House | Coalition Odds ($) | Labor Odds ($) | Coalition Win Probability (%) | |
---|---|---|---|---|
2016-06-29 | Betfair | 1.11 | 8.03 | 87.86 |
2016-06-29 | CrownBet | 1.12 | 6.50 | 85.30 |
2016-06-29 | Ladbrokes | 1.10 | 6.50 | 85.53 |
2016-06-29 | Luxbet | 1.10 | 6.75 | 85.99 |
2016-06-29 | Sportsbet | 1.10 | 7.00 | 86.42 |
2016-06-29 | William Hill | 1.10 | 7.00 | 86.42 |
We 22-Jun | Th 23-Jun | Fr 24-Jun | Sa 25-Jun | Su 26-Jun | Mo 27-Jun | Tu 28-Jun | We 29-Jun | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Betfair | 84.61 | 81.70 | 84.99 | 84.88 | 84.61 | 85.91 | 85.79 | 87.86 |
CrownBet | 82.71 | 82.71 | 82.71 | 82.71 | 82.71 | 82.71 | 85.30 | 85.30 |
Ladbrokes | 84.51 | 84.27 | 84.27 | 84.39 | 84.39 | 82.96 | 85.53 | 85.53 |
Luxbet | 83.45 | 83.45 | 83.09 | 83.09 | 83.09 | 83.09 | 83.70 | 85.99 |
Sportsbet | 84.26 | 82.71 | 82.71 | 82.71 | 82.71 | 82.71 | 86.42 | 86.42 |
William Hill | 84.15 | 82.71 | 84.27 | 84.27 | 84.27 | 82.83 | 84.15 | 86.42 |
Average | 83.95 | 82.92 | 83.67 | 83.67 | 83.63 | 83.37 | 85.15 | 86.25 |
For the individual seats I use the most recent odds I have captured for each seat. We start with a look at missing odds.
Missing Odds | |
---|---|
2016-05-19 | O'Connor (WA) |
2016-05-20 | O'Connor (WA) |
2016-06-03 | Wentworth (NSW) |
2016-06-04 | Indi (VIC), Wentworth (NSW) |
2016-06-05 | Indi (VIC), Wentworth (NSW) |
2016-06-06 | Indi (VIC), Wentworth (NSW) |
2016-06-07 | Wentworth (NSW) |
2016-06-09 | Lingiari (NT), Solomon (NT) |
2016-06-10 | Brisbane (QLD), Lingiari (NT) |
2016-06-11 | Lingiari (NT), Murray (VIC) |
2016-06-12 | Lingiari (NT), Murray (VIC) |
2016-06-13 | Lingiari (NT) |
2016-06-14 | Lingiari (NT) |
2016-06-16 | Grayndler (NSW) |
2016-06-17 | Mackellar (NSW) |
2016-06-20 | Cook (NSW) |
2016-06-21 | Cook (NSW) |
2016-06-25 | Ballarat (VIC), Bendigo (VIC), Calwell (VIC), Canning (WA), Durack (WA), Forrest (WA), Pearce (WA) |
2016-06-26 | Calwell (VIC), Durack (WA) |
2016-06-27 | Calwell (VIC), Durack (WA) |
Latest odds
2016-06-29 | |
---|---|
Adelaide (SA) | Animal Justice Party 101.00FamilyFirst101.00 Green 51.00Labor1.30 Lib Dem 101.00Liberal3.30 Nick Xenophon Team $11.00 |
Aston (VIC) | Animal Justice Party 101.00Coalition1.05 Family First 101.00Green51.00 Independent (Daniel Huppert) 51.00Labor6.00 Lib Dem $101.00 |
Ballarat (VIC) | Australian Christians 151.00FamilyFirst151.00 Green 51.00Independent(BrenEckel)151.00 Labor 1.01Liberal12.00 National 26.00RiseUpAustralia151.00 |
Banks (NSW) | Animal Justice Party 151.00ChristianDemocraticParty101.00 Coalition 1.20FamilyFirst101.00 Green 51.00Independent(BobSpanswick)151.00 Labor $4.20 |
Barker (SA) | Coalition 1.35FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00Labor26.00 Nick Xenophon Team $3.00 |
Barton (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition8.50 Green 51.00Independent(RasmusTorkel)151.00 Labor 1.05OnlineDirectDemocracy151.00 |
Bass (TAS) | Australian Recreational Fishers Party 51.00ChristianDemocraticParty51.00 Coalition 1.35Green51.00 Labor 3.00RenewableEnergyParty51.00 |
Batman (VIC) | Animal Justice Party 51.00AustralianCyclists51.00 Australian Progressives (Russell Hayward) 51.00AustralianSexParty51.00 Coalition 34.00Green1.95 Independent (Franco Guardiani) 51.00Independent(PhilipSutton)51.00 Labor 1.80MarriageEquality(ElizabethSyber)51.00 Renewable Energy Party $51.00 |
Bendigo (VIC) | Animal Justice Party 151.00AnyOther34.00 Family First 151.00Green51.00 Independent (Anita Erika Donlon) 101.00Labor1.10 Liberal 6.00National16.00 Rise Up Australia $151.00 |
Bennelong (NSW) | Arts Party 151.00ChristianDemocraticParty101.00 Coalition 1.00Green51.00 Independent (Martin Mulcare) 51.00Labor16.00 Pirate Party $151.00 |
Berowra (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition1.00 Green 51.00Independent(MickGallagher)101.00 Labor 16.00ScienceParty151.00 |
Blair (QLD) | Coalition 6.00FamilyFirst151.00 Green 51.00Independent(JonathanEmms)151.00 Independent (Patricia Petersen) 151.00Independent(SandyTurner)151.00 Labor 1.08PaulineHanson51.00 |
Blaxland (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition16.00 Green 51.00Labor1.00 Socialist Equality $151.00 |
Bonner (QLD) | Coalition 1.12FamilyFirst151.00 Green 51.00Independent(JarrodWirth)151.00 Labor 4.00LibDem51.00 |
Boothby (SA) | Animal Justice Party 51.00Coalition1.25 Family First 51.00Green51.00 Independent (Jamie Armfield) 51.00Independent(RobertdeJonge)51.00 Labor 26.00NickXenophonTeam3.75 |
Bowman (QLD) | Australian Liberty Alliance 151.00Coalition1.10 Family First 151.00Green51.00 Labor $6.00 |
Braddon (TAS) | Australian Recreational Fishers Party 51.00ChristianDemocraticParty51.00 Coalition 1.45Green51.00 Labor 2.35LibDem51.00 Renewable Energy Party $51.00 |
Bradfield (NSW) | Australian Liberty Alliance 151.00ChristianDemocraticParty101.00 Coalition 1.00Green51.00 Independent (Christine Berman) 151.00Labor16.00 |
Brand (WA) | Australian Christians 51.00Coalition8.50 Green 51.00Labor1.05 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
Brisbane (QLD) | Coalition 1.40FamilyFirst151.00 Green 34.00Labor2.75 Lib Dem 51.00VeteransParty151.00 |
Bruce (VIC) | Animal Justice Party 51.00Coalition6.00 Drug Law Reform 51.00FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00Labor1.10 Renewable Energy Party $51.00 |
Burt (WA) | Australian Christians 51.00Coalition2.70 Green 51.00Labor1.44 Shooters $51.00 |
