Today we have a new Newspoll (52/48) in Labor's favour. The Bayesian aggregation is unchanged. We are looking at a result much like the previous election if the polls are correct.
The betting markets eased slightly (but not meaningfully) for the Coalition this morning.
In aggregate, the punters see the most likely outcome as a hung Parliament, with Labor in the box seat to negotiate minority government.
Labor remains the favourite in 77 seats.
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