Betting market update

Let's begin with the odds and probabilities for the overall winner, before moving to the Sportsbet market for individual seats (both tables and charts).

	House	Coalition Odds ($)	Labor Odds ($)	Coalition Win Probability (%)
2016-06-29	Betfair	1.11	8.03	87.86
2016-06-29	CrownBet	1.12	6.50	85.30
2016-06-29	Ladbrokes	1.10	6.50	85.53
2016-06-29	Luxbet	1.10	6.75	85.99
2016-06-29	Sportsbet	1.10	7.00	86.42
2016-06-29	William Hill	1.10	7.00	86.42

	We 22-Jun	Th 23-Jun	Fr 24-Jun	Sa 25-Jun	Su 26-Jun	Mo 27-Jun	Tu 28-Jun	We 29-Jun
Betfair	84.61	81.70	84.99	84.88	84.61	85.91	85.79	87.86
CrownBet	82.71	82.71	82.71	82.71	82.71	82.71	85.30	85.30
Ladbrokes	84.51	84.27	84.27	84.39	84.39	82.96	85.53	85.53
Luxbet	83.45	83.45	83.09	83.09	83.09	83.09	83.70	85.99
Sportsbet	84.26	82.71	82.71	82.71	82.71	82.71	86.42	86.42
William Hill	84.15	82.71	84.27	84.27	84.27	82.83	84.15	86.42
Average	83.95	82.92	83.67	83.67	83.63	83.37	85.15	86.25

For the individual seats I use the most recent odds I have captured for each seat. We start with a look at missing odds.

	Missing Odds
2016-05-19	O'Connor (WA)
2016-05-20	O'Connor (WA)
2016-06-03	Wentworth (NSW)
2016-06-04	Indi (VIC), Wentworth (NSW)
2016-06-05	Indi (VIC), Wentworth (NSW)
2016-06-06	Indi (VIC), Wentworth (NSW)
2016-06-07	Wentworth (NSW)
2016-06-09	Lingiari (NT), Solomon (NT)
2016-06-10	Brisbane (QLD), Lingiari (NT)
2016-06-11	Lingiari (NT), Murray (VIC)
2016-06-12	Lingiari (NT), Murray (VIC)
2016-06-13	Lingiari (NT)
2016-06-14	Lingiari (NT)
2016-06-16	Grayndler (NSW)
2016-06-17	Mackellar (NSW)
2016-06-20	Cook (NSW)
2016-06-21	Cook (NSW)
2016-06-25	Ballarat (VIC), Bendigo (VIC), Calwell (VIC), Canning (WA), Durack (WA), Forrest (WA), Pearce (WA)
2016-06-26	Calwell (VIC), Durack (WA)
2016-06-27	Calwell (VIC), Durack (WA)

Latest odds

	2016-06-29
Adelaide (SA)	Animal Justice Party $101.00 Family First$101.00 Green $51.00 Labor$1.30 Lib Dem $101.00 Liberal$3.30 Nick Xenophon Team $11.00
Aston (VIC)	Animal Justice Party $101.00 Coalition$1.05 Family First $101.00 Green$51.00 Independent (Daniel Huppert) $51.00 Labor$6.00 Lib Dem $101.00
Ballarat (VIC)	Australian Christians $151.00 Family First$151.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Bren Eckel)$151.00 Labor $1.01 Liberal$12.00 National $26.00 Rise Up Australia$151.00
Banks (NSW)	Animal Justice Party $151.00 Christian Democratic Party$101.00 Coalition $1.20 Family First$101.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Bob Spanswick)$151.00 Labor $4.20
Barker (SA)	Coalition $1.35 Family First$51.00 Green $51.00 Labor$26.00 Nick Xenophon Team $3.00
Barton (NSW)	Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition$8.50 Green $51.00 Independent (Rasmus Torkel)$151.00 Labor $1.05 Online Direct Democracy$151.00
Bass (TAS)	Australian Recreational Fishers Party $51.00 Christian Democratic Party$51.00 Coalition $1.35 Green$51.00 Labor $3.00 Renewable Energy Party$51.00
Batman (VIC)	Animal Justice Party $51.00 Australian Cyclists$51.00 Australian Progressives (Russell Hayward) $51.00 Australian Sex Party$51.00 Coalition $34.00 Green$1.95 Independent (Franco Guardiani) $51.00 Independent (Philip Sutton)$51.00 Labor $1.80 Marriage Equality (Elizabeth Syber)$51.00 Renewable Energy Party $51.00
Bendigo (VIC)	Animal Justice Party $151.00 Any Other$34.00 Family First $151.00 Green$51.00 Independent (Anita Erika Donlon) $101.00 Labor$1.10 Liberal $6.00 National$16.00 Rise Up Australia $151.00
Bennelong (NSW)	Arts Party $151.00 Christian Democratic Party$101.00 Coalition $1.00 Green$51.00 Independent (Martin Mulcare) $51.00 Labor$16.00 Pirate Party $151.00
Berowra (NSW)	Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition$1.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Mick Gallagher)$101.00 Labor $16.00 Science Party$151.00
Blair (QLD)	Coalition $6.00 Family First$151.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Jonathan Emms)$151.00 Independent (Patricia Petersen) $151.00 Independent (Sandy Turner)$151.00 Labor $1.08 Pauline Hanson$51.00
Blaxland (NSW)	Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition$16.00 Green $51.00 Labor$1.00 Socialist Equality $151.00
Bonner (QLD)	Coalition $1.12 Family First$151.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Jarrod Wirth)$151.00 Labor $4.00 Lib Dem$51.00