Calare (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition1.00 Green 101.00Independent(AnthonyCraig)151.00 Labor 21.00LibDem51.00 Nick Xenophon Team $34.00 |
Calwell (VIC) | Animal Justice Party 51.00Green51.00 Independent (Michael Amon Lakkis) 51.00Labor1.01 |
Canberra (ACT) | Bullet Train for Australia 101.00Coalition16.00 Green 21.00Labor1.00 |
Canning (WA) | Australian Christians 51.00Green51.00 Labor 16.00Liberal1.01 National $26.00 |
Capricornia (QLD) | Coalition 2.05FamilyFirst151.00 Green 51.00Independent(KenMurray)151.00 KAP (Bob Katter) 34.00Labor1.70 |
Casey (VIC) | Animal Justice Party 51.00Coalition1.05 Green 51.00Independent(PeterCharleton)51.00 Labor 8.50RiseUpAustralia51.00 |
Chifley (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition16.00 Green 51.00Independent(AmmarKhan)151.00 Labor $1.00 |
Chisholm (VIC) | Animal Justice Party 51.00Coalition3.00 Family First 51.00Green51.00 Labor 1.36RiseUpAustralia51.00 |
Cook (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition1.00 Green 16.00Independent(JohnBrett)151.00 Labor $34.00 |
Corangamite (VIC) | Animal Justice Party 51.00Coalition1.05 Derryn Hinch 51.00DrugLawReform51.00 Family First 51.00Green51.00 Independent (Michael Lawrence) 51.00Labor8.50 Lib Dem 51.00RiseUpAustralia51.00 |
Corio (VIC) | Animal Justice Party 51.00BulletTrainForAustralia(JeffMoran)51.00 Coalition 16.00Green51.00 Labor 1.02RiseUpAustralia51.00 Socialist Alliance $51.00 |
Cowan (WA) | Australian Christians 51.00Coalition1.85 Green 51.00Labor1.85 Lib Dem 51.00MatureAustralia51.00 Shooters $51.00 |
Cowper (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00CitizensElectoralCouncil151.00 Coalition 1.40Green51.00 Independent (John Arkan) 151.00Independent(RobOakeshott)2.75 Labor $34.00 |
Cunningham (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition26.00 Green 51.00Labor1.00 Non Custodial Parents Party 151.00ScienceParty151.00 |
Curtin (WA) | Australian Liberty Alliance 51.00Coalition1.00 Green 51.00Independent(SandraBoulter)51.00 Labor $16.00 |
Dawson (QLD) | Coalition 1.17FamilyFirst151.00 Glenn Lazarus Team 101.00Green51.00 Independent (Stephen Large) 151.00KAP(BobKatter)41.00 Labor $4.00 |
Deakin (VIC) | Animal Justice Party 51.00AustralianChristians51.00 Coalition 1.20FamilyFirst51.00 Green 34.00Labor4.20 |
Denison (TAS) | Christian Democratic Party 51.00Coalition21.00 Democratic Labour Party 51.00Green51.00 Independent (Andrew Wilkie) 1.00Labor16.00 |
Dickson (QLD) | Coalition 1.10FamilyFirst151.00 Green 51.00Independent(ThorProhaska)81.00 Labor 6.00LibDem51.00 |
Dobell (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition3.30 Green 51.00Independent(GregoryStephenson)151.00 Independent (Paul Baker) 151.00Labor1.30 Pauline Hanson $151.00 |
Dunkley (VIC) | Animal Justice Party 51.00ArtsParty51.00 Australian Christians 51.00Coalition1.17 Derryn Hinch 51.00FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00Independent(JosephToscano)51.00 Labor 4.50LibDem51.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
Durack (WA) | Australian Christians 51.00Green51.00 Labor 34.00Liberal1.08 National 7.00RiseUpAustralia51.00 |
Eden Monaro (NSW) | Animal Justice Party 151.00ChristianDemocraticParty101.00 Coalition 2.80Green51.00 Independent (Andrew Thaler) 151.00Independent(DanielGrosmaire)151.00 Independent (Ray Buckley) 151.00Labor1.35 Veterans Party $151.00 |
Fadden (QLD) | Coalition 1.00FamilyFirst151.00 Green 51.00Labor16.00 Pauline Hanson 51.00VeteransParty151.00 |
Fairfax (QLD) | Coalition 1.00FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00Independent(KeithAlexanderCampbell)51.00 Independent (Robert Dickson) 51.00Labor16.00 Online Direct Democracy 51.00PaulineHanson51.00 |
Farrer (NSW) | Australian Liberty Alliance 151.00ChristianDemocraticParty101.00 Coalition 1.00Green51.00 Independent (Brian Mills) 151.00MatureAustralia151.00 |
Fenner (ACT) | Bullet Train for Australia 101.00Coalition16.00 Green 51.00Independent(AndrewWoodman)101.00 Labor $1.00 |
Fisher (QLD) | Australian Liberty Alliance 51.00Coalition1.00 Family First 51.00Green51.00 Independent (Mike Jessop) 51.00Labor16.00 Online Direct Democracy 51.00RiseUpAustralia51.00 Veterans Party $51.00 |
Flinders (VIC) | Animal Justice Party 51.00Coalition1.00 Green 51.00Independent(ShaneWLewis)51.00 Labor 16.00RiseUpAustralia51.00 |
Flynn (QLD) | Coalition 1.20FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00Independent(DuncanScott)51.00 Independent (Jordan Ryan Puku) 51.00Independent(NathanJoelDavidFletcher)51.00 KAP (Bob Katter) 51.00Labor3.00 Pauline Hanson $51.00 |
Forde (QLD) | Australian Liberty Alliance 51.00Coalition1.40 Family First 51.00Green51.00 Independent (David Wilks) 51.00Labor2.50 |
Forrest (WA) | Australian Christians 51.00Green51.00 Independent (Ross Maitland Slater) 51.00Labor16.00 Liberal 1.01National12.00 Outdoor Recreation Party (David Fishlock) 51.00RiseUpAustralia51.00 |
Fowler (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition21.00 Green 51.00Labor1.00 Smokers Rights $151.00 |
Franklin (TAS) | Arts Party 51.00ChristianDemocraticParty51.00 Coalition 16.00Green21.00 Labor $1.00 |
Fremantle (WA) | Coalition 34.00Green7.00 Labor 1.03MatureAustralia51.00 Socialist Alliance $51.00 |
Gellibrand (VIC) | Coalition 26.00Green16.00 Independent (David Tran) 51.00Labor1.00 |
