justice Party $51.00 Coalition $3.00 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Labor $1.36 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
| Cook (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $1.00 Green $16.00 Independent (John Brett) $151.00 Labor $34.00 |
| Corangamite (VIC) | Animal Justice Party $51.00 Coalition $1.05 Derryn Hinch $51.00 Drug Law Reform $51.00 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Michael Lawrence) $51.00 Labor $8.50 Lib Dem $51.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
| Corio (VIC) | Animal Justice Party $51.00 Bullet Train For Australia (Jeff Moran) $51.00 Coalition $16.00 Green $51.00 Labor $1.02 Rise Up Australia $51.00 Socialist Alliance $51.00 |
| Cowan (WA) | Australian Christians $51.00 Coalition $1.85 Green $51.00 Labor $1.85 Lib Dem $51.00 Mature Australia $51.00 Shooters $51.00 |
| Cowper (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Citizens Electoral Council $151.00 Coalition $1.40 Green $51.00 Independent (John Arkan) $151.00 Independent (Rob Oakeshott) $2.75 Labor $34.00 |
| Cunningham (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $26.00 Green $51.00 Labor $1.00 Non Custodial Parents Party $151.00 Science Party $151.00 |
| Curtin (WA) | Australian Liberty Alliance $51.00 Coalition $1.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Sandra Boulter) $51.00 Labor $16.00 |
| Dawson (QLD) | Coalition $1.17 Family First $151.00 Glenn Lazarus Team $101.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Stephen Large) $151.00 KAP (Bob Katter) $41.00 Labor $4.00 |
| Deakin (VIC) | Animal Justice Party $51.00 Australian Christians $51.00 Coalition $1.20 Family First $51.00 Green $34.00 Labor $4.20 |
| Denison (TAS) | Christian Democratic Party $51.00 Coalition $21.00 Democratic Labour Party $51.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Andrew Wilkie) $1.00 Labor $16.00 |
| Dickson (QLD) | Coalition $1.10 Family First $151.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Thor Prohaska) $81.00 Labor $6.00 Lib Dem $51.00 |
| Dobell (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $3.30 Green $51.00 Independent (Gregory Stephenson) $151.00 Independent (Paul Baker) $151.00 Labor $1.30 Pauline Hanson $151.00 |
| Dunkley (VIC) | Animal Justice Party $51.00 Arts Party $51.00 Australian Christians $51.00 Coalition $1.17 Derryn Hinch $51.00 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Joseph Toscano) $51.00 Labor $4.50 Lib Dem $51.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
| Durack (WA) | Australian Christians $51.00 Green $51.00 Labor $34.00 Liberal $1.08 National $7.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
| Eden Monaro (NSW) | Animal Justice Party $151.00 Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $2.80 Green $51.00 Independent (Andrew Thaler) $151.00 Independent (Daniel Grosmaire) $151.00 Independent (Ray Buckley) $151.00 Labor $1.35 Veterans Party $151.00 |
| Fadden (QLD) | Coalition $1.00 Family First $151.00 Green $51.00 Labor $16.00 Pauline Hanson $51.00 Veterans Party $151.00 |
| Fairfax (QLD) | Coalition $1.00 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Keith Alexander Campbell) $51.00 Independent (Robert Dickson) $51.00 Labor $16.00 Online Direct Democracy $51.00 Pauline Hanson $51.00 |
| Farrer (NSW) | Australian Liberty Alliance $151.00 Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $1.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Brian Mills) $151.00 Mature Australia $151.00 |
| Fenner (ACT) | Bullet Train for Australia $101.00 Coalition $16.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Andrew Woodman) $101.00 Labor $1.00 |
| Fisher (QLD) | Australian Liberty Alliance $51.00 Coalition $1.00 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Mike Jessop) $51.00 Labor $16.00 Online Direct Democracy $51.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00 Veterans Party $51.00 |
| Flinders (VIC) | Animal Justice Party $51.00 Coalition $1.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Shane W Lewis) $51.00 Labor $16.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
| Flynn (QLD) | Coalition $1.20 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Duncan Scott) $51.00 Independent (Jordan Ryan Puku) $51.00 Independent (Nathan Joel David Fletcher) $51.00 KAP (Bob Katter) $51.00 Labor $3.00 Pauline Hanson $51.00 |
| Forde (QLD) | Australian Liberty Alliance $51.00 Coalition $1.40 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Independent (David Wilks) $51.00 Labor $2.50 |
| Forrest (WA) | Australian Christians $51.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Ross Maitland Slater) $51.00 Labor $16.00 Liberal $1.01 National $12.00 Outdoor Recreation Party (David Fishlock) $51.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
| Fowler (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $21.00 Green $51.00 Labor $1.00 Smokers Rights $151.00 |
| Franklin (TAS) | Arts Party $51.00 Christian Democratic Party $51.00 Coalition $16.00 Green $21.00 Labor $1.00 |
| Fremantle (WA) | Coalition $34.00 Green $7.00 Labor $1.03 Mature Australia $51.00 Socialist Alliance $51.00 |
| Gellibrand (VIC) | Coalition $26.00 Green $16.00 Independent (David Tran) $51.00 Labor $1.00 |
