Day 5 - 2025 Federal Election

Yesterday's polls were plentiful. Roy Morgan had Labor on 53 per cent of the two party preferred vote (unchanged on its previous print a fortnight ago). Newspoll had Labor at 51 per cent (up 2 on three weeks ago). Resolve Strategic had Labor on 50 per cent (up 5 from mid February) and Freshwater Strategy had Labor on 49 per cent  (unchanged from a fortnight ago).

As a consequence, all of my polling aggregation models have moved further in Labor's favour. But importantly, they suggest that the rate of movement towards Labor may be slowing or even coming to a stop. 

On the primary votes: the same leveling out can be seen on the right hand side for the major parties. Also, as we noted previously, the trend towards the non-Labor-Coalition candidates has also stalled.

While I am not a huge fan of attitudinal polling, this latest batch of polls has seen some movement, non of which the Coalition would be happy about.