Gilmore (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition1.35 Green 51.00Labor3.00 |
Gippsland (VIC) | Australian Christians 51.00Coalition1.00 Family First 51.00Green51.00 Independent (Cherie Smith) 51.00Independent(ChristineSindt)51.00 Labor 34.00LibDem51.00 Renewable Energy Party 51.00RiseUpAustralia51.00 |
Goldstein (VIC) | Animal Justice Party 51.00Coalition1.00 Drug Law Reform 51.00FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00Labor16.00 |
Gorton (VIC) | Coalition 16.00Green51.00 Labor $1.00 |
Grayndler (NSW) | Animal Justice Party 151.00AustralianCyclists101.00 Australian Sex Party 101.00ChristianDemocraticParty151.00 Coalition 31.00DrugLawReform151.00 Green 8.00Labor1.04 Renewable Energy Party 101.00ScienceParty101.00 Socialist Equality $151.00 |
Greenway (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 151.00Coalition3.00 Family First 151.00Green51.00 Independent (Avtar Singh Billu) 151.00Labor1.35 Lib Dem 101.00ScienceParty151.00 |
Grey (SA) | Coalition 1.40FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00Independent(PhillipGourlay)51.00 Labor 26.00NickXenophonTeam2.75 |
Griffith (QLD) | Australian Liberty Alliance 51.00Coalition5.00 Drug Law Reform 51.00FamilyFirst51.00 Green 34.00Independent(KarelBoele)51.00 Labor 1.15LibDem51.00 |
Groom (QLD) | Coalition 1.00FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00Labor26.00 Nick Xenophon Team $21.00 |
Hasluck (WA) | Australian Christians 51.00Coalition1.40 Green 51.00Labor2.75 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
Herbert (QLD) | Coalition 1.15FamilyFirst51.00 Glenn Lazarus Team 51.00Green51.00 KAP (Bob Katter) 51.00Labor5.00 Lib Dem 51.00PUP51.00 Pauline Hanson $51.00 |
Higgins (VIC) | Animal Justice Party 51.00Coalition1.10 Derryn Hinch 51.00Green6.00 Labor 21.00LibDem51.00 Marriage Equality (Rebecca O 51.00NickXenophonTeam51.00 |
Hindmarsh (SA) | Animal Justice Party 51.00ChristianDemocraticParty51.00 Coalition 1.75FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00Labor3.00 Nick Xenophon Team $5.00 |
Hinkler (QLD) | Australian Liberty Alliance 51.00Coalition1.08 Family First 51.00Green51.00 Independent (Bill Foster) 51.00Labor6.00 Pauline Hanson $21.00 |
Holt (VIC) | Coalition 16.00FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00Labor1.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
Hotham (VIC) | Animal Justice Party 51.00Coalition16.00 Family First 51.00Green51.00 Labor 1.00RiseUpAustralia51.00 |
Hughes (NSW) | Animal Justice Party 151.00ChristianDemocraticParty101.00 Coalition 1.00Green51.00 Labor $16.00 |
Hume (NSW) | Bullet Train for Australia 151.00ChristianDemocraticParty101.00 Citizens Electoral Council 151.00Coalition1.00 Green 51.00Labor16.00 |
Hunter (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition16.00 Green 51.00Independent(ArjayMartin)151.00 Independent (Cordelia Troy) 101.00Independent(JohnHarvey)151.00 Independent (John Warham) 151.00Labor1.00 |
Indi (VIC) | Australian Country Party (Julian Fidge) 51.00Green51.00 Independent (Alan James Lappin) 51.00Independent(CathyMcGowan)1.15 Independent (Ray Dyer) 51.00Labor34.00 Lib Dem 51.00Liberal11.00 National 6.00RiseUpAustralia51.00 |
Isaacs (VIC) | Animal Justice Party 51.00Coalition16.00 Green 51.00Labor1.00 |
Jagajaga (VIC) | Animal Justice Party 51.00Coalition8.50 Family First 51.00Green51.00 Labor $1.05 |
Kennedy (QLD) | Coalition 8.50FamilyFirst101.00 Green 51.00KAP(BobKatter)1.05 Labor $26.00 |
Kingsford Smith (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition8.50 Green 51.00Labor1.05 Science Party $151.00 |
Kingston (SA) | Coalition 12.00FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00Labor1.15 Nick Xenophon Team $5.00 |
Kooyong (VIC) | Coalition 1.00Green51.00 Independent (Angelina Zubac) 51.00Labor16.00 |
La Trobe (Vic) | Animal Justice Party 51.00AustralianSexParty51.00 Coalition 1.15DerrynHinch51.00 Family First 51.00Green51.00 Labor 5.00LibDem51.00 Rise Up Australia 51.00Shooters51.00 |
Lalor (VIC) | Australia First 51.00Coalition16.00 Green 51.00Labor1.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
Leichhardt (QLD) | Coalition 1.06FamilyFirst34.00 Green 51.00Independent(DanielMcCarthy)17.00 Independent (Michael Newie) 51.00KAP(BobKatter)51.00 Labor 9.00PaulineHanson51.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
Lilley (QLD) | Coalition 8.50FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00Labor1.05 Lib Dem $51.00 |
Lindsay (NSW) | Animal Justice Party 151.00AustraliaFirst151.00 Australian Liberty Alliance 151.00ChristianDemocraticParty101.00 Coalition 1.27DerrynHinch81.00 Family First 151.00Green51.00 Independent (Marcus Cornish) 51.00Labor3.50 Nick Xenophon Team $31.00 |
Lingiari (NT) | Citizens Electoral Council 151.00Coalition4.00 Green 51.00Independent(AlfredGould)151.00 Independent (Braedon Earley) 101.00Independent(MarkGuyula)151.00 Labor 1.22RiseUpAustralia151.00 Shooters $101.00 |
Longman (QLD) | Arts Party 51.00AustralianLibertyAlliance51.00 Coalition 1.10DrugLawReform51.00 Family First 51.00Green51.00 Independent (Greg Riddell) 51.00Independent(RobLaw)51.00 KAP (Bob Katter) 51.00Labor6.00 Pauline Hanson $51.00 |
Lyne (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition1.00 Green 26.00Independent(BradChristensen)151.00 Independent (Roger John Riach) 151.00Labor26.00 |