| Gilmore (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $1.35 Green $51.00 Labor $3.00 |
| Gippsland (VIC) | Australian Christians $51.00 Coalition $1.00 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Cherie Smith) $51.00 Independent (Christine Sindt) $51.00 Labor $34.00 Lib Dem $51.00 Renewable Energy Party $51.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
| Goldstein (VIC) | Animal Justice Party $51.00 Coalition $1.00 Drug Law Reform $51.00 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Labor $16.00 |
| Gorton (VIC) | Coalition $16.00 Green $51.00 Labor $1.00 |
| Grayndler (NSW) | Animal Justice Party $151.00 Australian Cyclists $101.00 Australian Sex Party $101.00 Christian Democratic Party $151.00 Coalition $31.00 Drug Law Reform $151.00 Green $8.00 Labor $1.04 Renewable Energy Party $101.00 Science Party $101.00 Socialist Equality $151.00 |
| Greenway (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party $151.00 Coalition $3.00 Family First $151.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Avtar Singh Billu) $151.00 Labor $1.35 Lib Dem $101.00 Science Party $151.00 |
| Grey (SA) | Coalition $1.40 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Phillip Gourlay) $51.00 Labor $26.00 Nick Xenophon Team $2.75 |
| Griffith (QLD) | Australian Liberty Alliance $51.00 Coalition $5.00 Drug Law Reform $51.00 Family First $51.00 Green $34.00 Independent (Karel Boele) $51.00 Labor $1.15 Lib Dem $51.00 |
| Groom (QLD) | Coalition $1.00 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Labor $26.00 Nick Xenophon Team $21.00 |
| Hasluck (WA) | Australian Christians $51.00 Coalition $1.40 Green $51.00 Labor $2.75 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
| Herbert (QLD) | Coalition $1.15 Family First $51.00 Glenn Lazarus Team $51.00 Green $51.00 KAP (Bob Katter) $51.00 Labor $5.00 Lib Dem $51.00 PUP $51.00 Pauline Hanson $51.00 |
| Higgins (VIC) | Animal Justice Party $51.00 Coalition $1.10 Derryn Hinch $51.00 Green $6.00 Labor $21.00 Lib Dem $51.00 Marriage Equality (Rebecca O $51.00 Nick Xenophon Team $51.00 |
| Hindmarsh (SA) | Animal Justice Party $51.00 Christian Democratic Party $51.00 Coalition $1.75 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Labor $3.00 Nick Xenophon Team $5.00 |
| Hinkler (QLD) | Australian Liberty Alliance $51.00 Coalition $1.08 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Bill Foster) $51.00 Labor $6.00 Pauline Hanson $21.00 |
| Holt (VIC) | Coalition $16.00 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Labor $1.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
| Hotham (VIC) | Animal Justice Party $51.00 Coalition $16.00 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Labor $1.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
| Hughes (NSW) | Animal Justice Party $151.00 Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $1.00 Green $51.00 Labor $16.00 |
| Hume (NSW) | Bullet Train for Australia $151.00 Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Citizens Electoral Council $151.00 Coalition $1.00 Green $51.00 Labor $16.00 |
| Hunter (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $16.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Arjay Martin) $151.00 Independent (Cordelia Troy) $101.00 Independent (John Harvey) $151.00 Independent (John Warham) $151.00 Labor $1.00 |
| Indi (VIC) | Australian Country Party (Julian Fidge) $51.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Alan James Lappin) $51.00 Independent (Cathy McGowan) $1.15 Independent (Ray Dyer) $51.00 Labor $34.00 Lib Dem $51.00 Liberal $11.00 National $6.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
| Isaacs (VIC) | Animal Justice Party $51.00 Coalition $16.00 Green $51.00 Labor $1.00 |
| Jagajaga (VIC) | Animal Justice Party $51.00 Coalition $8.50 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Labor $1.05 |
| Kennedy (QLD) | Coalition $8.50 Family First $101.00 Green $51.00 KAP (Bob Katter) $1.05 Labor $26.00 |
| Kingsford Smith (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $8.50 Green $51.00 Labor $1.05 Science Party $151.00 |
| Kingston (SA) | Coalition $12.00 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Labor $1.15 Nick Xenophon Team $5.00 |
| Kooyong (VIC) | Coalition $1.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Angelina Zubac) $51.00 Labor $16.00 |
| La Trobe (Vic) | Animal Justice Party $51.00 Australian Sex Party $51.00 Coalition $1.15 Derryn Hinch $51.00 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Labor $5.00 Lib Dem $51.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00 Shooters $51.00 |
| Lalor (VIC) | Australia First $51.00 Coalition $16.00 Green $51.00 Labor $1.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
| Leichhardt (QLD) | Coalition $1.06 Family First $34.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Daniel McCarthy) $17.00 Independent (Michael Newie) $51.00 KAP (Bob Katter) $51.00 Labor $9.00 Pauline Hanson $51.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
| Lilley (QLD) | Coalition $8.50 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Labor $1.05 Lib Dem $51.00 |