Boothby (SA)	Animal Justice Party $51.00 Coalition$1.25 Family First $51.00 Green$51.00 Independent (Jamie Armfield) $51.00 Independent (Robert de Jonge)$51.00 Labor $26.00 Nick Xenophon Team$3.75
Bowman (QLD)	Australian Liberty Alliance $151.00 Coalition$1.10 Family First $151.00 Green$51.00 Labor $6.00
Braddon (TAS)	Australian Recreational Fishers Party $51.00 Christian Democratic Party$51.00 Coalition $1.45 Green$51.00 Labor $2.35 Lib Dem$51.00 Renewable Energy Party $51.00
Bradfield (NSW)	Australian Liberty Alliance $151.00 Christian Democratic Party$101.00 Coalition $1.00 Green$51.00 Independent (Christine Berman) $151.00 Labor$16.00
Brand (WA)	Australian Christians $51.00 Coalition$8.50 Green $51.00 Labor$1.05 Rise Up Australia $51.00
Brisbane (QLD)	Coalition $1.40 Family First$151.00 Green $34.00 Labor$2.75 Lib Dem $51.00 Veterans Party$151.00
Bruce (VIC)	Animal Justice Party $51.00 Coalition$6.00 Drug Law Reform $51.00 Family First$51.00 Green $51.00 Labor$1.10 Renewable Energy Party $51.00
Burt (WA)	Australian Christians $51.00 Coalition$2.70 Green $51.00 Labor$1.44 Shooters $51.00
Calare (NSW)	Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition$1.00 Green $101.00 Independent (Anthony Craig)$151.00 Labor $21.00 Lib Dem$51.00 Nick Xenophon Team $34.00
Calwell (VIC)	Animal Justice Party $51.00 Green$51.00 Independent (Michael Amon Lakkis) $51.00 Labor$1.01
Canberra (ACT)	Bullet Train for Australia $101.00 Coalition$16.00 Green $21.00 Labor$1.00
Canning (WA)	Australian Christians $51.00 Green$51.00 Labor $16.00 Liberal$1.01 National $26.00
Capricornia (QLD)	Coalition $2.05 Family First$151.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Ken Murray)$151.00 KAP (Bob Katter) $34.00 Labor$1.70
Casey (VIC)	Animal Justice Party $51.00 Coalition$1.05 Green $51.00 Independent (Peter Charleton)$51.00 Labor $8.50 Rise Up Australia$51.00
Chifley (NSW)	Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition$16.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Ammar Khan)$151.00 Labor $1.00
Chisholm (VIC)	Animal Justice Party $51.00 Coalition$3.00 Family First $51.00 Green$51.00 Labor $1.36 Rise Up Australia$51.00
Cook (NSW)	Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition$1.00 Green $16.00 Independent (John Brett)$151.00 Labor $34.00
Corangamite (VIC)	Animal Justice Party $51.00 Coalition$1.05 Derryn Hinch $51.00 Drug Law Reform$51.00 Family First $51.00 Green$51.00 Independent (Michael Lawrence) $51.00 Labor$8.50 Lib Dem $51.00 Rise Up Australia$51.00
Corio (VIC)	Animal Justice Party $51.00 Bullet Train For Australia (Jeff Moran)$51.00 Coalition $16.00 Green$51.00 Labor $1.02 Rise Up Australia$51.00 Socialist Alliance $51.00
Cowan (WA)	Australian Christians $51.00 Coalition$1.85 Green $51.00 Labor$1.85 Lib Dem $51.00 Mature Australia$51.00 Shooters $51.00
Cowper (NSW)	Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Citizens Electoral Council$151.00 Coalition $1.40 Green$51.00 Independent (John Arkan) $151.00 Independent (Rob Oakeshott)$2.75 Labor $34.00
Cunningham (NSW)	Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition$26.00 Green $51.00 Labor$1.00 Non Custodial Parents Party $151.00 Science Party$151.00
Curtin (WA)	Australian Liberty Alliance $51.00 Coalition$1.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Sandra Boulter)$51.00 Labor $16.00
Dawson (QLD)	Coalition $1.17 Family First$151.00 Glenn Lazarus Team $101.00 Green$51.00 Independent (Stephen Large) $151.00 KAP (Bob Katter)$41.00 Labor $4.00
Deakin (VIC)	Animal Justice Party $51.00 Australian Christians$51.00 Coalition $1.20 Family First$51.00 Green $34.00 Labor$4.20
Denison (TAS)	Christian Democratic Party $51.00 Coalition$21.00 Democratic Labour Party $51.00 Green$51.00 Independent (Andrew Wilkie) $1.00 Labor$16.00
Dickson (QLD)	Coalition $1.10 Family First$151.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Thor Prohaska)$81.00 Labor $6.00 Lib Dem$51.00
Dobell (NSW)	Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition$3.30 Green $51.00 Independent (Gregory Stephenson)$151.00 Independent (Paul Baker) $151.00 Labor$1.30 Pauline Hanson $151.00
Dunkley (VIC)	Animal Justice Party $51.00 Arts Party$51.00 Australian Christians $51.00 Coalition$1.17 Derryn Hinch $51.00 Family First$51.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Joseph Toscano)$51.00 Labor $4.50 Lib Dem$51.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00