Lyons (TAS) | Australian Recreational Fishers Party 51.00ChristianDemocraticParty51.00 Coalition 3.00Green51.00 Labor 1.35RenewableEnergyParty51.00 |
Macarthur (NSW) | Coalition 2.15Green51.00 Labor 1.65NickXenophonTeam16.00 |
Mackellar (NSW) | Coalition 1.00Green26.00 Independent (Jim Ball) 16.00Independent(JulieHegarty)101.00 Independent (Liam Gavin 51.00Labor21.00 |
Macquarie (NSW) | Animal Justice Party 151.00ChristianDemocraticParty101.00 Coalition 1.52DerrynHinch51.00 Green 26.00Labor2.40 Lib Dem 81.00Shooters101.00 |
Makin (SA) | Animal Justice Party 51.00Coalition16.00 Family First 51.00Green51.00 Independent (Mark Aldridge) 51.00Labor1.15 Nick Xenophon Team $5.00 |
Mallee (VIC) | Citizens Electoral Council 51.00Coalition1.00 Green 51.00Labor21.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
Maranoa (QLD) | Coalition 1.00CountryMinded51.00 Family First 51.00Green51.00 KAP (Bob Katter) 51.00Labor21.00 Pauline Hanson 51.00RiseUpAustralia51.00 |
Maribyrnong (VIC) | Animal Justice Party 51.00AustralianChristians51.00 Coalition 16.00Green51.00 Independent (Catherine Cumming) 51.00Labor1.00 |
Mayo (SA) | Coalition 2.50FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00Labor51.00 Lib Dem 51.00NickXenophonTeam1.50 |
McEwen (VIC) | Animal Justice Party 51.00AustralianCountryParty(TraceyAndrew)51.00 Family First 51.00Green51.00 Independent (Ross Lee) 51.00Labor1.08 Liberal 7.00National51.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
McMahon (NSW) | Australia First 151.00Coalition16.00 Green 51.00Independent(FadhelShamasha)151.00 Labor $1.00 |
McMillan (VIC) | Animal Justice Party 51.00AustralianChristians51.00 Coalition 1.00FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00Labor16.00 Lib Dem 51.00RiseUpAustralia51.00 |
McPherson (QLD) | Coalition 1.00FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00Independent(RobJones)51.00 Labor $16.00 |
Melbourne (VIC) | Animal Justice Party 51.00AustralianSexParty51.00 Coalition 34.00DrugLawReform51.00 Green 1.05Labor9.00 |
Melbourne Ports (VIC) | Animal Justice Party 51.00Coalition4.00 Drug Law Reform 51.00Green11.00 Independent (John B Myers) 51.00Independent(PeterHolland)51.00 Labor 1.25MarriageEquality(HenryVonDoussa)51.00 |
Menzies (VIC) | Animal Justice Party 51.00Coalition1.00 Family First 51.00Green51.00 Independent (Ramon Robinson) 51.00Independent(StephenMayne)16.00 Labor 26.00VoluntaryEuthanasiaParty(JayFranklin)51.00 |
Mitchell (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition1.00 Green 51.00Labor16.00 |
Moncrieff (QLD) | Coalition 1.00FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00Labor16.00 |
Moore (WA) | Australian Christians 51.00Coalition1.00 Green 51.00Labor16.00 |
Moreton (QLD) | Coalition 5.00FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00KAP(BobKatter)51.00 Labor 1.03LibDem51.00 Nick Xenophon Team $21.00 |
Murray (VIC) | Australian Country Party (Robert Danieli) 51.00CitizensElectoralCouncil51.00 Green 51.00Independent(AndrewBock)51.00 Independent (Diane Teasdale) 51.00Independent(FernSummer)51.00 Independent (Nigel Hicks) 51.00Labor26.00 Liberal 1.35National3.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
New England (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition1.25 CountryMinded 101.00Green51.00 Independent (Philip Cox) 101.00Independent(RobTaber)101.00 Independent (Tony Windsor) 3.75Labor34.00 Lib Dem 151.00OnlineDirectDemocracy151.00 |
Newcastle (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition16.00 Democratic Labour Party 101.00DrugLawReform151.00 Green 51.00Independent(RodHolding)151.00 Labor $1.00 |
North Sydney (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition1.00 Family First 151.00Green51.00 Independent (Stephen Ruff) 21.00Labor16.00 Lib Dem 51.00ScienceParty151.00 |
O'Connor (WA) | Australian Christians 51.00Green51.00 Labor 21.00Liberal1.10 National 6.00RiseUpAustralia51.00 |
Oxley (QLD) | Coalition 8.50FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00KAP(BobKatter)51.00 Labor 1.05PaulineHanson51.00 |
Page (NSW) | Animal Justice Party 151.00ChristianDemocraticParty101.00 Coalition 3.50Green51.00 Labor 1.27LibDem51.00 |
Parkes (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition1.00 Green 51.00Labor26.00 Online Direct Democracy $151.00 |
Parramatta (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition6.00 Family First 151.00Green51.00 Independent (Mahesh Raj) 151.00Labor1.10 Lib Dem 51.00OnlineDirectDemocracy151.00 |
Paterson (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00CitizensElectoralCouncil151.00 Coalition 5.00Green26.00 Labor 1.15PaulineHanson101.00 Rise Up Australia $151.00 |
Pearce (WA) | Green 51.00Labor12.00 Liberal 1.01National16.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00 |
Perth (WA) | Coalition 8.00Green26.00 Labor 1.03LibDem51.00 Online Direct Democracy $51.00 |
Petrie (QLD) | Arts Party 51.00Coalition3.50 Family First 51.00Green41.00 Labor 1.38LibDem51.00 |
Port Adelaide (SA) | Animal Justice Party 51.00ChristianDemocraticParty51.00 Coalition 26.00FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00Labor1.12 Nick Xenophon Team $5.50 |
Rankin (QLD) | Coalition 16.00ConsumerRights51.00 Family First 51.00Green51.00 KAP (Bob Katter) 51.00Labor1.00 Lib Dem $51.00 |
Reid (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition1.15 Family First 151.00Green51.00 Labor $5.00 |