| Lindsay (NSW) | Animal Justice Party $151.00 Australia First $151.00 Australian Liberty Alliance $151.00 Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $1.27 Derryn Hinch $81.00 Family First $151.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Marcus Cornish) $51.00 Labor $3.50 Nick Xenophon Team $31.00 |
| Lingiari (NT) | Citizens Electoral Council $151.00 Coalition $4.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Alfred Gould) $151.00 Independent (Braedon Earley) $101.00 Independent (Mark Guyula) $151.00 Labor $1.22 Rise Up Australia $151.00 Shooters $101.00 |
| Longman (QLD) | Arts Party $51.00 Australian Liberty Alliance $51.00 Coalition $1.10 Drug Law Reform $51.00 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Greg Riddell) $51.00 Independent (Rob Law) $51.00 KAP (Bob Katter) $51.00 Labor $6.00 Pauline Hanson $51.00 |
| Lyne (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $1.00 Green $26.00 Independent (Brad Christensen) $151.00 Independent (Roger John Riach) $151.00 Labor $26.00 |
| Lyons (TAS) | Australian Recreational Fishers Party $51.00 Christian Democratic Party $51.00 Coalition $3.00 Green $51.00 Labor $1.35 Renewable Energy Party $51.00 |
| Macarthur (NSW) | Coalition $2.15 Green $51.00 Labor $1.65 Nick Xenophon Team $16.00 |
| Mackellar (NSW) | Coalition $1.00 Green $26.00 Independent (Jim Ball) $16.00 Independent (Julie Hegarty) $101.00 Independent (Liam Gavin $51.00 Labor $21.00 |
| Macquarie (NSW) | Animal Justice Party $151.00 Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $1.52 Derryn Hinch $51.00 Green $26.00 Labor $2.40 Lib Dem $81.00 Shooters $101.00 |
| Makin (SA) | Animal Justice Party $51.00 Coalition $16.00 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Mark Aldridge) $51.00 Labor $1.15 Nick Xenophon Team $5.00 |
| Mallee (VIC) | Citizens Electoral Council $51.00 Coalition $1.00 Green $51.00 Labor $21.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
| Maranoa (QLD) | Coalition $1.00 CountryMinded $51.00 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 KAP (Bob Katter) $51.00 Labor $21.00 Pauline Hanson $51.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
| Maribyrnong (VIC) | Animal Justice Party $51.00 Australian Christians $51.00 Coalition $16.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Catherine Cumming) $51.00 Labor $1.00 |
| Mayo (SA) | Coalition $2.50 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Labor $51.00 Lib Dem $51.00 Nick Xenophon Team $1.50 |
| McEwen (VIC) | Animal Justice Party $51.00 Australian Country Party (Tracey Andrew) $51.00 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Ross Lee) $51.00 Labor $1.08 Liberal $7.00 National $51.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
| McMahon (NSW) | Australia First $151.00 Coalition $16.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Fadhel Shamasha) $151.00 Labor $1.00 |
| McMillan (VIC) | Animal Justice Party $51.00 Australian Christians $51.00 Coalition $1.00 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Labor $16.00 Lib Dem $51.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
| McPherson (QLD) | Coalition $1.00 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Rob Jones) $51.00 Labor $16.00 |
| Melbourne (VIC) | Animal Justice Party $51.00 Australian Sex Party $51.00 Coalition $34.00 Drug Law Reform $51.00 Green $1.05 Labor $9.00 |
| Melbourne Ports (VIC) | Animal Justice Party $51.00 Coalition $4.00 Drug Law Reform $51.00 Green $11.00 Independent (John B Myers) $51.00 Independent (Peter Holland) $51.00 Labor $1.25 Marriage Equality (Henry Von Doussa) $51.00 |
| Menzies (VIC) | Animal Justice Party $51.00 Coalition $1.00 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Ramon Robinson) $51.00 Independent (Stephen Mayne) $16.00 Labor $26.00 Voluntary Euthanasia Party (Jay Franklin) $51.00 |
| Mitchell (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $1.00 Green $51.00 Labor $16.00 |
| Moncrieff (QLD) | Coalition $1.00 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Labor $16.00 |
| Moore (WA) | Australian Christians $51.00 Coalition $1.00 Green $51.00 Labor $16.00 |
| Moreton (QLD) | Coalition $5.00 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 KAP (Bob Katter) $51.00 Labor $1.03 Lib Dem $51.00 Nick Xenophon Team $21.00 |
| Murray (VIC) | Australian Country Party (Robert Danieli) $51.00 Citizens Electoral Council $51.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Andrew Bock) $51.00 Independent (Diane Teasdale) $51.00 Independent (Fern Summer) $51.00 Independent (Nigel Hicks) $51.00 Labor $26.00 Liberal $1.35 National $3.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
| New England (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $1.25 CountryMinded $101.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Philip Cox) $101.00 Independent (Rob Taber) $101.00 Independent (Tony Windsor) $3.75 Labor $34.00 Lib Dem $151.00 Online Direct Democracy $151.00 |
| Newcastle (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $16.00 Democratic Labour Party $101.00 Drug Law Reform $151.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Rod Holding) $151.00 Labor $1.00 |