Durack (WA)	Australian Christians $51.00 Green$51.00 Labor $34.00 Liberal$1.08 National $7.00 Rise Up Australia$51.00
Eden Monaro (NSW)	Animal Justice Party $151.00 Christian Democratic Party$101.00 Coalition $2.80 Green$51.00 Independent (Andrew Thaler) $151.00 Independent (Daniel Grosmaire)$151.00 Independent (Ray Buckley) $151.00 Labor$1.35 Veterans Party $151.00
Fadden (QLD)	Coalition $1.00 Family First$151.00 Green $51.00 Labor$16.00 Pauline Hanson $51.00 Veterans Party$151.00
Fairfax (QLD)	Coalition $1.00 Family First$51.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Keith Alexander Campbell)$51.00 Independent (Robert Dickson) $51.00 Labor$16.00 Online Direct Democracy $51.00 Pauline Hanson$51.00
Farrer (NSW)	Australian Liberty Alliance $151.00 Christian Democratic Party$101.00 Coalition $1.00 Green$51.00 Independent (Brian Mills) $151.00 Mature Australia$151.00
Fenner (ACT)	Bullet Train for Australia $101.00 Coalition$16.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Andrew Woodman)$101.00 Labor $1.00
Fisher (QLD)	Australian Liberty Alliance $51.00 Coalition$1.00 Family First $51.00 Green$51.00 Independent (Mike Jessop) $51.00 Labor$16.00 Online Direct Democracy $51.00 Rise Up Australia$51.00 Veterans Party $51.00
Flinders (VIC)	Animal Justice Party $51.00 Coalition$1.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Shane W Lewis)$51.00 Labor $16.00 Rise Up Australia$51.00
Flynn (QLD)	Coalition $1.20 Family First$51.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Duncan Scott)$51.00 Independent (Jordan Ryan Puku) $51.00 Independent (Nathan Joel David Fletcher)$51.00 KAP (Bob Katter) $51.00 Labor$3.00 Pauline Hanson $51.00
Forde (QLD)	Australian Liberty Alliance $51.00 Coalition$1.40 Family First $51.00 Green$51.00 Independent (David Wilks) $51.00 Labor$2.50
Forrest (WA)	Australian Christians $51.00 Green$51.00 Independent (Ross Maitland Slater) $51.00 Labor$16.00 Liberal $1.01 National$12.00 Outdoor Recreation Party (David Fishlock) $51.00 Rise Up Australia$51.00
Fowler (NSW)	Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition$21.00 Green $51.00 Labor$1.00 Smokers Rights $151.00
Franklin (TAS)	Arts Party $51.00 Christian Democratic Party$51.00 Coalition $16.00 Green$21.00 Labor $1.00
Fremantle (WA)	Coalition $34.00 Green$7.00 Labor $1.03 Mature Australia$51.00 Socialist Alliance $51.00
Gellibrand (VIC)	Coalition $26.00 Green$16.00 Independent (David Tran) $51.00 Labor$1.00
Gilmore (NSW)	Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition$1.35 Green $51.00 Labor$3.00
Gippsland (VIC)	Australian Christians $51.00 Coalition$1.00 Family First $51.00 Green$51.00 Independent (Cherie Smith) $51.00 Independent (Christine Sindt)$51.00 Labor $34.00 Lib Dem$51.00 Renewable Energy Party $51.00 Rise Up Australia$51.00
Goldstein (VIC)	Animal Justice Party $51.00 Coalition$1.00 Drug Law Reform $51.00 Family First$51.00 Green $51.00 Labor$16.00
Gorton (VIC)	Coalition $16.00 Green$51.00 Labor $1.00
Grayndler (NSW)	Animal Justice Party $151.00 Australian Cyclists$101.00 Australian Sex Party $101.00 Christian Democratic Party$151.00 Coalition $31.00 Drug Law Reform$151.00 Green $8.00 Labor$1.04 Renewable Energy Party $101.00 Science Party$101.00 Socialist Equality $151.00
Greenway (NSW)	Christian Democratic Party $151.00 Coalition$3.00 Family First $151.00 Green$51.00 Independent (Avtar Singh Billu) $151.00 Labor$1.35 Lib Dem $101.00 Science Party$151.00
Grey (SA)	Coalition $1.40 Family First$51.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Phillip Gourlay)$51.00 Labor $26.00 Nick Xenophon Team$2.75
Griffith (QLD)	Australian Liberty Alliance $51.00 Coalition$5.00 Drug Law Reform $51.00 Family First$51.00 Green $34.00 Independent (Karel Boele)$51.00 Labor $1.15 Lib Dem$51.00
Groom (QLD)	Coalition $1.00 Family First$51.00 Green $51.00 Labor$26.00 Nick Xenophon Team $21.00
Hasluck (WA)	Australian Christians $51.00 Coalition$1.40 Green $51.00 Labor$2.75 Rise Up Australia $51.00
Herbert (QLD)	Coalition $1.15 Family First$51.00 Glenn Lazarus Team $51.00 Green$51.00 KAP (Bob Katter) $51.00 Labor$5.00 Lib Dem $51.00 PUP$51.00 Pauline Hanson $51.00
Higgins (VIC)	Animal Justice Party $51.00 Coalition$1.10 Derryn Hinch $51.00 Green$6.00 Labor $21.00 Lib Dem$51.00 Marriage Equality (Rebecca O $51.00 Nick Xenophon Team$51.00
