Friday, April 4, 2025

Day 8 - 2025 Federal Election - Betting Market

What fun we have when the betting market provider introduces multiple independents into seats. I needed a quick recode to capture this situation. The affected seats were Monash in Victoria (Deb Leonard and Russell Broadbent) and Calare in NSW (Andrew Gee and Kate Hook).

More importantly, there was some movement on both the overall winner charts and the individual seat charts. Both movements were in Labor's favour. 

Overall winner




Individual seats

We will start with the aggregate seat outcomes before looking at the individual seat movements.



With the individual seat markets, the provider has introduced quite a number of additional independents into the mix (in some cases more than one for a particular seat). The seats are listed below in reverse alphabetical order. 























































































































































Of note, the leading party has changed in Tangney (WA). 

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