| North Sydney (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $1.00 Family First $151.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Stephen Ruff) $21.00 Labor $16.00 Lib Dem $51.00 Science Party $151.00 |
| O'Connor (WA) | Australian Christians $51.00 Green $51.00 Labor $21.00 Liberal $1.10 National $6.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
| Oxley (QLD) | Coalition $8.50 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 KAP (Bob Katter) $51.00 Labor $1.05 Pauline Hanson $51.00 |
| Page (NSW) | Animal Justice Party $151.00 Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $3.50 Green $51.00 Labor $1.27 Lib Dem $51.00 |
| Parkes (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $1.00 Green $51.00 Labor $26.00 Online Direct Democracy $151.00 |
| Parramatta (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $6.00 Family First $151.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Mahesh Raj) $151.00 Labor $1.10 Lib Dem $51.00 Online Direct Democracy $151.00 |
| Paterson (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Citizens Electoral Council $151.00 Coalition $5.00 Green $26.00 Labor $1.15 Pauline Hanson $101.00 Rise Up Australia $151.00 |
| Pearce (WA) | Green $51.00 Labor $12.00 Liberal $1.01 National $16.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
| Perth (WA) | Coalition $8.00 Green $26.00 Labor $1.03 Lib Dem $51.00 Online Direct Democracy $51.00 |
| Petrie (QLD) | Arts Party $51.00 Coalition $3.50 Family First $51.00 Green $41.00 Labor $1.38 Lib Dem $51.00 |
| Port Adelaide (SA) | Animal Justice Party $51.00 Christian Democratic Party $51.00 Coalition $26.00 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Labor $1.12 Nick Xenophon Team $5.50 |
| Rankin (QLD) | Coalition $16.00 Consumer Rights $51.00 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 KAP (Bob Katter) $51.00 Labor $1.00 Lib Dem $51.00 |
| Reid (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $1.15 Family First $151.00 Green $51.00 Labor $5.00 |
| Richmond (NSW) | Animal Justice Party $151.00 Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $5.00 Green $11.00 Labor $1.15 Pauline Hanson $101.00 |
| Riverina (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $1.00 Family First $151.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Richard Foley) $151.00 Labor $21.00 |
| Robertson (NSW) | Anti-Paedophile Party (Lawrie Higgins) $151.00 Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $1.25 Green $51.00 Independent (Van Davy) $34.00 Labor $3.75 Lib Dem $51.00 |
| Ryan (QLD) | Coalition $1.00 Democratic Labour Party $51.00 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Labor $16.00 Lib Dem $51.00 |
| Scullin (VIC) | Animal Justice Party $51.00 Coalition $26.00 Drug Law Reform $51.00 Green $16.00 Labor $1.00 |
| Shortland (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $16.00 Green $51.00 Labor $1.00 |
| Solomon (NT) | Australia First $151.00 Citizens Electoral Council $151.00 Coalition $3.50 Green $41.00 HEMP Party $151.00 Independent (Mark Garner) $101.00 Labor $1.27 Lib Dem $151.00 Rise Up Australia $151.00 Shooters $151.00 |
| Stirling (WA) | Australian Christians $51.00 Coalition $1.10 Green $51.00 Independent (Kim Mubarak) $51.00 Labor $6.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
| Sturt (SA) | Animal Justice Party $51.00 Coalition $1.15 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Neil Aitchison) $51.00 Labor $11.00 Nick Xenophon Team $5.00 |
| Swan (WA) | Australian Christians $51.00 Coalition $1.30 Green $51.00 Labor $3.00 |
| Sydney (NSW) | Animal Justice Party $151.00 Australian Sex Party $101.00 Christian Democratic Party $151.00 Coalition $34.00 Green $8.00 Labor $1.05 Online Direct Democracy $151.00 Science Party $151.00 Socialist Alliance $151.00 Sustainable Australia $151.00 |
| Tangney (WA) | Australian Christians $51.00 Coalition $1.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Dennis Jensen) $16.00 Labor $34.00 |
| Wakefield (SA) | Christian Democratic Party $51.00 Coalition $16.00 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Independent (John Bolton) $51.00 Labor $1.15 Nick Xenophon Team $5.00 |
| Wannon (VIC) | Coalition $1.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Bernardine Atkinson) $51.00 Independent (Michael John McCluskey) $51.00 Labor $34.00 |
| Warringah (NSW) | Arts Party $151.00 Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $1.02 Green $51.00 Independent (David Barrow) $151.00 Independent (James Mathison) $9.00 Independent (Tony Backhouse) $151.00 Labor $21.00 Nick Xenophon Team $11.00 Science Party $151.00 |
| Watson (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $21.00 Green $51.00 Labor $1.00 Online Direct Democracy $151.00 Science Party $151.00 |
| Wentworth (NSW) | Arts Party $151.00 Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $1.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Allen David) $151.00 Independent (Marc Aussie-Stone) $1001.00 Labor $11.00 Science Party $151.00 |
| Werriwa (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $5.00 Green $51.00 Labor $1.12 |
| Whitlam (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition $34.00 Green $16.00 Labor $1.00 Non Custodial Parents Party $151.00 |