Hindmarsh (SA)	Animal Justice Party $51.00 Christian Democratic Party$51.00 Coalition $1.75 Family First$51.00 Green $51.00 Labor$3.00 Nick Xenophon Team $5.00
Hinkler (QLD)	Australian Liberty Alliance $51.00 Coalition$1.08 Family First $51.00 Green$51.00 Independent (Bill Foster) $51.00 Labor$6.00 Pauline Hanson $21.00
Holt (VIC)	Coalition $16.00 Family First$51.00 Green $51.00 Labor$1.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00
Hotham (VIC)	Animal Justice Party $51.00 Coalition$16.00 Family First $51.00 Green$51.00 Labor $1.00 Rise Up Australia$51.00
Hughes (NSW)	Animal Justice Party $151.00 Christian Democratic Party$101.00 Coalition $1.00 Green$51.00 Labor $16.00
Hume (NSW)	Bullet Train for Australia $151.00 Christian Democratic Party$101.00 Citizens Electoral Council $151.00 Coalition$1.00 Green $51.00 Labor$16.00
Hunter (NSW)	Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition$16.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Arjay Martin)$151.00 Independent (Cordelia Troy) $101.00 Independent (John Harvey)$151.00 Independent (John Warham) $151.00 Labor$1.00
Indi (VIC)	Australian Country Party (Julian Fidge) $51.00 Green$51.00 Independent (Alan James Lappin) $51.00 Independent (Cathy McGowan)$1.15 Independent (Ray Dyer) $51.00 Labor$34.00 Lib Dem $51.00 Liberal$11.00 National $6.00 Rise Up Australia$51.00
Isaacs (VIC)	Animal Justice Party $51.00 Coalition$16.00 Green $51.00 Labor$1.00
Jagajaga (VIC)	Animal Justice Party $51.00 Coalition$8.50 Family First $51.00 Green$51.00 Labor $1.05
Kennedy (QLD)	Coalition $8.50 Family First$101.00 Green $51.00 KAP (Bob Katter)$1.05 Labor $26.00
Kingsford Smith (NSW)	Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition$8.50 Green $51.00 Labor$1.05 Science Party $151.00
Kingston (SA)	Coalition $12.00 Family First$51.00 Green $51.00 Labor$1.15 Nick Xenophon Team $5.00
Kooyong (VIC)	Coalition $1.00 Green$51.00 Independent (Angelina Zubac) $51.00 Labor$16.00
La Trobe (Vic)	Animal Justice Party $51.00 Australian Sex Party$51.00 Coalition $1.15 Derryn Hinch$51.00 Family First $51.00 Green$51.00 Labor $5.00 Lib Dem$51.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00 Shooters$51.00
Lalor (VIC)	Australia First $51.00 Coalition$16.00 Green $51.00 Labor$1.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00
Leichhardt (QLD)	Coalition $1.06 Family First$34.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Daniel McCarthy)$17.00 Independent (Michael Newie) $51.00 KAP (Bob Katter)$51.00 Labor $9.00 Pauline Hanson$51.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00
Lilley (QLD)	Coalition $8.50 Family First$51.00 Green $51.00 Labor$1.05 Lib Dem $51.00
Lindsay (NSW)	Animal Justice Party $151.00 Australia First$151.00 Australian Liberty Alliance $151.00 Christian Democratic Party$101.00 Coalition $1.27 Derryn Hinch$81.00 Family First $151.00 Green$51.00 Independent (Marcus Cornish) $51.00 Labor$3.50 Nick Xenophon Team $31.00
Lingiari (NT)	Citizens Electoral Council $151.00 Coalition$4.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Alfred Gould)$151.00 Independent (Braedon Earley) $101.00 Independent (Mark Guyula)$151.00 Labor $1.22 Rise Up Australia$151.00 Shooters $101.00
Longman (QLD)	Arts Party $51.00 Australian Liberty Alliance$51.00 Coalition $1.10 Drug Law Reform$51.00 Family First $51.00 Green$51.00 Independent (Greg Riddell) $51.00 Independent (Rob Law)$51.00 KAP (Bob Katter) $51.00 Labor$6.00 Pauline Hanson $51.00
Lyne (NSW)	Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition$1.00 Green $26.00 Independent (Brad Christensen)$151.00 Independent (Roger John Riach) $151.00 Labor$26.00
Lyons (TAS)	Australian Recreational Fishers Party $51.00 Christian Democratic Party$51.00 Coalition $3.00 Green$51.00 Labor $1.35 Renewable Energy Party$51.00
Macarthur (NSW)	Coalition $2.15 Green$51.00 Labor $1.65 Nick Xenophon Team$16.00
Mackellar (NSW)	Coalition $1.00 Green$26.00 Independent (Jim Ball) $16.00 Independent (Julie Hegarty)$101.00 Independent (Liam Gavin $51.00 Labor$21.00
Macquarie (NSW)	Animal Justice Party $151.00 Christian Democratic Party$101.00 Coalition $1.52 Derryn Hinch$51.00 Green $26.00 Labor$2.40 Lib Dem $81.00 Shooters$101.00
Makin (SA)	Animal Justice Party $51.00 Coalition$16.00 Family First $51.00 Green$51.00 Independent (Mark Aldridge) $51.00 Labor$1.15 Nick Xenophon Team $5.00