Richmond (NSW) | Animal Justice Party 151.00ChristianDemocraticParty101.00 Coalition 5.00Green11.00 Labor 1.15PaulineHanson101.00 |
Riverina (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition1.00 Family First 151.00Green51.00 Independent (Richard Foley) 151.00Labor21.00 |
Robertson (NSW) | Anti-Paedophile Party (Lawrie Higgins) 151.00ChristianDemocraticParty101.00 Coalition 1.25Green51.00 Independent (Van Davy) 34.00Labor3.75 Lib Dem $51.00 |
Ryan (QLD) | Coalition 1.00DemocraticLabourParty51.00 Family First 51.00Green51.00 Labor 16.00LibDem51.00 |
Scullin (VIC) | Animal Justice Party 51.00Coalition26.00 Drug Law Reform 51.00Green16.00 Labor $1.00 |
Shortland (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition16.00 Green 51.00Labor1.00 |
Solomon (NT) | Australia First 151.00CitizensElectoralCouncil151.00 Coalition 3.50Green41.00 HEMP Party 151.00Independent(MarkGarner)101.00 Labor 1.27LibDem151.00 Rise Up Australia 151.00Shooters151.00 |
Stirling (WA) | Australian Christians 51.00Coalition1.10 Green 51.00Independent(KimMubarak)51.00 Labor 6.00RiseUpAustralia51.00 |
Sturt (SA) | Animal Justice Party 51.00Coalition1.15 Family First 51.00Green51.00 Independent (Neil Aitchison) 51.00Labor11.00 Nick Xenophon Team $5.00 |
Swan (WA) | Australian Christians 51.00Coalition1.30 Green 51.00Labor3.00 |
Sydney (NSW) | Animal Justice Party 151.00AustralianSexParty101.00 Christian Democratic Party 151.00Coalition34.00 Green 8.00Labor1.05 Online Direct Democracy 151.00ScienceParty151.00 Socialist Alliance 151.00SustainableAustralia151.00 |
Tangney (WA) | Australian Christians 51.00Coalition1.00 Green 51.00Independent(DennisJensen)16.00 Labor $34.00 |
Wakefield (SA) | Christian Democratic Party 51.00Coalition16.00 Family First 51.00Green51.00 Independent (John Bolton) 51.00Labor1.15 Nick Xenophon Team $5.00 |
Wannon (VIC) | Coalition 1.00Green51.00 Independent (Bernardine Atkinson) 51.00Independent(MichaelJohnMcCluskey)51.00 Labor $34.00 |
Warringah (NSW) | Arts Party 151.00ChristianDemocraticParty101.00 Coalition 1.02Green51.00 Independent (David Barrow) 151.00Independent(JamesMathison)9.00 Independent (Tony Backhouse) 151.00Labor21.00 Nick Xenophon Team 11.00ScienceParty151.00 |
Watson (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition21.00 Green 51.00Labor1.00 Online Direct Democracy 151.00ScienceParty151.00 |
Wentworth (NSW) | Arts Party 151.00ChristianDemocraticParty101.00 Coalition 1.00Green51.00 Independent (Allen David) 151.00Independent(MarcAussie−Stone)1001.00 Labor 11.00ScienceParty151.00 |
Werriwa (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition5.00 Green 51.00Labor1.12 |
Whitlam (NSW) | Christian Democratic Party 101.00Coalition34.00 Green 16.00Labor1.00 Non Custodial Parents Party $151.00 |
Wide Bay (QLD) | Coalition 1.00FamilyFirst51.00 Glenn Lazarus Team 51.00Green34.00 KAP (Bob Katter) 51.00Labor16.00 Pauline Hanson $51.00 |
Wills (VIC) | Animal Justice Party 51.00AustralianSexParty51.00 Coalition 34.00DrugLawReform51.00 Green 5.00Independent(FrancescoTimpano)51.00 Labor 1.15RenewableEnergyParty51.00 Socialist Alliance 51.00SocialistEquality51.00 |
Wright (QLD) | Coalition 1.00FamilyFirst51.00 Green 51.00Labor16.00 Lib Dem 51.00MatureAustralia51.00 Pauline Hanson $51.00 |
Complete list of Seat Probabilities
Any Other | Coalition | Green | Ind | Katter | Labor | NXT | 2016 Favourite | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Calwell (VIC) | 3.74 | 0.00 | 1.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 94.39 | 0.00 | Labor |
Batman (VIC) | 12.50 | 2.34 | 40.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 44.28 | 0.00 | Labor |
Wills (VIC) | 11.10 | 2.38 | 16.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 70.34 | 0.00 | Labor |
Fremantle (WA) | 3.32 | 2.49 | 12.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 82.11 | 0.00 | Labor |
Sydney (NSW) | 4.29 | 2.54 | 10.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 82.36 | 0.00 | Labor |
Melbourne (VIC) | 5.11 | 2.55 | 82.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.65 | 0.00 | Green |
Whitlam (NSW) | 1.49 | 2.66 | 5.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 90.21 | 0.00 | Labor |
Grayndler (NSW) | 5.58 | 2.72 | 10.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 81.15 | 0.00 | Labor |
Port Adelaide (SA) | 4.94 | 3.23 | 1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 74.93 | 15.26 | Labor |
Scullin (VIC) | 3.44 | 3.38 | 5.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 87.69 | 0.00 | Labor |
Gellibrand (VIC) | 1.75 | 3.44 | 5.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.23 | 0.00 | Labor |
Cunningham (NSW) | 2.14 | 3.56 | 1.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 92.48 | 0.00 | Labor |
Denison (TAS) | 3.36 | 4.08 | 1.68 | 85.54 | 0.00 | 5.35 | 0.00 | Independent |
Watson (NSW) | 2.12 | 4.37 | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 91.70 | 0.00 | Labor |
Fowler (NSW) | 1.53 | 4.40 | 1.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 92.27 | 0.00 | Labor |
Wakefield (SA) | 4.86 | 5.16 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 71.84 | 16.52 | Labor |
Makin (SA) | 4.86 | 5.16 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 71.84 | 16.52 | Labor |
Rankin (QLD) | 5.07 | 5.39 | 1.69 | 0.00 | 1.69 | 86.15 | 0.00 | Labor |
Franklin (TAS) | 3.42 | 5.44 | 4.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 87.00 | 0.00 | Labor |