| Wide Bay (QLD) | Coalition $1.00 Family First $51.00 Glenn Lazarus Team $51.00 Green $34.00 KAP (Bob Katter) $51.00 Labor $16.00 Pauline Hanson $51.00 |
| Wills (VIC) | Animal Justice Party $51.00 Australian Sex Party $51.00 Coalition $34.00 Drug Law Reform $51.00 Green $5.00 Independent (Francesco Timpano) $51.00 Labor $1.15 Renewable Energy Party $51.00 Socialist Alliance $51.00 Socialist Equality $51.00 |
| Wright (QLD) | Coalition $1.00 Family First $51.00 Green $51.00 Labor $16.00 Lib Dem $51.00 Mature Australia $51.00 Pauline Hanson $51.00 |
Complete list of Seat Probabilities
| Any Other | Coalition | Green | Ind | Katter | Labor | NXT | 2016 Favourite | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calwell (VIC) | 3.74 | 0.00 | 1.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 94.39 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Batman (VIC) | 12.50 | 2.34 | 40.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 44.28 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Wills (VIC) | 11.10 | 2.38 | 16.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 70.34 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Fremantle (WA) | 3.32 | 2.49 | 12.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 82.11 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Sydney (NSW) | 4.29 | 2.54 | 10.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 82.36 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Melbourne (VIC) | 5.11 | 2.55 | 82.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.65 | 0.00 | Green |
| Whitlam (NSW) | 1.49 | 2.66 | 5.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 90.21 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Grayndler (NSW) | 5.58 | 2.72 | 10.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 81.15 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Port Adelaide (SA) | 4.94 | 3.23 | 1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 74.93 | 15.26 | Labor |
| Scullin (VIC) | 3.44 | 3.38 | 5.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 87.69 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Gellibrand (VIC) | 1.75 | 3.44 | 5.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.23 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Cunningham (NSW) | 2.14 | 3.56 | 1.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 92.48 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Denison (TAS) | 3.36 | 4.08 | 1.68 | 85.54 | 0.00 | 5.35 | 0.00 | Independent |
| Watson (NSW) | 2.12 | 4.37 | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 91.70 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Fowler (NSW) | 1.53 | 4.40 | 1.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 92.27 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Wakefield (SA) | 4.86 | 5.16 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 71.84 | 16.52 | Labor |
| Makin (SA) | 4.86 | 5.16 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 71.84 | 16.52 | Labor |
| Rankin (QLD) | 5.07 | 5.39 | 1.69 | 0.00 | 1.69 | 86.15 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Franklin (TAS) | 3.42 | 5.44 | 4.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 87.00 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Hotham (VIC) | 5.16 | 5.48 | 1.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 87.64 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Corio (VIC) | 6.87 | 5.48 | 1.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 85.93 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Maribyrnong (VIC) | 5.16 | 5.48 | 1.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 87.64 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Hunter (NSW) | 3.54 | 5.58 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.13 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Lalor (VIC) | 3.50 | 5.58 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.17 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Holt (VIC) | 3.50 | 5.58 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.17 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Canberra (ACT) | 0.88 | 5.59 | 4.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.27 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Newcastle (NSW) | 2.97 | 5.61 | 1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.66 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Isaacs (VIC) | 1.78 | 5.68 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 90.76 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Fenner (ACT) | 1.80 | 5.68 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 90.74 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Chifley (NSW) | 1.51 | 5.69 | 1.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 91.01 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Blaxland (NSW) | 1.51 | 5.69 | 1.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 91.01 | 0.00 | Labor |
| McMahon (NSW) | 1.21 | 5.71 | 1.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 91.29 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Shortland (NSW) | 0.91 | 5.73 | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 91.57 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Gorton (VIC) | 0.00 | 5.78 | 1.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 92.41 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Kingston (SA) | 1.64 | 6.99 | 1.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 72.94 | 16.78 | Labor |