Mallee (VIC)	Citizens Electoral Council $51.00 Coalition$1.00 Green $51.00 Labor$21.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00
Maranoa (QLD)	Coalition $1.00 CountryMinded$51.00 Family First $51.00 Green$51.00 KAP (Bob Katter) $51.00 Labor$21.00 Pauline Hanson $51.00 Rise Up Australia$51.00
Maribyrnong (VIC)	Animal Justice Party $51.00 Australian Christians$51.00 Coalition $16.00 Green$51.00 Independent (Catherine Cumming) $51.00 Labor$1.00
Mayo (SA)	Coalition $2.50 Family First$51.00 Green $51.00 Labor$51.00 Lib Dem $51.00 Nick Xenophon Team$1.50
McEwen (VIC)	Animal Justice Party $51.00 Australian Country Party (Tracey Andrew)$51.00 Family First $51.00 Green$51.00 Independent (Ross Lee) $51.00 Labor$1.08 Liberal $7.00 National$51.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00
McMahon (NSW)	Australia First $151.00 Coalition$16.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Fadhel Shamasha)$151.00 Labor $1.00
McMillan (VIC)	Animal Justice Party $51.00 Australian Christians$51.00 Coalition $1.00 Family First$51.00 Green $51.00 Labor$16.00 Lib Dem $51.00 Rise Up Australia$51.00
McPherson (QLD)	Coalition $1.00 Family First$51.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Rob Jones)$51.00 Labor $16.00
Melbourne (VIC)	Animal Justice Party $51.00 Australian Sex Party$51.00 Coalition $34.00 Drug Law Reform$51.00 Green $1.05 Labor$9.00
Melbourne Ports (VIC)	Animal Justice Party $51.00 Coalition$4.00 Drug Law Reform $51.00 Green$11.00 Independent (John B Myers) $51.00 Independent (Peter Holland)$51.00 Labor $1.25 Marriage Equality (Henry Von Doussa)$51.00
Menzies (VIC)	Animal Justice Party $51.00 Coalition$1.00 Family First $51.00 Green$51.00 Independent (Ramon Robinson) $51.00 Independent (Stephen Mayne)$16.00 Labor $26.00 Voluntary Euthanasia Party (Jay Franklin)$51.00
Mitchell (NSW)	Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition$1.00 Green $51.00 Labor$16.00
Moncrieff (QLD)	Coalition $1.00 Family First$51.00 Green $51.00 Labor$16.00
Moore (WA)	Australian Christians $51.00 Coalition$1.00 Green $51.00 Labor$16.00
Moreton (QLD)	Coalition $5.00 Family First$51.00 Green $51.00 KAP (Bob Katter)$51.00 Labor $1.03 Lib Dem$51.00 Nick Xenophon Team $21.00
Murray (VIC)	Australian Country Party (Robert Danieli) $51.00 Citizens Electoral Council$51.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Andrew Bock)$51.00 Independent (Diane Teasdale) $51.00 Independent (Fern Summer)$51.00 Independent (Nigel Hicks) $51.00 Labor$26.00 Liberal $1.35 National$3.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00
New England (NSW)	Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition$1.25 CountryMinded $101.00 Green$51.00 Independent (Philip Cox) $101.00 Independent (Rob Taber)$101.00 Independent (Tony Windsor) $3.75 Labor$34.00 Lib Dem $151.00 Online Direct Democracy$151.00
Newcastle (NSW)	Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition$16.00 Democratic Labour Party $101.00 Drug Law Reform$151.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Rod Holding)$151.00 Labor $1.00
North Sydney (NSW)	Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition$1.00 Family First $151.00 Green$51.00 Independent (Stephen Ruff) $21.00 Labor$16.00 Lib Dem $51.00 Science Party$151.00
O'Connor (WA)	Australian Christians $51.00 Green$51.00 Labor $21.00 Liberal$1.10 National $6.00 Rise Up Australia$51.00
Oxley (QLD)	Coalition $8.50 Family First$51.00 Green $51.00 KAP (Bob Katter)$51.00 Labor $1.05 Pauline Hanson$51.00
Page (NSW)	Animal Justice Party $151.00 Christian Democratic Party$101.00 Coalition $3.50 Green$51.00 Labor $1.27 Lib Dem$51.00
Parkes (NSW)	Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition$1.00 Green $51.00 Labor$26.00 Online Direct Democracy $151.00
Parramatta (NSW)	Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition$6.00 Family First $151.00 Green$51.00 Independent (Mahesh Raj) $151.00 Labor$1.10 Lib Dem $51.00 Online Direct Democracy$151.00
Paterson (NSW)	Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Citizens Electoral Council$151.00 Coalition $5.00 Green$26.00 Labor $1.15 Pauline Hanson$101.00 Rise Up Australia $151.00
Pearce (WA)	Green $51.00 Labor$12.00 Liberal $1.01 National$16.00 Rise Up Australia $51.00
Perth (WA)	Coalition $8.00 Green$26.00 Labor $1.03 Lib Dem$51.00 Online Direct Democracy $51.00