Hotham (VIC) | 5.16 | 5.48 | 1.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 87.64 | 0.00 | Labor |
Corio (VIC) | 6.87 | 5.48 | 1.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 85.93 | 0.00 | Labor |
Maribyrnong (VIC) | 5.16 | 5.48 | 1.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 87.64 | 0.00 | Labor |
Hunter (NSW) | 3.54 | 5.58 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.13 | 0.00 | Labor |
Lalor (VIC) | 3.50 | 5.58 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.17 | 0.00 | Labor |
Holt (VIC) | 3.50 | 5.58 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.17 | 0.00 | Labor |
Canberra (ACT) | 0.88 | 5.59 | 4.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.27 | 0.00 | Labor |
Newcastle (NSW) | 2.97 | 5.61 | 1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.66 | 0.00 | Labor |
Isaacs (VIC) | 1.78 | 5.68 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 90.76 | 0.00 | Labor |
Fenner (ACT) | 1.80 | 5.68 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 90.74 | 0.00 | Labor |
Chifley (NSW) | 1.51 | 5.69 | 1.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 91.01 | 0.00 | Labor |
Blaxland (NSW) | 1.51 | 5.69 | 1.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 91.01 | 0.00 | Labor |
McMahon (NSW) | 1.21 | 5.71 | 1.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 91.29 | 0.00 | Labor |
Shortland (NSW) | 0.91 | 5.73 | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 91.57 | 0.00 | Labor |
Gorton (VIC) | 0.00 | 5.78 | 1.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 92.41 | 0.00 | Labor |
Kingston (SA) | 1.64 | 6.99 | 1.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 72.94 | 16.78 | Labor |
Oxley (QLD) | 3.41 | 10.24 | 1.71 | 0.00 | 1.71 | 82.93 | 0.00 | Labor |
Kennedy (QLD) | 0.87 | 10.34 | 1.72 | 0.00 | 83.69 | 3.38 | 0.00 | Katter |
Jagajaga (VIC) | 3.47 | 10.42 | 1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 84.37 | 0.00 | Labor |
Brand (WA) | 3.47 | 10.42 | 1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 84.37 | 0.00 | Labor |
Lilley (QLD) | 3.47 | 10.42 | 1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 84.37 | 0.00 | Labor |
Ballarat (VIC) | 2.29 | 10.52 | 1.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 85.50 | 0.00 | Labor |
Barton (NSW) | 2.08 | 10.57 | 1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 85.59 | 0.00 | Labor |
Kingsford Smith (NSW) | 1.49 | 10.64 | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 86.10 | 0.00 | Labor |
Perth (WA) | 3.34 | 10.65 | 3.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 82.73 | 0.00 | Labor |
McEwen (VIC) | 8.13 | 13.47 | 1.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 76.77 | 0.00 | Labor |
Bruce (VIC) | 6.68 | 14.20 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 77.45 | 0.00 | Labor |
Blair (QLD) | 3.98 | 14.39 | 1.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 79.94 | 0.00 | Labor |
Parramatta (NSW) | 4.31 | 14.56 | 1.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 79.41 | 0.00 | Labor |
Moreton (QLD) | 3.02 | 15.42 | 1.51 | 0.00 | 1.51 | 74.86 | 3.67 | Labor |
Griffith (QLD) | 8.19 | 16.71 | 2.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 72.64 | 0.00 | Labor |
Richmond (NSW) | 2.23 | 16.85 | 7.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 73.26 | 0.00 | Labor |
Paterson (NSW) | 2.90 | 17.53 | 3.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 76.21 | 0.00 | Labor |
Werriwa (NSW) | 0.88 | 17.82 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 79.55 | 0.00 | Labor |
Bendigo (VIC) | 4.86 | 18.83 | 1.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 74.70 | 0.00 | Labor |
Melbourne Ports (VIC) | 7.91 | 20.18 | 7.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 64.57 | 0.00 | Labor |
Indi (VIC) | 7.69 | 20.21 | 1.54 | 68.24 | 0.00 | 2.31 | 0.00 | Independent |
Lingiari (NT) | 4.08 | 22.02 | 1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 72.18 | 0.00 | Labor |
Solomon (NT) | 3.46 | 24.91 | 2.13 | 0.86 | 0.00 | 68.64 | 0.00 | Labor |
Adelaide (SA) | 2.45 | 24.99 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 63.44 | 7.50 | Labor |
Page (NSW) | 3.20 | 25.31 | 1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 69.75 | 0.00 | Labor |
Petrie (QLD) | 5.38 | 26.13 | 2.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 66.26 | 0.00 | Labor |
Dobell (NSW) | 2.65 | 27.02 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 68.58 | 0.00 | Labor |
Lyons (TAS) | 5.10 | 28.92 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 64.27 | 0.00 | Labor |
Chisholm (VIC) | 5.13 | 29.06 | 1.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 64.10 | 0.00 | Labor |
Greenway (NSW) | 3.22 | 29.50 | 1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 65.55 | 0.00 | Labor |
Eden Monaro (NSW) | 3.71 | 30.77 | 1.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 63.83 | 0.00 | Labor |
Burt (WA) | 3.49 | 32.96 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 61.80 | 0.00 | Labor |
Mayo (SA) | 3.42 | 34.93 | 1.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.71 | 58.22 | NXT |
Macarthur (NSW) | 0.00 | 40.33 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 52.55 | 5.42 | Labor |
Capricornia (QLD) | 1.16 | 42.85 | 1.72 | 0.00 | 2.58 | 51.68 | 0.00 | Labor |