| Oxley (QLD) | 3.41 | 10.24 | 1.71 | 0.00 | 1.71 | 82.93 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Kennedy (QLD) | 0.87 | 10.34 | 1.72 | 0.00 | 83.69 | 3.38 | 0.00 | Katter |
| Jagajaga (VIC) | 3.47 | 10.42 | 1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 84.37 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Brand (WA) | 3.47 | 10.42 | 1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 84.37 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Lilley (QLD) | 3.47 | 10.42 | 1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 84.37 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Ballarat (VIC) | 2.29 | 10.52 | 1.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 85.50 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Barton (NSW) | 2.08 | 10.57 | 1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 85.59 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Kingsford Smith (NSW) | 1.49 | 10.64 | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 86.10 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Perth (WA) | 3.34 | 10.65 | 3.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 82.73 | 0.00 | Labor |
| McEwen (VIC) | 8.13 | 13.47 | 1.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 76.77 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Bruce (VIC) | 6.68 | 14.20 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 77.45 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Blair (QLD) | 3.98 | 14.39 | 1.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 79.94 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Parramatta (NSW) | 4.31 | 14.56 | 1.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 79.41 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Moreton (QLD) | 3.02 | 15.42 | 1.51 | 0.00 | 1.51 | 74.86 | 3.67 | Labor |
| Griffith (QLD) | 8.19 | 16.71 | 2.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 72.64 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Richmond (NSW) | 2.23 | 16.85 | 7.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 73.26 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Paterson (NSW) | 2.90 | 17.53 | 3.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 76.21 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Werriwa (NSW) | 0.88 | 17.82 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 79.55 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Bendigo (VIC) | 4.86 | 18.83 | 1.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 74.70 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Melbourne Ports (VIC) | 7.91 | 20.18 | 7.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 64.57 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Indi (VIC) | 7.69 | 20.21 | 1.54 | 68.24 | 0.00 | 2.31 | 0.00 | Independent |
| Lingiari (NT) | 4.08 | 22.02 | 1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 72.18 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Solomon (NT) | 3.46 | 24.91 | 2.13 | 0.86 | 0.00 | 68.64 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Adelaide (SA) | 2.45 | 24.99 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 63.44 | 7.50 | Labor |
| Page (NSW) | 3.20 | 25.31 | 1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 69.75 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Petrie (QLD) | 5.38 | 26.13 | 2.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 66.26 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Dobell (NSW) | 2.65 | 27.02 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 68.58 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Lyons (TAS) | 5.10 | 28.92 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 64.27 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Chisholm (VIC) | 5.13 | 29.06 | 1.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 64.10 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Greenway (NSW) | 3.22 | 29.50 | 1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 65.55 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Eden Monaro (NSW) | 3.71 | 30.77 | 1.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 63.83 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Burt (WA) | 3.49 | 32.96 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 61.80 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Mayo (SA) | 3.42 | 34.93 | 1.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.71 | 58.22 | NXT |
| Macarthur (NSW) | 0.00 | 40.33 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 52.55 | 5.42 | Labor |
| Capricornia (QLD) | 1.16 | 42.85 | 1.72 | 0.00 | 2.58 | 51.68 | 0.00 | Labor |
| Cowan (WA) | 6.65 | 45.84 | 1.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 45.84 | 0.00 | Coalition, Labor |
| Hindmarsh (SA) | 4.97 | 48.30 | 1.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.17 | 16.90 | Coalition |