Petrie (QLD)	Arts Party $51.00 Coalition$3.50 Family First $51.00 Green$41.00 Labor $1.38 Lib Dem$51.00
Port Adelaide (SA)	Animal Justice Party $51.00 Christian Democratic Party$51.00 Coalition $26.00 Family First$51.00 Green $51.00 Labor$1.12 Nick Xenophon Team $5.50
Rankin (QLD)	Coalition $16.00 Consumer Rights$51.00 Family First $51.00 Green$51.00 KAP (Bob Katter) $51.00 Labor$1.00 Lib Dem $51.00
Reid (NSW)	Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition$1.15 Family First $151.00 Green$51.00 Labor $5.00
Richmond (NSW)	Animal Justice Party $151.00 Christian Democratic Party$101.00 Coalition $5.00 Green$11.00 Labor $1.15 Pauline Hanson$101.00
Riverina (NSW)	Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition$1.00 Family First $151.00 Green$51.00 Independent (Richard Foley) $151.00 Labor$21.00
Robertson (NSW)	Anti-Paedophile Party (Lawrie Higgins) $151.00 Christian Democratic Party$101.00 Coalition $1.25 Green$51.00 Independent (Van Davy) $34.00 Labor$3.75 Lib Dem $51.00
Ryan (QLD)	Coalition $1.00 Democratic Labour Party$51.00 Family First $51.00 Green$51.00 Labor $16.00 Lib Dem$51.00
Scullin (VIC)	Animal Justice Party $51.00 Coalition$26.00 Drug Law Reform $51.00 Green$16.00 Labor $1.00
Shortland (NSW)	Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition$16.00 Green $51.00 Labor$1.00
Solomon (NT)	Australia First $151.00 Citizens Electoral Council$151.00 Coalition $3.50 Green$41.00 HEMP Party $151.00 Independent (Mark Garner)$101.00 Labor $1.27 Lib Dem$151.00 Rise Up Australia $151.00 Shooters$151.00
Stirling (WA)	Australian Christians $51.00 Coalition$1.10 Green $51.00 Independent (Kim Mubarak)$51.00 Labor $6.00 Rise Up Australia$51.00
Sturt (SA)	Animal Justice Party $51.00 Coalition$1.15 Family First $51.00 Green$51.00 Independent (Neil Aitchison) $51.00 Labor$11.00 Nick Xenophon Team $5.00
Swan (WA)	Australian Christians $51.00 Coalition$1.30 Green $51.00 Labor$3.00
Sydney (NSW)	Animal Justice Party $151.00 Australian Sex Party$101.00 Christian Democratic Party $151.00 Coalition$34.00 Green $8.00 Labor$1.05 Online Direct Democracy $151.00 Science Party$151.00 Socialist Alliance $151.00 Sustainable Australia$151.00
Tangney (WA)	Australian Christians $51.00 Coalition$1.00 Green $51.00 Independent (Dennis Jensen)$16.00 Labor $34.00
Wakefield (SA)	Christian Democratic Party $51.00 Coalition$16.00 Family First $51.00 Green$51.00 Independent (John Bolton) $51.00 Labor$1.15 Nick Xenophon Team $5.00
Wannon (VIC)	Coalition $1.00 Green$51.00 Independent (Bernardine Atkinson) $51.00 Independent (Michael John McCluskey)$51.00 Labor $34.00
Warringah (NSW)	Arts Party $151.00 Christian Democratic Party$101.00 Coalition $1.02 Green$51.00 Independent (David Barrow) $151.00 Independent (James Mathison)$9.00 Independent (Tony Backhouse) $151.00 Labor$21.00 Nick Xenophon Team $11.00 Science Party$151.00
Watson (NSW)	Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition$21.00 Green $51.00 Labor$1.00 Online Direct Democracy $151.00 Science Party$151.00
Wentworth (NSW)	Arts Party $151.00 Christian Democratic Party$101.00 Coalition $1.00 Green$51.00 Independent (Allen David) $151.00 Independent (Marc Aussie-Stone)$1001.00 Labor $11.00 Science Party$151.00
Werriwa (NSW)	Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition$5.00 Green $51.00 Labor$1.12
Whitlam (NSW)	Christian Democratic Party $101.00 Coalition$34.00 Green $16.00 Labor$1.00 Non Custodial Parents Party $151.00
Wide Bay (QLD)	Coalition $1.00 Family First$51.00 Glenn Lazarus Team $51.00 Green$34.00 KAP (Bob Katter) $51.00 Labor$16.00 Pauline Hanson $51.00
Wills (VIC)	Animal Justice Party $51.00 Australian Sex Party$51.00 Coalition $34.00 Drug Law Reform$51.00 Green $5.00 Independent (Francesco Timpano)$51.00 Labor $1.15 Renewable Energy Party$51.00 Socialist Alliance $51.00 Socialist Equality$51.00
Wright (QLD)	Coalition $1.00 Family First$51.00 Green $51.00 Labor$16.00 Lib Dem $51.00 Mature Australia$51.00 Pauline Hanson $51.00

Complete list of Seat Probabilities

	Any Other	Coalition	Green	Ind	Katter	Labor	NXT	2016 Favourite
Calwell (VIC)	3.74	0.00	1.87	0.00	0.00	94.39	0.00	Labor
Batman (VIC)	12.50	2.34	40.87	0.00	0.00	44.28	0.00	Labor
Wills (VIC)	11.10	2.38	16.18	0.00	0.00	70.34	0.00	Labor
Fremantle (WA)	3.32	2.49	12.08	0.00	0.00	82.11	0.00	Labor
Sydney (NSW)	4.29	2.54	10.81	0.00	0.00	82.36	0.00	Labor
Melbourne (VIC)	5.11	2.55	82.69	0.00	0.00	9.65	0.00	Green