Cowan (WA) | 6.65 | 45.84 | 1.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 45.84 | 0.00 | Coalition, Labor |
Hindmarsh (SA) | 4.97 | 48.30 | 1.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.17 | 16.90 | Coalition |
Macquarie (NSW) | 4.98 | 56.16 | 3.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.57 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Braddon (TAS) | 6.46 | 56.84 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.07 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Forde (QLD) | 4.93 | 59.89 | 1.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.54 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Grey (SA) | 3.34 | 60.78 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.27 | 30.94 | Coalition |
Cowper (NSW) | 2.01 | 62.11 | 1.70 | 31.62 | 0.00 | 2.56 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Brisbane (QLD) | 2.88 | 62.65 | 2.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.89 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Hasluck (WA) | 3.45 | 62.84 | 1.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.99 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Flynn (QLD) | 7.52 | 63.91 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 1.50 | 25.56 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Bass (TAS) | 5.10 | 64.27 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.92 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Barker (SA) | 1.70 | 64.31 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.34 | 28.94 | Coalition |
Lindsay (NSW) | 5.73 | 65.98 | 1.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.94 | 2.70 | Coalition |
Boothby (SA) | 6.52 | 66.49 | 1.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.20 | 22.16 | Coalition |
Gilmore (NSW) | 0.90 | 67.12 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.20 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Swan (WA) | 1.72 | 67.37 | 1.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 29.19 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Dunkley (VIC) | 12.52 | 68.19 | 1.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.73 | 0.00 | Coalition |
New England (NSW) | 4.52 | 68.46 | 1.68 | 22.82 | 0.00 | 2.52 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Robertson (NSW) | 5.69 | 69.46 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.15 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Sturt (SA) | 4.75 | 70.19 | 1.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.34 | 16.14 | Coalition |
La Trobe (Vic) | 11.19 | 70.90 | 1.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.31 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Deakin (VIC) | 5.07 | 71.86 | 2.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.53 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Herbert (QLD) | 8.12 | 72.05 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 1.62 | 16.57 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Longman (QLD) | 10.96 | 72.60 | 1.57 | 0.00 | 1.57 | 13.31 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Dawson (QLD) | 1.98 | 72.94 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 2.08 | 21.33 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Banks (NSW) | 2.94 | 74.13 | 1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.18 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Higgins (VIC) | 6.42 | 74.43 | 13.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.90 | 1.61 | Coalition |
Bonner (QLD) | 2.75 | 74.70 | 1.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.91 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Hinkler (QLD) | 8.73 | 75.98 | 1.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.68 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Leichhardt (QLD) | 11.85 | 76.03 | 1.58 | 0.00 | 1.58 | 8.95 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Warringah (NSW) | 2.83 | 76.23 | 1.52 | 8.64 | 0.00 | 3.70 | 7.07 | Coalition |
Corangamite (VIC) | 11.19 | 77.63 | 1.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.59 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Reid (NSW) | 1.49 | 78.64 | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.09 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Stirling (WA) | 5.10 | 78.76 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.44 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Dickson (QLD) | 3.40 | 80.17 | 1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.70 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Aston (VIC) | 4.15 | 80.17 | 1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.03 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Bowman (QLD) | 1.19 | 82.00 | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.03 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Casey (VIC) | 5.12 | 82.93 | 1.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.24 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Fisher (QLD) | 9.81 | 83.34 | 1.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.21 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Menzies (VIC) | 11.76 | 83.39 | 1.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.21 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Gippsland (VIC) | 11.58 | 84.28 | 1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.48 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Murray (VIC) | 10.81 | 84.61 | 1.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.03 | 0.00 | Coalition |