| Macquarie (NSW) | 4.98 | 56.16 | 3.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.57 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Braddon (TAS) | 6.46 | 56.84 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.07 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Forde (QLD) | 4.93 | 59.89 | 1.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.54 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Grey (SA) | 3.34 | 60.78 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.27 | 30.94 | Coalition |
| Cowper (NSW) | 2.01 | 62.11 | 1.70 | 31.62 | 0.00 | 2.56 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Brisbane (QLD) | 2.88 | 62.65 | 2.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.89 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Hasluck (WA) | 3.45 | 62.84 | 1.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.99 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Flynn (QLD) | 7.52 | 63.91 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 1.50 | 25.56 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Bass (TAS) | 5.10 | 64.27 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.92 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Barker (SA) | 1.70 | 64.31 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.34 | 28.94 | Coalition |
| Lindsay (NSW) | 5.73 | 65.98 | 1.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.94 | 2.70 | Coalition |
| Boothby (SA) | 6.52 | 66.49 | 1.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.20 | 22.16 | Coalition |
| Gilmore (NSW) | 0.90 | 67.12 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.20 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Swan (WA) | 1.72 | 67.37 | 1.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 29.19 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Dunkley (VIC) | 12.52 | 68.19 | 1.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.73 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| New England (NSW) | 4.52 | 68.46 | 1.68 | 22.82 | 0.00 | 2.52 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Robertson (NSW) | 5.69 | 69.46 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.15 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Sturt (SA) | 4.75 | 70.19 | 1.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.34 | 16.14 | Coalition |
| La Trobe (Vic) | 11.19 | 70.90 | 1.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.31 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Deakin (VIC) | 5.07 | 71.86 | 2.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.53 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Herbert (QLD) | 8.12 | 72.05 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 1.62 | 16.57 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Longman (QLD) | 10.96 | 72.60 | 1.57 | 0.00 | 1.57 | 13.31 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Dawson (QLD) | 1.98 | 72.94 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 2.08 | 21.33 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Banks (NSW) | 2.94 | 74.13 | 1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.18 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Higgins (VIC) | 6.42 | 74.43 | 13.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.90 | 1.61 | Coalition |
| Bonner (QLD) | 2.75 | 74.70 | 1.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.91 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Hinkler (QLD) | 8.73 | 75.98 | 1.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.68 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Leichhardt (QLD) | 11.85 | 76.03 | 1.58 | 0.00 | 1.58 | 8.95 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Warringah (NSW) | 2.83 | 76.23 | 1.52 | 8.64 | 0.00 | 3.70 | 7.07 | Coalition |
| Corangamite (VIC) | 11.19 | 77.63 | 1.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.59 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Reid (NSW) | 1.49 | 78.64 | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.09 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Stirling (WA) | 5.10 | 78.76 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.44 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Dickson (QLD) | 3.40 | 80.17 | 1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.70 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Aston (VIC) | 4.15 | 80.17 | 1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.03 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Bowman (QLD) | 1.19 | 82.00 | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.03 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Casey (VIC) | 5.12 | 82.93 | 1.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.24 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Fisher (QLD) | 9.81 | 83.34 | 1.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.21 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Menzies (VIC) | 11.76 | 83.39 | 1.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.21 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Gippsland (VIC) | 11.58 | 84.28 | 1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.48 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Murray (VIC) | 10.81 | 84.61 | 1.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.03 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| McMillan (VIC) | 8.31 | 84.72 | 1.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.30 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Fairfax (QLD) | 8.31 | 84.72 | 1.