Whitlam (NSW)	1.49	2.66	5.64	0.00	0.00	90.21	0.00	Labor
Grayndler (NSW)	5.58	2.72	10.55	0.00	0.00	81.15	0.00	Labor
Port Adelaide (SA)	4.94	3.23	1.65	0.00	0.00	74.93	15.26	Labor
Scullin (VIC)	3.44	3.38	5.49	0.00	0.00	87.69	0.00	Labor
Gellibrand (VIC)	1.75	3.44	5.58	0.00	0.00	89.23	0.00	Labor
Cunningham (NSW)	2.14	3.56	1.82	0.00	0.00	92.48	0.00	Labor
Denison (TAS)	3.36	4.08	1.68	85.54	0.00	5.35	0.00	Independent
Watson (NSW)	2.12	4.37	1.80	0.00	0.00	91.70	0.00	Labor
Fowler (NSW)	1.53	4.40	1.81	0.00	0.00	92.27	0.00	Labor
Wakefield (SA)	4.86	5.16	1.62	0.00	0.00	71.84	16.52	Labor
Makin (SA)	4.86	5.16	1.62	0.00	0.00	71.84	16.52	Labor
Rankin (QLD)	5.07	5.39	1.69	0.00	1.69	86.15	0.00	Labor
Franklin (TAS)	3.42	5.44	4.15	0.00	0.00	87.00	0.00	Labor
Hotham (VIC)	5.16	5.48	1.72	0.00	0.00	87.64	0.00	Labor
Corio (VIC)	6.87	5.48	1.72	0.00	0.00	85.93	0.00	Labor
Maribyrnong (VIC)	5.16	5.48	1.72	0.00	0.00	87.64	0.00	Labor
Hunter (NSW)	3.54	5.58	1.75	0.00	0.00	89.13	0.00	Labor
Lalor (VIC)	3.50	5.58	1.75	0.00	0.00	89.17	0.00	Labor
Holt (VIC)	3.50	5.58	1.75	0.00	0.00	89.17	0.00	Labor
Canberra (ACT)	0.88	5.59	4.26	0.00	0.00	89.27	0.00	Labor
Newcastle (NSW)	2.97	5.61	1.76	0.00	0.00	89.66	0.00	Labor
Isaacs (VIC)	1.78	5.68	1.78	0.00	0.00	90.76	0.00	Labor
Fenner (ACT)	1.80	5.68	1.78	0.00	0.00	90.74	0.00	Labor
Chifley (NSW)	1.51	5.69	1.79	0.00	0.00	91.01	0.00	Labor
Blaxland (NSW)	1.51	5.69	1.79	0.00	0.00	91.01	0.00	Labor
McMahon (NSW)	1.21	5.71	1.79	0.00	0.00	91.29	0.00	Labor
Shortland (NSW)	0.91	5.73	1.80	0.00	0.00	91.57	0.00	Labor
Gorton (VIC)	0.00	5.78	1.81	0.00	0.00	92.41	0.00	Labor
Kingston (SA)	1.64	6.99	1.64	0.00	0.00	72.94	16.78	Labor
Oxley (QLD)	3.41	10.24	1.71	0.00	1.71	82.93	0.00	Labor
Kennedy (QLD)	0.87	10.34	1.72	0.00	83.69	3.38	0.00	Katter
Jagajaga (VIC)	3.47	10.42	1.74	0.00	0.00	84.37	0.00	Labor
Brand (WA)	3.47	10.42	1.74	0.00	0.00	84.37	0.00	Labor
Lilley (QLD)	3.47	10.42	1.74	0.00	0.00	84.37	0.00	Labor
Ballarat (VIC)	2.29	10.52	1.69	0.00	0.00	85.50	0.00	Labor
Barton (NSW)	2.08	10.57	1.76	0.00	0.00	85.59	0.00	Labor
Kingsford Smith (NSW)	1.49	10.64	1.77	0.00	0.00	86.10	0.00	Labor
Perth (WA)	3.34	10.65	3.28	0.00	0.00	82.73	0.00	Labor
McEwen (VIC)	8.13	13.47	1.63	0.00	0.00	76.77	0.00	Labor
Bruce (VIC)	6.68	14.20	1.67	0.00	0.00	77.45	0.00	Labor
Blair (QLD)	3.98	14.39	1.69	0.00	0.00	79.94	0.00	Labor
Parramatta (NSW)	4.31	14.56	1.71	0.00	0.00	79.41	0.00	Labor
Moreton (QLD)	3.02	15.42	1.51	0.00	1.51	74.86	3.67	Labor
Griffith (QLD)	8.19	16.71	2.46	0.00	0.00	72.64	0.00	Labor
Richmond (NSW)	2.23	16.85	7.66	0.00	0.00	73.26	0.00	Labor
Paterson (NSW)	2.90	17.53	3.37	0.00	0.00	76.21	0.00	Labor
Werriwa (NSW)	0.88	17.82	1.75	0.00	0.00	79.55	0.00	Labor
Bendigo (VIC)	4.86	18.83	1.61	0.00	0.00	74.70	0.00	Labor
Melbourne Ports (VIC)	7.91	20.18	7.34	0.00	0.00	64.57	0.00	Labor
Indi (VIC)	7.69	20.21	1.54	68.24	0.00	2.31	0.00	Independent
Lingiari (NT)	4.08	22.02	1.73	0.00	0.00	72.18	0.00	Labor
Solomon (NT)	3.46	24.91	2.13	0.86	0.00	68.64	0.00	Labor
Adelaide (SA)	2.45	24.99	1.62	0.00	0.00	63.44	7.50	Labor
Page (NSW)	3.20	25.31	1.74	0.00	0.00	69.75	0.00	Labor
Petrie (QLD)	5.38	26.13	2.23	0.00	0.00	66.26	0.00	Labor
Dobell (NSW)	2.65	27.02	1.75	0.00	0.00	68.58	0.00	Labor
Lyons (TAS)	5.10	28.92	1.70	0.00	0.00	64.27	0.00	Labor
Chisholm (VIC)	5.13	29.06	1.71	0.00	0.00	64.10	0.00	Labor
Greenway (NSW)	3.22	29.50	1.74	0.00	0.00	65.55	0.00	Labor
Eden Monaro (NSW)	3.71	30.77	1.69	0.00	0.00	63.83	0.00	Labor
Burt (WA)	3.49	32.96	1.75	0.00	0.00	61.80	0.00	Labor
Mayo (SA)	3.42	34.93	1.71	0.00	0.00	1.71	58.22	NXT
Macarthur (NSW)	0.00	40.33	1.70	0.00	0.00	52.55	5.42	Labor
Capricornia (QLD)	1.16	42.85	1.72	0.00	2.58	51.68	0.00	Labor
Cowan (WA)	6.65	45.84	1.66	0.00	0.00	45.84	0.00	Coalition, Labor
Hindmarsh (SA)	4.97	48.30	1.66	0.00	0.00	28.17	16.90	Coalition
Macquarie (NSW)	4.98	56.16	3.28	0.00	0.00	35.57	0.00	Coalition
Braddon (TAS)	6.46	56.84	1.62	0.00	0.00	35.07	0.00	Coalition
Forde (QLD)	4.93	59.89	1.64	0.00	0.00	33.54	0.00	Coalition
Grey (SA)	3.34	60.78	1.67	0.00	0.00	3.27	30.94	Coalition
Cowper (NSW)	2.01	62.11	1.70	31.62	0.00	2.56	0.00	Coalition
Brisbane (QLD)	2.88	62.65	2.58	0.00	0.00	31.89	0.00	Coalition
Hasluck (WA)	3.45	62.84	1.72	0.00	0.00	31.99	0.00	Coalition
Flynn (QLD)	7.52	63.91	1.50	0.00	1.50	25.56	0.00	Coalition
Bass (TAS)	5.10	64.27	1.70	0.00	0.00	28.92	0.00	Coalition