McMillan (VIC) | 8.31 | 84.72 | 1.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.30 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Fairfax (QLD) | 8.31 | 84.72 | 1.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.30 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Mackellar (NSW) | 7.82 | 84.87 | 3.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.05 | 0.00 | Coalition |
North Sydney (NSW) | 7.71 | 85.28 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.34 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Wide Bay (QLD) | 5.03 | 85.43 | 2.52 | 0.00 | 1.68 | 5.34 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Maranoa (QLD) | 6.74 | 85.81 | 1.68 | 0.00 | 1.68 | 4.09 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Wright (QLD) | 6.76 | 86.15 | 1.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.39 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Forrest (WA) | 6.36 | 86.99 | 1.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.06 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Wentworth (NSW) | 2.70 | 87.61 | 1.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.97 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Flinders (VIC) | 5.16 | 87.64 | 1.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.48 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Goldstein (VIC) | 5.16 | 87.64 | 1.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.48 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Ryan (QLD) | 5.16 | 87.64 | 1.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.48 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Tangney (WA) | 1.74 | 88.40 | 1.74 | 5.53 | 0.00 | 2.60 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Groom (QLD) | 1.74 | 88.86 | 1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.42 | 4.24 | Coalition |
Bennelong (NSW) | 3.80 | 88.89 | 1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.56 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Calare (NSW) | 3.22 | 89.03 | 0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.24 | 2.62 | Coalition |
McPherson (QLD) | 3.50 | 89.17 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.58 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Curtin (WA) | 3.50 | 89.17 | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.58 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Pearce (WA) | 1.67 | 89.57 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.09 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Fadden (QLD) | 2.95 | 89.68 | 1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.61 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Berowra (NSW) | 2.39 | 90.20 | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.64 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Cook (NSW) | 1.49 | 90.21 | 5.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.66 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Mallee (VIC) | 3.55 | 90.37 | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.31 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Hume (NSW) | 2.10 | 90.47 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.66 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Bradfield (NSW) | 2.10 | 90.47 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.66 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Kooyong (VIC) | 1.78 | 90.76 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.68 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Moncrieff (QLD) | 1.78 | 90.76 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.68 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Moore (WA) | 1.78 | 90.76 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.68 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Lyne (NSW) | 2.11 | 90.90 | 3.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.50 | 0.00 | Coalition |
O'Connor (WA) | 3.32 | 91.00 | 1.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.03 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Canning (WA) | 1.73 | 91.00 | 1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.53 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Hughes (NSW) | 1.51 | 91.01 | 1.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.69 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Mitchell (NSW) | 0.91 | 91.57 | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.73 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Riverina (NSW) | 2.12 | 91.70 | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.37 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Wannon (VIC) | 3.61 | 91.88 | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.71 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Durack (WA) | 3.39 | 92.37 | 1.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.54 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Parkes (NSW) | 1.54 | 93.05 | 1.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.58 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Farrer (NSW) | 2.84 | 95.29 | 1.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Coalition |
Likely election outcome charts from Monte Carlo simulation of longshot adjusted individual seat probabilities.
Counts of seat favourites and longshot adjusted probability sum.
Individual seats