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.30 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Mackellar (NSW) | 7.82 | 84.87 | 3.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.05 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| North Sydney (NSW) | 7.71 | 85.28 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.34 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Wide Bay (QLD) | 5.03 | 85.43 | 2.52 | 0.00 | 1.68 | 5.34 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Maranoa (QLD) | 6.74 | 85.81 | 1.68 | 0.00 | 1.68 | 4.09 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Wright (QLD) | 6.76 | 86.15 | 1.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.39 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Forrest (WA) | 6.36 | 86.99 | 1.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.06 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Wentworth (NSW) | 2.70 | 87.61 | 1.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.97 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Flinders (VIC) | 5.16 | 87.64 | 1.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.48 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Goldstein (VIC) | 5.16 | 87.64 | 1.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.48 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Ryan (QLD) | 5.16 | 87.64 | 1.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.48 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Tangney (WA) | 1.74 | 88.40 | 1.74 | 5.53 | 0.00 | 2.60 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Groom (QLD) | 1.74 | 88.86 | 1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.42 | 4.24 | Coalition |
| Bennelong (NSW) | 3.80 | 88.89 | 1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.56 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Calare (NSW) | 3.22 | 89.03 | 0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.24 | 2.62 | Coalition |
| McPherson (QLD) | 3.50 | 89.17 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.58 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Curtin (WA) | 3.50 | 89.17 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.58 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Pearce (WA) | 1.67 | 89.57 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.09 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Fadden (QLD) | 2.95 | 89.68 | 1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.61 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Berowra (NSW) | 2.39 | 90.20 | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.64 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Cook (NSW) | 1.49 | 90.21 | 5.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.66 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Mallee (VIC) | 3.55 | 90.37 | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.31 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Hume (NSW) | 2.10 | 90.47 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.66 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Bradfield (NSW) | 2.10 | 90.47 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.66 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Kooyong (VIC) | 1.78 | 90.76 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.68 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Moncrieff (QLD) | 1.78 | 90.76 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.68 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Moore (WA) | 1.78 | 90.76 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.68 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Lyne (NSW) | 2.11 | 90.90 | 3.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.50 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| O'Connor (WA) | 3.32 | 91.00 | 1.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.03 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Canning (WA) | 1.73 | 91.00 | 1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.53 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Hughes (NSW) | 1.51 | 91.01 | 1.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.69 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Mitchell (NSW) | 0.91 | 91.57 | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.73 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Riverina (NSW) | 2.12 | 91.70 | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.37 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Wannon (VIC) | 3.61 | 91.88 | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.71 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Durack (WA) | 3.39 | 92.37 | 1.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.54 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Parkes (NSW) | 1.54 | 93.05 | 1.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.58 | 0.00 | Coalition |
| Farrer (NSW) | 2.84 | 95.29 | 1.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Likely election outcome charts from Monte Carlo simulation of longshot adjusted individual seat probabilities.
Counts of seat favourites and longshot adjusted probability sum.
Individual seats
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