Barker (SA)	1.70	64.31	1.70	0.00	0.00	3.34	28.94	Coalition
Lindsay (NSW)	5.73	65.98	1.64	0.00	0.00	23.94	2.70	Coalition
Boothby (SA)	6.52	66.49	1.63	0.00	0.00	3.20	22.16	Coalition
Gilmore (NSW)	0.90	67.12	1.78	0.00	0.00	30.20	0.00	Coalition
Swan (WA)	1.72	67.37	1.72	0.00	0.00	29.19	0.00	Coalition
Dunkley (VIC)	12.52	68.19	1.56	0.00	0.00	17.73	0.00	Coalition
New England (NSW)	4.52	68.46	1.68	22.82	0.00	2.52	0.00	Coalition
Robertson (NSW)	5.69	69.46	1.70	0.00	0.00	23.15	0.00	Coalition
Sturt (SA)	4.75	70.19	1.58	0.00	0.00	7.34	16.14	Coalition
La Trobe (Vic)	11.19	70.90	1.60	0.00	0.00	16.31	0.00	Coalition
Deakin (VIC)	5.07	71.86	2.54	0.00	0.00	20.53	0.00	Coalition
Herbert (QLD)	8.12	72.05	1.62	0.00	1.62	16.57	0.00	Coalition
Longman (QLD)	10.96	72.60	1.57	0.00	1.57	13.31	0.00	Coalition
Dawson (QLD)	1.98	72.94	1.67	0.00	2.08	21.33	0.00	Coalition
Banks (NSW)	2.94	74.13	1.74	0.00	0.00	21.18	0.00	Coalition
Higgins (VIC)	6.42	74.43	13.65	0.00	0.00	3.90	1.61	Coalition
Bonner (QLD)	2.75	74.70	1.64	0.00	0.00	20.91	0.00	Coalition
Hinkler (QLD)	8.73	75.98	1.61	0.00	0.00	13.68	0.00	Coalition
Leichhardt (QLD)	11.85	76.03	1.58	0.00	1.58	8.95	0.00	Coalition
Warringah (NSW)	2.83	76.23	1.52	8.64	0.00	3.70	7.07	Coalition
Corangamite (VIC)	11.19	77.63	1.60	0.00	0.00	9.59	0.00	Coalition
Reid (NSW)	1.49	78.64	1.77	0.00	0.00	18.09	0.00	Coalition
Stirling (WA)	5.10	78.76	1.70	0.00	0.00	14.44	0.00	Coalition
Dickson (QLD)	3.40	80.17	1.73	0.00	0.00	14.70	0.00	Coalition
Aston (VIC)	4.15	80.17	1.65	0.00	0.00	14.03	0.00	Coalition
Bowman (QLD)	1.19	82.00	1.77	0.00	0.00	15.03	0.00	Coalition
Casey (VIC)	5.12	82.93	1.71	0.00	0.00	10.24	0.00	Coalition
Fisher (QLD)	9.81	83.34	1.64	0.00	0.00	5.21	0.00	Coalition
Menzies (VIC)	11.76	83.39	1.64	0.00	0.00	3.21	0.00	Coalition
Gippsland (VIC)	11.58	84.28	1.65	0.00	0.00	2.48	0.00	Coalition
Murray (VIC)	10.81	84.61	1.54	0.00	0.00	3.03	0.00	Coalition
McMillan (VIC)	8.31	84.72	1.66	0.00	0.00	5.30	0.00	Coalition
Fairfax (QLD)	8.31	84.72	1.66	0.00	0.00	5.30	0.00	Coalition
Mackellar (NSW)	7.82	84.87	3.27	0.00	0.00	4.05	0.00	Coalition
North Sydney (NSW)	7.71	85.28	1.67	0.00	0.00	5.34	0.00	Coalition
Wide Bay (QLD)	5.03	85.43	2.52	0.00	1.68	5.34	0.00	Coalition
Maranoa (QLD)	6.74	85.81	1.68	0.00	1.68	4.09	0.00	Coalition
Wright (QLD)	6.76	86.15	1.69	0.00	0.00	5.39	0.00	Coalition
Forrest (WA)	6.36	86.99	1.59	0.00	0.00	5.06	0.00	Coalition
Wentworth (NSW)	2.70	87.61	1.72	0.00	0.00	7.97	0.00	Coalition
Flinders (VIC)	5.16	87.64	1.72	0.00	0.00	5.48	0.00	Coalition
Goldstein (VIC)	5.16	87.64	1.72	0.00	0.00	5.48	0.00	Coalition
Ryan (QLD)	5.16	87.64	1.72	0.00	0.00	5.48	0.00	Coalition
Tangney (WA)	1.74	88.40	1.74	5.53	0.00	2.60	0.00	Coalition
Groom (QLD)	1.74	88.86	1.74	0.00	0.00	3.42	4.24	Coalition
Bennelong (NSW)	3.80	88.89	1.74	0.00	0.00	5.56	0.00	Coalition
Calare (NSW)	3.22	89.03	0.88	0.00	0.00	4.24	2.62	Coalition
McPherson (QLD)	3.50	89.17	1.75	0.00	0.00	5.58	0.00	Coalition
Curtin (WA)	3.50	89.17	1.75	0.00	0.00	5.58	0.00	Coalition
Pearce (WA)	1.67	89.57	1.67	0.00	0.00	7.09	0.00	Coalition
Fadden (QLD)	2.95	89.68	1.76	0.00	0.00	5.61	0.00	Coalition
Berowra (NSW)	2.39	90.20	1.77	0.00	0.00	5.64	0.00	Coalition
Cook (NSW)	1.49	90.21	5.64	0.00	0.00	2.66	0.00	Coalition
Mallee (VIC)	3.55	90.37	1.77	0.00	0.00	4.31	0.00	Coalition
Hume (NSW)	2.10	90.47	1.78	0.00	0.00	5.66	0.00	Coalition
Bradfield (NSW)	2.10	90.47	1.78	0.00	0.00	5.66	0.00	Coalition
Kooyong (VIC)	1.78	90.76	1.78	0.00	0.00	5.68	0.00	Coalition
Moncrieff (QLD)	1.78	90.76	1.78	0.00	0.00	5.68	0.00	Coalition
Moore (WA)	1.78	90.76	1.78	0.00	0.00	5.68	0.00	Coalition
Lyne (NSW)	2.11	90.90	3.50	0.00	0.00	3.50	0.00	Coalition
O'Connor (WA)	3.32	91.00	1.66	0.00	0.00	4.03	0.00	Coalition
Canning (WA)	1.73	91.00	1.73	0.00	0.00	5.53	0.00	Coalition
Hughes (NSW)	1.51	91.01	1.79	0.00	0.00	5.69	0.00	Coalition
Mitchell (NSW)	0.91	91.57	1.80	0.00	0.00	5.73	0.00	Coalition
Riverina (NSW)	2.12	91.70	1.80	0.00	0.00	4.37	0.00	Coalition
Wannon (VIC)	3.61	91.88	1.80	0.00	0.00	2.71	0.00	Coalition
Durack (WA)	3.39	92.37	1.69	0.00	0.00	2.54	0.00	Coalition
Parkes (NSW)	1.54	93.05	1.83	0.00	0.00	3.58	0.00	Coalition
Farrer (NSW)	2.84	95.29	1.87	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	Coalition

Likely election outcome charts from Monte Carlo simulation of longshot adjusted individual seat probabilities.

Counts of seat favourites and longshot adjusted probability sum.

Individual seats